La escuela de los momios

New England Revolution v D.C. United

Inicio: 2026-04-11 23:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New England Revolution (Local)

Predicción 48.29%2.07momio equitativo
EV -0.518%
Ventaja -0.251%
Kelly -0.488%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.45%48.23%48.19%49.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.951.952.0654.64%51.21%51.28%48.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

D.C. United (Visitante)

Predicción 23.85%4.19momio equitativo
EV +0.176%
Ventaja +0.042%
Kelly +0.055%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.45%23.87%23.89%26.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.803.804.2028.99%26.32%26.32%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.86%3.59momio equitativo
EV -1.11%
Ventaja -0.313%
Kelly -0.435%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.74%27.91%27.91%30.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.343.353.5534.72%29.92%29.85%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV +0.176%E +0.042%K +0.055%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -13.65%E -4.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 23:13
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.53%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.27%EV -1.02%E -0.245%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.20%EV -1.11%E -0.313%K -0.435%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 23:05
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.53%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.27%EV -1.02%E -0.245%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.20%EV -1.11%E -0.313%K -0.435%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 23:05
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.15%EV -2.93%E -1.46%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.38%EV -1.26%E -0.303%K -0.400%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.47%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 23:25
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.80%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -2.21%E -0.539%K -0.713%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 23:15
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.45%EV -8.24%E -4.34%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -2.21%E -0.539%K -0.713%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 23:15
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.25%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.23%EV -3.40%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 23:15
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.19%EV -3.40%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 23:09
GTbets1.94I 51.55%NM 49.17%EV -6.31%E -3.25%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.73%EV -4.12%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.10%EV -1.95%E -0.553%K -0.772%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 15:15
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.59%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -2.50%E -0.715%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 23:15
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.59%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 23:19
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.59%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.50%E -0.715%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 14:34
BetAnything1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -5.35%E -2.73%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -4.59%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.50%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 23:25
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.59%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 23:20
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -4.59%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 23:04
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -4.59%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 23:04
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -9.69%E -5.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -4.59%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 23:05
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.54%EV -1.48%E -0.727%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.43%EV -5.31%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.03%EV -3.62%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 23:24
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.79%EV -4.38%E -2.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -5.79%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 23:01
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.79%EV -4.38%E -2.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -5.79%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 23:01
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.09%EV -6.31%E -3.25%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -6.50%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -7.52%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 23:24
MyBookie.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.38%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.43%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 23:08
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 23:00
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 23:11
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 23:05
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 22:58
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 23:14
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 23:15
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 23:15
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 23:15
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 23:15
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 23:15
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 23:20
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 46.58%EV -4.38%E -2.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 23:01
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 23:25
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.26%EV -10.66%E -5.76%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.26%EV -12.23%E -3.32%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 23:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.45%EV -0.518%E -0.251%K -0.488%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.21%EV -12.94%E -3.55%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%EV -2.50%E -0.715%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 23:25
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 46.45%EV -0.518%E -0.251%K -0.488%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.21%EV -12.94%E -3.55%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%EV -2.50%E -0.715%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 23:20
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.45%EV -0.518%E -0.251%K -0.488%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.21%EV -12.94%E -3.55%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%EV -2.50%E -0.715%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 23:25
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.45%EV -0.518%E -0.251%K -0.488%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.21%EV -12.94%E -3.55%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%EV -2.50%E -0.715%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 23:25
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.36%EV -9.21%E -4.90%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -12.94%E -3.55%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 23:04
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.17%EV -10.66%E -5.76%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.41%EV -12.94%E -3.55%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.42%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 23:05
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.58%EV -2.45%E -1.21%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -14.13%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -3.90%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 23:15
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.58%EV -2.45%E -1.21%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -14.13%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -3.90%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 23:15
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.58%EV -2.45%E -1.21%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -14.13%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -3.90%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 23:15
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.58%EV -2.45%E -1.21%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -14.13%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -3.90%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 23:15
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.58%EV -2.45%E -1.21%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -14.13%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -3.90%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 23:15
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.58%EV -2.45%E -1.21%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -14.13%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -3.90%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 23:15
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -14.13%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -14.13%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 23:15
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -14.13%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -14.13%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 23:15
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.76%E -4.06%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -14.13%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 23:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -11.63%E -6.35%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -14.13%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -19.77%E -6.87%K -10.52%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-11 23:19
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -15.33%E -4.32%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 23:20
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -4.86%E -2.47%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -16.52%E -4.72%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 23:15
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -5.83%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -16.52%E -4.72%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 23:25
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.80%EV -11.14%E -6.06%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -16.52%E -4.72%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-11 23:04
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.51%EV -6.31%E -3.25%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -17.71%E -5.13%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 23:25
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.51%EV -6.31%E -3.25%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -17.71%E -5.13%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 23:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-04-11 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-04-11 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-04-11 23:25
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-04-11 23:25
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.16%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.34%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.50%1.7%2026-04-11 23:25
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 49.53%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.0%2026-04-11 23:20