Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Real Salt Lake v LA Galaxy

2026-11-08 00:00 UTC — MLS

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Real Salt Lake (Local)

Predicción 58.88%1.70momio equitativo
EV -1.08%
Ventaja -0.640%
Kelly -1.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.60%58.78%59.09%60.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.461.591.581.6868.49%62.91%63.09%59.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

LA Galaxy (Visitante)

Predicción 20.11%4.97momio equitativo
EV -1.45%
Ventaja -0.296%
Kelly -0.372%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.31%20.22%19.90%22.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.854.454.384.9025.97%22.48%22.86%20.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 21.00%4.76momio equitativo
EV -0.230%
Ventaja -0.048%
Kelly -0.061%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.90%21.00%21.01%22.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.364.404.7525.00%22.95%22.73%21.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Real Salt Lake (Local): 58.88%; LA Galaxy (Visitante): 20.11%; Empate: 21.00%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.76. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 4.75, con un valor esperado de -0.230%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -1.08%E -0.640%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%EV -7.48%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%EV -3.38%E -0.735%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-01 01:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -1.08%E -0.640%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%EV -7.48%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%EV -3.38%E -0.735%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-01 01:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -1.08%E -0.640%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%EV -7.48%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%EV -3.38%E -0.735%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-01 01:00
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.43%E -2.09%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 20.06%EV -2.66%E -0.549%K -0.692%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.74%EV -1.70%E -0.363%K -0.462%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-01 01:30
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -4.02%E -2.47%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -12.51%E -2.88%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -7.58%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 01:00
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -4.02%E -2.47%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -12.51%E -2.88%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -7.58%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 01:00
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -4.02%E -2.47%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -12.51%E -2.88%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -7.58%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 01:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -4.02%E -2.47%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -12.51%E -2.88%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -7.58%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 01:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -4.02%E -2.47%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -12.51%E -2.88%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -7.58%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 01:00
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -4.02%E -2.47%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -12.51%E -2.88%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -7.58%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 01:00
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -4.02%E -2.47%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%EV -12.51%E -2.88%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -7.58%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 00:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.43%EV -4.61%E -2.84%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -14.52%E -3.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -5.48%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 00:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.89%EV -4.61%E -2.84%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -14.52%E -3.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -9.68%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 00:55
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.02%EV -5.20%E -3.23%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.50%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -7.58%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 07:35
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -5.20%E -3.23%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -15.53%E -3.70%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -11.78%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 01:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -5.20%E -3.23%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -15.53%E -3.70%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -11.78%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 01:00
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.52%EV -5.79%E -3.62%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.60%EV -2.25%E -0.464%K -0.584%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.88%EV -4.22%E -0.926%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 01:25
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.21%EV -5.79%E -3.62%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -3.46%E -0.721%K -0.911%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.48%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-01 00:25
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.09%EV -5.79%E -3.62%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.47%E -0.940%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -5.48%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 00:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.96%EV -5.79%E -3.62%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -5.47%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.48%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-01 00:36
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.79%E -3.62%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -11.51%E -2.62%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -7.58%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-01 01:05
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -5.79%E -3.62%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.50%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.78%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 01:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -5.79%E -3.62%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.50%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.78%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 01:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -5.79%E -3.62%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.50%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.78%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 01:20
picklebet_au🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.50%EV -5.79%E -3.62%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -12.91%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -9.05%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 00:59
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.24%EV -6.38%E -4.01%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -4.47%E -0.940%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -5.48%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 01:20
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.89%EV -6.96%E -4.41%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -1.45%E -0.296%K -0.372%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.80%EV -4.43%E -0.974%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 01:20
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.89%EV -6.96%E -4.41%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -1.45%E -0.296%K -0.372%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.80%EV -4.43%E -0.974%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 01:20
Bovada🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.51%EV -6.96%E -4.41%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -3.46%E -0.721%K -0.911%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -5.48%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-01 06:57
ReBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -6.96%E -4.41%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -13.52%E -3.14%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -9.68%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 01:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.20%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.47%E -0.940%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.230%E -0.048%K -0.061%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 07:34
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.67%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -3.46%E -0.721%K -0.911%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.48%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 00:25
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -4.47%E -0.940%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.48%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 00:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.29%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.02%EV -6.48%E -1.39%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -5.48%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 01:20
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.63%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -9.50%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.58%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 00:36
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -9.50%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -9.05%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-01 00:35
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.97%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -12.91%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -9.05%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-01 00:55
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.78%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -11.51%E -2.62%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -11.78%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-01 01:20
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -15.53%E -3.70%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -9.05%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 01:20
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -12.91%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -11.78%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 07:35
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -12.91%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -11.78%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 07:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -12.91%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -11.78%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 07:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -12.91%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -11.78%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 07:35
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.63%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.69%EV -17.54%E -4.28%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.69%EV -13.88%E -3.39%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-11-01 01:00
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.00%EV -8.73%E -5.63%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -7.48%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.12%EV -9.05%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-01 00:29
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.00%EV -8.73%E -5.63%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -7.48%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.12%EV -9.05%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-01 00:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.64%EV -8.73%E -5.63%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -19.55%E -4.89%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -13.88%E -3.39%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.9%2026-11-01 01:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.09%EV -9.32%E -6.05%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -19.55%E -4.89%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -11.78%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000%13.7%2026-11-01 00:59
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -9.91%E -6.48%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -12.91%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -15.98%E -4.00%K -5.33%G +0.000%13.5%2026-11-01 00:36
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.41%EV -9.91%E -6.48%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.17%EV -16.53%E -3.98%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.42%EV -13.88%E -3.39%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.8%2026-11-01 01:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 56.96%EV -11.67%E -7.78%K -23.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.19%EV -22.57%E -5.86%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.84%EV -13.88%E -3.39%K -4.48%G +0.000%17.0%2026-11-01 01:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 58.11%EV -14.03%E -9.61%K -30.50%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 20.95%EV -18.55%E -4.58%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 20.95%EV -14.93%E -3.69%K -4.90%G +0.000%17.9%2026-11-01 01:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 56.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%13.3%2026-11-01 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 43.88%1.20I 83.33%NM 43.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 12.24%89.9%2026-11-01 07:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 43.88%1.20I 83.33%NM 43.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 12.24%89.9%2026-11-01 07:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 43.88%1.20I 83.33%NM 43.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 12.24%89.9%2026-11-01 07:05