La scuola delle quote

Philadelphia Union v San Jose Earthquakes

Inizio: 2026-03-08 00:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Philadelphia Union (Casa)

Previsione 48.52%2.06quota equa
EV -2.97%
Vantaggio -1.48%
Kelly -2.97%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.62%48.51%48.57%49.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.721.921.922.0058.14%52.10%51.95%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

San Jose Earthquakes (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.16%3.82quota equa
EV +2.03%
Vantaggio +0.520%
Kelly +0.700%
Crescita +0.014%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.57%26.13%26.11%27.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.583.603.9031.25%27.93%27.78%25.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.32%3.95quota equa
EV +0.021%
Vantaggio +0.005%
Kelly +0.007%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.89%25.36%25.33%27.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.613.603.9532.26%27.73%27.78%25.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 48.16%EV -2.97%E -1.48%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.70%EV +2.03%E +0.520%K +0.700%G +0.014%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.14%EV -10.11%E -2.85%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 00:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.16%EV -2.97%E -1.48%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.70%EV +2.03%E +0.520%K +0.700%G +0.014%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.14%EV -10.11%E -2.85%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 00:24
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.16%EV -2.97%E -1.48%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.70%EV +2.03%E +0.520%K +0.700%G +0.014%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.14%EV -10.11%E -2.85%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 00:24
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.16%EV -2.97%E -1.48%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.70%EV +2.03%E +0.520%K +0.700%G +0.014%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.14%EV -10.11%E -2.85%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 00:25
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -5.88%E -3.03%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -0.587%E -0.154%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 00:25
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -5.88%E -3.03%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -0.587%E -0.154%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 00:24
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -5.88%E -3.03%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -0.587%E -0.154%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 00:24
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -5.88%E -3.03%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -0.587%E -0.154%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 00:24
Bally Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -5.88%E -3.03%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -0.587%E -0.154%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 00:24
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -5.88%E -3.03%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -0.587%E -0.154%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 00:24
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -6.36%E -3.30%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -0.587%E -0.154%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:25
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -6.36%E -3.30%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -0.587%E -0.154%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:25
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -1.89%E -0.505%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -13.91%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 00:24
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 48.54%EV -3.45%E -1.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.11%EV -3.20%E -0.866%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.35%EV -3.52%E -0.925%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-08 00:24
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.02%EV -5.39%E -2.77%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.83%EV -3.20%E -0.866%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.15%EV -3.78%E -0.994%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 23:44
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.39%E -2.77%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.20%E -0.866%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 00:09
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.10%EV -9.27%E -4.96%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -16.44%E -4.98%K -7.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-08 00:24
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.10%EV -9.27%E -4.96%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -4.51%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -16.44%E -4.98%K -7.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-08 00:24
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.89%EV -3.94%E -1.99%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.60%EV -4.77%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.51%EV +0.021%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-08 00:24
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.51%EV -3.45%E -1.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.74%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -1.25%E -0.319%K -0.430%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-08 00:24
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.51%EV -3.45%E -1.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.74%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -1.25%E -0.319%K -0.430%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-08 00:24
BetAnything1.99I 50.25%NM 48.51%EV -3.45%E -1.73%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.74%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -1.25%E -0.319%K -0.430%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-08 00:24
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.39%E -2.77%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -2.51%E -0.652%K -0.881%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 23:24
MyBookie.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -5.88%E -3.03%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.31%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 23:53
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.78%E -0.994%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 00:24
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -7.82%E -4.11%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -3.78%E -0.994%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 00:24
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.04%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 00:24
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.39%E -2.77%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 00:24
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.39%E -2.77%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 23:44
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.31%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 00:23
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -6.85%E -3.57%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -7.58%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 00:25
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.82%E -4.11%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 00:24
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -10.24%E -5.54%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.82%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.31%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 23:54
GTbets1.97I 50.76%NM 48.34%EV -4.42%E -2.24%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.60%EV -6.34%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -3.78%E -0.994%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 00:25
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.99%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.13%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.31%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 00:24
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.99%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.13%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.31%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 00:24
Bovada1.94I 51.55%NM 48.29%EV -5.88%E -3.03%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.13%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.31%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 00:24
BetUS1.94I 51.55%NM 48.29%EV -5.88%E -3.03%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.13%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.31%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 00:24
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -7.82%E -4.11%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.78%E -0.994%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 00:24
Sky Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -7.82%E -4.11%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.78%E -0.994%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 00:25
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -5.39%E -2.77%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 00:24
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -7.58%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 00:25
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -9.27%E -4.96%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.44%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -10.11%E -2.85%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 00:24
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -9.74%E -2.82%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -7.58%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 00:24
Betclic (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.56%EV -10.73%E -5.83%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.13%EV -10.53%E -3.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.31%EV -10.61%E -3.01%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 00:22
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -5.39%E -2.77%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -7.58%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 00:24
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -7.82%E -4.11%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -6.31%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 00:24
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -8.79%E -4.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -6.31%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 23:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 23:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 23:24
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 23:24
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 23:24
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 00:25
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 00:24
Parions Sport (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.65%EV -11.70%E -6.43%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.05%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-08 00:04
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 48.92%EV -13.15%E -7.35%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.91%EV -11.57%E -3.42%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.17%EV -11.88%E -3.41%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-07 23:54
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -11.21%E -6.13%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -5.04%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-08 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -11.21%E -6.13%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -13.67%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -21.50%E -6.94%K -10.24%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-08 00:24
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.25%EV -11.70%E -6.43%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -14.98%E -4.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -10.11%E -2.85%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-07 23:45
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 48.76%EV -16.55%E -9.62%K -22.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.21%EV -16.28%E -5.09%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.03%EV -15.17%E -4.53%K -6.46%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-08 00:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-03-08 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-03-08 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-03-08 00:25
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-03-08 00:25
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.32%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.83%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.85%1.9%2026-03-08 00:25
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50%2.0%2026-03-07 23:45