La escuela de los momios

Nashville SC v Orlando City SC

Inicio: 2026-03-21 22:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Nashville SC (Local)

Predicción 64.53%1.55momio equitativo
EV -2.56%
Ventaja -1.70%
Kelly -5.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.43%64.49%64.56%66.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.451.441.5176.92%69.00%69.20%66.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Orlando City SC (Visitante)

Predicción 15.08%6.63momio equitativo
EV +1.94%
Ventaja +0.287%
Kelly +0.336%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.11%15.13%15.11%17.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.256.026.006.7619.05%16.61%16.67%14.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.39%4.90momio equitativo
EV +1.96%
Ventaja +0.392%
Kelly +0.490%
Crecimiento +0.010%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.99%20.38%20.34%22.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.514.505.0026.67%22.15%22.22%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.40%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -1.98%E -0.305%K -0.361%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV +1.96%E +0.392%K +0.490%G +0.010%5.3%2026-03-21 22:05
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.61%EV -3.21%E -2.14%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.29%EV -4.40%E -0.693%K -0.823%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 20.11%EV -1.71%E -0.355%K -0.447%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 22:10
MyBookie.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 64.29%EV -5.14%E -3.50%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.02%EV -11.03%E -1.87%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -2.12%E -0.441%K -0.557%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 12:23
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.90%EV -3.85%E -2.59%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.88%EV -1.98%E -0.305%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.23%EV -2.53%E -0.528%K -0.668%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 21:49
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.90%EV -3.85%E -2.59%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.88%EV -1.98%E -0.305%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.23%EV -2.53%E -0.528%K -0.668%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 21:50
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 65.52%EV -5.14%E -3.50%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.76I 14.79%NM 14.25%EV +1.94%E +0.287%K +0.336%G +0.007%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.23%EV -2.93%E -0.616%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 22:00
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.79%EV -6.43%E -4.44%K -14.30%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.13%EV +1.79%E +0.265%K +0.311%G +0.006%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -3.14%E -0.660%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 22:09
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -4.50%E -3.04%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -9.52%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -3.14%E -0.660%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 21:55
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -7.08%E -4.92%K -16.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -1.98%E -0.305%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -3.14%E -0.660%K -0.836%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 22:00
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -6.43%E -4.44%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -13.29%E -2.31%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -3.14%E -0.660%K -0.836%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 22:00
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -9.66%E -6.90%K -24.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -9.52%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -3.14%E -0.660%K -0.836%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 22:00
GTbets1.49I 67.11%NM 64.08%EV -3.85%E -2.59%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.07I 16.47%NM 15.73%EV -8.47%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.19%EV -3.54%E -0.749%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 14:35
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.90%EV -3.21%E -2.14%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.71%EV -8.02%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV -4.16%E -0.884%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 22:10
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.90%EV -3.21%E -2.14%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.71%EV -8.02%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV -4.16%E -0.884%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 22:10
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.80%EV -9.02%E -6.39%K -21.99%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.75%EV -12.54%E -2.16%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.44%EV -4.16%E -0.884%K -1.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.46%EV -2.56%E -1.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.71%EV -8.02%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -6.20%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 21:25
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.46%EV -2.56%E -1.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.71%EV -8.02%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -6.20%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 21:25
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -4.50%E -3.04%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -12.54%E -2.16%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.20%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 22:10
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -4.50%E -3.04%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -12.54%E -2.16%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.20%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 22:10
Bally Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -4.50%E -3.04%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -12.54%E -2.16%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.20%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 22:10
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -7.08%E -4.92%K -16.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.98%E -0.305%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.20%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 22:00
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -1.98%E -0.305%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -6.20%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 22:09
Marathon Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.33%EV -6.43%E -4.44%K -14.30%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -7.26%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.50%EV -7.22%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 22:09
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 63.31%EV -3.85%E -2.59%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -9.52%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -8.23%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 21:29
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.31%EV -3.85%E -2.59%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -9.52%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -8.23%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 21:29
BetAnything1.47I 68.03%NM 64.03%EV -5.14%E -3.50%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -5.75%E -0.921%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.92%EV -8.23%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 22:09
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 64.03%EV -5.14%E -3.50%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -5.75%E -0.921%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.92%EV -8.23%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 22:10
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.97%EV -3.85%E -2.59%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -12.54%E -2.16%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -8.23%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 22:10
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -4.50%E -3.04%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -12.54%E -2.16%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.23%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 21:29
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -7.08%E -4.92%K -16.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -1.98%E -0.305%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.23%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 22:00
