La escuela de los momios

New England Revolution v CF Montreal

Inicio: 2026-04-04 20:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New England Revolution (Local)

Predicción 49.50%2.02momio equitativo
EV -3.47%
Ventaja -1.78%
Kelly -3.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.73%49.64%49.44%51.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.881.881.9556.18%53.22%53.19%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

CF Montreal (Visitante)

Predicción 24.96%4.01momio equitativo
EV +1.86%
Ventaja +0.455%
Kelly +0.603%
Crecimiento +0.011%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.47%24.81%25.05%26.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.733.754.0829.41%26.83%26.67%24.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.53%3.92momio equitativo
EV -0.928%
Ventaja -0.239%
Kelly -0.322%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.91%25.55%25.51%27.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.623.653.8832.26%27.61%27.40%25.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 51.07%EV -6.44%E -3.41%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.66%EV +1.86%E +0.455%K +0.603%G +0.011%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.27%EV -2.46%E -0.644%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 19:55
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 51.07%EV -6.44%E -3.41%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.66%EV +1.86%E +0.455%K +0.603%G +0.011%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.27%EV -2.46%E -0.644%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 19:54
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.03%EV -7.43%E -3.97%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%EV -0.140%E -0.035%K -0.047%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -2.97%E -0.782%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 20:01
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.46%EV -7.93%E -4.26%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -0.140%E -0.035%K -0.047%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 19:50
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 49.57%EV -3.47%E -1.78%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.66%EV -2.14%E -0.545%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.76%EV -4.46%E -2.31%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.63%EV -2.64%E -0.676%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 20:01
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 49.76%EV -4.46%E -2.31%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.63%EV -2.64%E -0.676%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 20:01
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 49.76%EV -4.46%E -2.31%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.63%EV -2.64%E -0.676%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 20:01
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.76%EV -4.46%E -2.31%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.63%EV -2.64%E -0.676%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 20:01
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -9.41%E -5.14%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -2.64%E -0.676%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 19:55
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -10.90%E -6.05%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -2.64%E -0.676%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 20:01
MyBookie.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.65%EV -5.95%E -3.13%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -3.89%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -6.80%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 20:23
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.71%EV -3.47%E -1.78%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.31%EV -4.38%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.98%EV -0.928%E -0.239%K -0.322%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 20:20
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.45%E -2.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -2.97%E -0.782%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 20:19
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -3.47%E -1.78%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 07:52
BetUS1.90I 52.63%NM 49.49%EV -5.95%E -3.13%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.80%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 20:25
BetAnything1.90I 52.63%NM 49.49%EV -5.95%E -3.13%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.80%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 20:25
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -6.94%E -3.69%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -6.80%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 20:01
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -6.94%E -3.69%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -6.80%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 19:55
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -6.94%E -3.69%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -6.80%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 20:01
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -6.94%E -3.69%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -6.80%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 20:01
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -6.94%E -3.69%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -6.80%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 19:55
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -6.94%E -3.69%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -6.80%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 20:01
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -6.94%E -3.69%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -6.80%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 20:01
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -6.94%E -3.69%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -6.80%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 20:01
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.42%E -4.55%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 19:54
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -8.42%E -4.55%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 19:50
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 48.78%EV -3.47%E -1.78%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.30%EV -6.13%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.92%EV -6.29%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 20:15
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.28%EV -4.46%E -2.31%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -6.38%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 20:24
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.45%E -2.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.38%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 20:15
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -8.42%E -4.55%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.38%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 20:01
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.47%E -1.78%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -7.63%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -5.52%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 20:15
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.47%E -1.78%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -7.63%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -5.52%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 20:14
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.95%E -3.13%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.63%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.52%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 20:19
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -5.95%E -3.13%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.63%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -7.57%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 20:15
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 48.37%EV -4.96%E -2.58%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -7.63%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 07:45
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.75%EV -9.41%E -5.14%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.63%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -9.35%E -2.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 19:55
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -7.43%E -3.97%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -6.80%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 20:14
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 49.68%EV -10.40%E -5.75%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 20:01
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 49.68%EV -10.40%E -5.75%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 19:55
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.45%E -2.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.25%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 20:04
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -5.95%E -3.13%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.52%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 20:24
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -5.45%E -2.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -9.35%E -2.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 20:15
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.42%E -4.55%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 20:20
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.42%E -4.55%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 20:24
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.42%E -4.55%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 20:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.42%E -4.55%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 20:24
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.41%E -5.14%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 20:00
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.78%EV -11.39%E -6.36%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.46%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 20:02
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -6.94%E -3.69%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -11.37%E -3.20%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -8.08%E -2.24%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 20:24
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -7.93%E -4.26%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -12.62%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -6.80%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 20:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -10.90%E -6.05%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -12.62%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -20.84%E -6.72%K -9.93%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-04 19:50
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.42%E -4.55%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.12%E -4.45%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-01 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.42%E -4.55%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.12%E -4.45%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-01 00:05
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.42%E -4.55%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.12%E -4.45%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-01 00:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.42%E -4.55%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.12%E -4.45%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.63%E -3.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 48.85%EV -11.89%E -6.68%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.57%EV -15.12%E -4.45%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.57%EV -13.18%E -3.88%K -5.49%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-04 20:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%0.5%2026-04-04 20:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%0.5%2026-04-04 20:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%0.5%2026-04-04 20:15
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%0.5%2026-04-04 20:15
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 50.03%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.5%2026-04-04 20:24
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 50.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%3.1%2026-04-04 20:01