La escuela de los momios

Philadelphia Union v Chicago Fire

Inicio: 2026-03-21 20:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Philadelphia Union (Local)

Predicción 37.56%2.66momio equitativo
EV -1.58%
Ventaja -0.604%
Kelly -0.977%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.71%37.69%37.63%39.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.242.462.482.6244.64%40.58%40.32%38.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chicago Fire (Visitante)

Predicción 33.51%2.98momio equitativo
EV +0.542%
Ventaja +0.181%
Kelly +0.271%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.12%33.48%33.55%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.782.803.0041.67%35.92%35.71%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.92%3.46momio equitativo
EV -1.66%
Ventaja -0.489%
Kelly -0.693%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.28%28.83%28.83%29.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.203.203.4035.09%31.20%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -10.60%E -4.45%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV +0.542%E +0.181%K +0.271%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -8.89%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 19:39
BetAnything2.47I 40.49%NM 38.45%EV -7.22%E -2.92%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.87%EV -0.128%E -0.043%K -0.065%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:04
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 37.75%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.63%EV -1.13%E -0.384%K -0.581%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.62%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 20:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.75%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.63%EV -1.13%E -0.384%K -0.581%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.62%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 20:25
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.75%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.63%EV -1.13%E -0.384%K -0.581%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.62%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 20:25
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.75%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.63%EV -1.13%E -0.384%K -0.581%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.62%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 20:24
MyBookie.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.67%EV -8.34%E -3.42%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.20%EV -1.80%E -0.616%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.12%EV -6.29%E -1.94%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 19:49
Pinnacle2.56I 39.06%NM 37.80%EV -3.84%E -1.50%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.14%EV -2.14%E -0.732%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.06%EV -3.69%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 20:15
GTbets2.46I 40.65%NM 38.26%EV -7.59%E -3.09%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -2.14%E -0.732%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.51%EV -7.74%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 19:45
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 37.43%EV -3.09%E -1.20%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.30%EV -2.81%E -0.969%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 20:15
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 37.43%EV -3.09%E -1.20%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.30%EV -2.81%E -0.969%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 20:14
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -6.84%E -2.76%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -2.81%E -0.969%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 20:24
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -6.84%E -2.76%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -2.81%E -0.969%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 20:25
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -6.84%E -2.76%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -2.81%E -0.969%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 20:24
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -6.84%E -2.76%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -2.81%E -0.969%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 20:25
Bally Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -6.84%E -2.76%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -2.81%E -0.969%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 20:24
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -6.84%E -2.76%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -2.81%E -0.969%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 20:24
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.76%EV -6.84%E -2.76%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -3.48%E -1.21%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -8.89%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 20:24
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 37.04%EV -1.58%E -0.604%K -0.977%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.81%EV -3.81%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14%EV -3.69%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-21 20:19
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.48%E -1.57%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -1.66%E -0.489%K -0.693%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:14
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -4.48%E -1.57%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 19:49
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -4.48%E -1.57%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 19:49
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -4.48%E -1.57%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 19:52
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -8.72%E -3.59%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -4.48%E -1.57%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 20:25
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.09%E -1.20%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.78%EV -5.49%E -1.95%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 20:25
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.09%E -1.20%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.78%EV -5.49%E -1.95%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 20:24
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -6.16%E -2.20%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 20:25
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -6.16%E -2.20%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 20:00
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -6.16%E -2.20%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 20:25
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -6.16%E -2.20%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 19:45
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.16%E -2.20%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 20:14
Marathon Bet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -5.34%E -2.12%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.67%EV -7.17%E -2.59%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -8.03%E -2.52%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 20:23
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.96%EV -7.50%E -2.72%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 20:25
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -4.21%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 20:24
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 20:18
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 19:39
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 19:44
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.89%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 20:24
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 19:54
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.85%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 20:15
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 19:45
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.97%E -3.25%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 19:49
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.80%EV -10.60%E -4.45%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -11.79%E -3.86%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 20:24
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.80%EV -10.60%E -4.45%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -7.84%E -2.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -11.79%E -3.86%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 20:25
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.51%E -3.52%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 20:00
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.51%E -3.52%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 20:24
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -6.09%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.51%E -3.52%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 20:24
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -11.73%E -4.99%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -9.51%E -3.52%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -3.11%E -0.928%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 19:45
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -9.85%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -9.51%E -3.52%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -8.89%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 19:49
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -13.60%E -5.91%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.08%EV -9.51%E -3.52%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.09%EV -8.03%E -2.52%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-21 20:03
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -15.48%E -6.88%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -11.19%E -4.22%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-21 19:45
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -10.60%E -4.45%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.40%EV -12.19%E -4.65%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -6.00%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-21 19:54
Unibet (FR)2.24I 44.64%NM 38.80%EV -15.86%E -7.08%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.17%EV -12.19%E -4.65%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.03%EV -10.34%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-21 20:24
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.60%E -4.45%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -12.86%E -4.95%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-21 19:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.60%E -4.45%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -12.86%E -4.95%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-21 19:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.97%E -4.63%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -12.86%E -4.95%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 19:49
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.97%E -4.63%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -12.86%E -4.95%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 19:49
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.99%EV -13.60%E -5.91%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.27%EV -14.54%E -5.70%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -8.89%E -2.82%K -4.14%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-21 20:25
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 36.93%EV -15.48%E -6.88%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 33.92%EV -17.89%E -7.30%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.16%EV -17.57%E -6.17%K -9.50%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-21 20:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -9.85%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -19.57%E -8.15%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -13.23%E -4.41%K -6.62%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-21 20:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.04%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.76%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-03-21 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.04%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.76%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-03-21 20:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.04%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.76%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-03-21 20:15
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.04%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.76%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-03-21 20:20
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.64%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.71%1.1%2026-03-21 20:25
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 37.13%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.05%1.3%2026-03-21 20:20