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -7.08%E -4.92%K -16.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -1.98%E -0.305%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.23%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 22:00
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -7.08%E -4.92%K -16.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -1.98%E -0.305%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.23%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 21:30
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -7.08%E -4.92%K -16.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -1.98%E -0.305%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.23%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 22:00
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 63.29%EV -5.14%E -3.50%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -12.54%E -2.16%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -8.23%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 22:10
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -6.43%E -4.44%K -14.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -9.52%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -8.23%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 21:49
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -9.66%E -6.90%K -24.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -1.98%E -0.305%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.23%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 22:00
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 64.01%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.96%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.65%EV -11.79%E -2.01%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -8.23%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 22:00
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -7.08%E -4.92%K -16.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -17.06%E -3.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -8.23%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 21:20
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.79%EV -3.85%E -2.59%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.85%EV -3.49%E -0.546%K -0.647%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.36%EV -9.25%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:09
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 63.79%EV -3.85%E -2.59%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.85%EV -3.49%E -0.546%K -0.647%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.36%EV -9.25%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:10
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 63.57%EV -4.50%E -3.04%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -5.75%E -0.921%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -10.27%E -2.34%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 22:03
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.88%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -1.98%E -0.305%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -10.27%E -2.34%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 22:10
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 64.88%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -1.98%E -0.305%K -0.361%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -10.27%E -2.34%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 22:10
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 63.47%EV -7.08%E -4.92%K -16.09%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -12.54%E -2.16%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.77%EV -10.27%E -2.34%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 22:09
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -7.08%E -4.92%K -16.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -20.83%E -3.97%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -10.27%E -2.34%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -7.08%E -4.92%K -16.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -20.83%E -3.97%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -10.27%E -2.34%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 11:50
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -7.08%E -4.92%K -16.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -20.83%E -3.97%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -10.27%E -2.34%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -7.08%E -4.92%K -16.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -20.83%E -3.97%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -10.27%E -2.34%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 11:50
Betclic (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 64.62%EV -10.95%E -7.94%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.11%EV -11.03%E -1.87%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -10.27%E -2.34%K -3.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-21 22:09
Winamax (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 63.73%EV -10.95%E -7.94%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -18.57%E -3.44%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.99%EV -10.27%E -2.34%K -3.02%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-21 22:09
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 63.29%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.05%EV -15.55%E -2.78%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.66%EV -11.29%E -2.60%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 21:29
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 63.29%EV -8.37%E -5.89%K -19.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.05%EV -15.55%E -2.78%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.66%EV -11.29%E -2.60%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 21:29
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 63.58%EV -10.95%E -7.94%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.25%EV -18.57%E -3.44%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.17%EV -11.29%E -2.60%K -3.37%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-21 12:30
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.26%EV -7.08%E -4.92%K -16.09%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.71%EV -12.54%E -2.16%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -11.70%E -2.70%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 22:09
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -7.08%E -4.92%K -16.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -13.29%E -2.31%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -11.70%E -2.70%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 22:10
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -4.50%E -3.04%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -9.52%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -13.33%E -3.14%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 22:09
Parions Sport (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.99%EV -12.24%E -9.00%K -34.00%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.54%EV -15.55%E -2.78%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.48%EV -13.33%E -3.14%K -4.10%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-21 22:09
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -4.50%E -3.04%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -9.52%E -1.59%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -14.35%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 22:10
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 64.39%EV -16.11%E -12.39%K -53.71%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 14.69%EV -14.05%E -2.46%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.93%EV -18.43%E -4.61%K -6.14%G +0.000%19.5%2026-03-21 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -9.66%E -6.90%K -24.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -17.06%E -3.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -23.53%E -6.27%K -8.56%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-21 21:28
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.85%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71%0.6%2026-03-21 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.85%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71%0.6%2026-03-21 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.85%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71%0.6%2026-03-21 22:05
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%0.9%2026-03-21 22:10
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.73%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59%2.1%2026-03-21 22:00
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 65.21%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.97%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%2.2%2026-03-21 22:10