La escuela de los momios

Real Salt Lake v Houston Dynamo

Inicio: 2026-05-14 01:36 UTC

Final: Real Salt Lake 3–0 Houston Dynamo

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Real Salt Lake (Local)

Predicción 54.97%1.82momio equitativo
EV -3.25%
Ventaja -1.85%
Kelly -4.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.69%54.79%55.03%57.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.541.691.701.7664.94%59.23%58.82%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Houston Dynamo (Visitante)

Predicción 20.97%4.77momio equitativo
EV +4.83%
Ventaja +0.966%
Kelly +1.21%
Crecimiento +0.058%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.94%21.05%20.96%23.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.904.534.505.0025.64%22.09%22.22%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.06%4.16momio equitativo
EV -1.34%
Ventaja -0.327%
Kelly -0.433%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.33%24.16%24.00%25.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.553.863.904.1028.17%25.89%25.64%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.95%EV -7.65%E -4.55%K -11.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.13%EV +4.83%E +0.966%K +1.21%G +0.058%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-14 01:35
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.95%EV -7.65%E -4.55%K -11.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.13%EV +4.83%E +0.966%K +1.21%G +0.058%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-14 01:35
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.95%EV -7.65%E -4.55%K -11.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.13%EV +4.83%E +0.966%K +1.21%G +0.058%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-14 01:35
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 57.07%EV -8.75%E -5.27%K -13.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV +4.83%E +0.966%K +1.21%G +0.058%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 01:30
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.07%EV -8.75%E -5.27%K -13.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV +4.83%E +0.966%K +1.21%G +0.058%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 01:30
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -9.30%E -5.63%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV +4.83%E +0.966%K +1.21%G +0.058%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 01:35
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -9.30%E -5.63%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV +2.73%E +0.558%K +0.701%G +0.019%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 01:34
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -9.30%E -5.63%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV +2.73%E +0.558%K +0.701%G +0.019%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 01:34
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -9.30%E -5.63%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV +2.73%E +0.558%K +0.701%G +0.019%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 01:35
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -9.30%E -5.63%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV +2.73%E +0.558%K +0.701%G +0.019%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 01:34
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -9.30%E -5.63%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV +2.73%E +0.558%K +0.701%G +0.019%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 01:34
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.05%EV -3.25%E -1.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.98%EV +1.68%E +0.347%K +0.437%G +0.007%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.97%EV -6.64%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-14 01:29
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 54.99%EV -6.00%E -3.51%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +0.636%E +0.132%K +0.167%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -10.97%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 01:28
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 57.03%EV -11.50%E -7.14%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV +0.636%E +0.132%K +0.167%G +0.001%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 01:35
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.58%EV -4.35%E -2.50%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 20.19%EV +0.426%E +0.089%K +0.112%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.24%EV -3.99%E -1.000%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 01:29
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 55.98%EV -5.45%E -3.17%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 20.19%EV +0.007%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.83%EV -2.79%E -0.690%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 01:29
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.13%EV -5.45%E -3.17%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.32%EV -0.413%E -0.087%K -0.110%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%EV -1.34%E -0.327%K -0.433%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-14 01:35
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.13%EV -5.45%E -3.17%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.32%EV -0.413%E -0.087%K -0.110%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%EV -1.34%E -0.327%K -0.433%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-14 01:35
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.68%EV -3.80%E -2.17%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.14%EV -0.413%E -0.087%K -0.110%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.18%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-14 01:35
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -7.10%E -4.20%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -0.413%E -0.087%K -0.110%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 01:29
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -7.10%E -4.20%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -0.413%E -0.087%K -0.110%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 01:35
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.66%EV -6.00%E -3.51%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV -1.46%E -0.311%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 01:32
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.90%EV -13.15%E -8.32%K -22.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -1.46%E -0.311%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-14 01:35
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.90%EV -13.15%E -8.32%K -22.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -1.46%E -0.311%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-14 01:35
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 57.05%EV -13.69%E -8.72%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -1.46%E -0.311%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-14 01:30
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -5.45%E -3.17%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -3.56%E -0.773%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 01:35
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.18%EV -7.10%E -4.20%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -3.56%E -0.773%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 01:35
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -8.20%E -4.91%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -3.56%E -0.773%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 01:28
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.11%EV -15.34%E -9.96%K -28.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -3.56%E -0.773%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -10.97%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-14 01:30
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.56%EV -4.35%E -2.50%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -5.65%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 01:35
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 55.16%EV -6.00%E -3.51%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.65%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 01:31
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.55%E -3.85%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.65%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 01:34
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.55%E -3.85%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.65%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 01:35
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.35%E -2.50%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.15%EV -6.70%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 01:35
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.23%EV -5.45%E -3.17%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -6.70%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.81%EV -9.52%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 01:29
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.04%EV -9.30%E -5.63%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.41%EV -6.70%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -10.97%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-14 01:35
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.47%EV -4.35%E -2.50%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 01:35
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.77%EV -4.90%E -2.83%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-14 01:29
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.55%E -3.85%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -10.97%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 01:29
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -9.30%E -5.63%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-14 01:35
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -6.55%E -3.85%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -9.22%E -2.13%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 01:33
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.91%EV -3.80%E -2.17%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%EV -10.90%E -2.56%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 01:35
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.91%EV -3.80%E -2.17%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%EV -10.90%E -2.56%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 01:35
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -5.45%E -3.17%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -10.90%E -2.56%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 01:29
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.15%EV -10.95%E -6.76%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.02%EV -10.90%E -2.56%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-14 01:28
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.87%EV -5.45%E -3.17%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-14 01:29
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -4.90%E -2.83%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-14 01:35
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -6.55%E -3.85%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-14 01:29
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -4.90%E -2.83%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -13.37%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-14 01:29
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -4.90%E -2.83%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -13.37%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-14 01:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -9.30%E -5.63%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-14 01:29
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -9.30%E -5.63%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-14 01:29
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -6.55%E -3.85%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -14.04%E -3.42%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 01:29
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -6.55%E -3.85%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -14.04%E -3.42%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -12.17%E -3.33%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-14 01:35
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.80%E -2.17%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 01:35
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -3.80%E -2.17%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -16.14%E -4.03%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 01:35
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 52.97%EV -8.75%E -5.27%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -14.58%E -4.11%K -5.72%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-14 01:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -6.55%E -3.85%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -18.23%E -4.68%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.97%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-14 01:35
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -6.55%E -3.85%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -18.23%E -4.68%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.97%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-14 01:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.00%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.8%2026-05-14 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.82%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.16%1.9%2026-05-14 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.82%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.16%1.9%2026-05-14 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.82%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.16%1.9%2026-05-14 01:35
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.53%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.77%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.71%2.5%2026-05-14 01:35
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 54.88%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%4.1%2026-05-14 01:35