La escuela de los momios

Nashville SC v Minnesota United FC

Inicio: 2026-03-08 01:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Nashville SC (Local)

Predicción 57.62%1.74momio equitativo
EV -1.47%
Ventaja -0.859%
Kelly -2.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.19%57.49%57.58%59.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.461.611.621.7168.49%62.03%61.73%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Minnesota United FC (Visitante)

Predicción 19.52%5.12momio equitativo
EV +3.46%
Ventaja +0.652%
Kelly +0.804%
Crecimiento +0.028%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.12%19.63%19.60%21.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.794.785.3024.39%20.87%20.94%18.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.86%4.37momio equitativo
EV -1.25%
Ventaja -0.289%
Kelly -0.376%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.30%22.88%22.82%23.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.044.104.3227.78%24.76%24.39%23.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 58.97%EV -6.08%E -3.73%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.14%EV +3.46%E +0.652%K +0.804%G +0.028%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%EV -3.99%E -0.950%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 01:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.97%EV -6.08%E -3.73%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.14%EV +3.46%E +0.652%K +0.804%G +0.028%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%EV -3.99%E -0.950%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 01:25
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.97%EV -6.08%E -3.73%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.14%EV +3.46%E +0.652%K +0.804%G +0.028%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%EV -3.99%E -0.950%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 01:24
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.97%EV -6.08%E -3.73%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.14%EV +3.46%E +0.652%K +0.804%G +0.028%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%EV -3.99%E -0.950%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 01:24
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%EV -6.08%E -3.73%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.43%EV +2.09%E +0.399%K +0.494%G +0.010%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.42%EV -1.71%E -0.397%K -0.517%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 01:20
LowVig.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 58.87%EV -5.50%E -3.35%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.57%EV +1.50%E +0.289%K +0.358%G +0.005%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.56%EV -2.16%E -0.505%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 21:10
BetOnline.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 58.87%EV -5.50%E -3.35%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.57%EV +1.50%E +0.289%K +0.358%G +0.005%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.56%EV -2.16%E -0.505%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 21:09
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV +1.50%E +0.289%K +0.358%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.28%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 01:24
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV +1.50%E +0.289%K +0.358%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.28%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 01:24
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV +1.50%E +0.289%K +0.358%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.28%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 01:24
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV +1.50%E +0.289%K +0.358%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.28%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 01:25
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV +1.50%E +0.289%K +0.358%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.28%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 01:25
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV +1.50%E +0.289%K +0.358%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.28%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 01:25
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.69%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -0.448%E -0.088%K -0.109%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.28%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 01:24
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.02%EV -6.08%E -3.73%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -2.40%E -0.480%K -0.600%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -6.28%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 01:24
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.65%E -4.11%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -2.40%E -0.480%K -0.600%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.28%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 01:25
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -7.23%E -4.49%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -2.40%E -0.480%K -0.600%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.28%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 23:35
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 57.67%EV -6.65%E -4.11%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -2.40%E -0.480%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -9.71%E -2.46%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 00:59
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -8.38%E -5.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -2.40%E -0.480%K -0.600%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.28%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 01:19
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -10.11%E -6.48%K -18.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -2.40%E -0.480%K -0.600%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 01:25
MyBookie.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 57.80%EV -6.08%E -3.73%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -4.35%E -0.888%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.28%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 01:18
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -6.65%E -4.11%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -4.35%E -0.888%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.68%EV -5.13%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 01:22
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -6.65%E -4.11%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -4.35%E -0.888%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.68%EV -5.13%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 01:24
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -4.35%E -0.888%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.28%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 01:25
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.67%EV -11.84%E -7.74%K -22.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.32%EV -4.35%E -0.888%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -10.85%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-08 01:25
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.67%EV -11.84%E -7.74%K -22.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.32%EV -4.35%E -0.888%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -10.85%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-08 01:25
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 57.37%EV -4.35%E -2.62%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.68%EV -5.52%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.95%EV -5.13%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 01:24
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.93%EV -6.30%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -3.99%E -0.950%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 01:25
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.65%E -4.11%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.30%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.99%E -0.950%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 01:19
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -9.54%E -6.07%K -16.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -6.30%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.28%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 01:00
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -6.65%E -4.11%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -7.28%E -1.53%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.99%E -0.950%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 01:19
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -4.93%E -2.99%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -7.28%E -1.53%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 01:25
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -4.93%E -2.99%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -7.28%E -1.53%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 01:24
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -4.93%E -2.99%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -7.28%E -1.53%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -10.85%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 01:25
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.65%E -4.11%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.28%E -1.53%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 01:20
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -7.28%E -1.53%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.71%E -2.46%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 01:00
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.75%EV -3.20%E -1.90%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -8.26%E -1.76%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -5.13%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 01:24
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.75%EV -3.20%E -1.90%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -8.26%E -1.76%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -5.13%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 01:24
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -4.93%E -2.99%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.96%EV -8.26%E -1.76%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.17%EV -7.42%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 01:25
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -7.23%E -4.49%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -8.26%E -1.76%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -5.13%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 01:25
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -7.23%E -4.49%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -8.26%E -1.76%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 01:23
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -8.38%E -5.27%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.66%EV -9.23%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 01:20
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.65%EV -1.47%E -0.859%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.92%EV -9.62%E -2.08%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.42%EV -1.25%E -0.289%K -0.376%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 01:25
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -7.23%E -4.49%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -10.21%E -2.22%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.85%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 01:20
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -7.23%E -4.49%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -10.21%E -2.22%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.85%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 01:24
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -7.23%E -4.49%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -10.21%E -2.22%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.85%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 01:20
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -4.93%E -2.99%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -12.16%E -2.70%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 01:24
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -12.16%E -2.70%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -10.85%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-08 01:19
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.61%EV -12.42%E -8.17%K -23.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.46%EV -12.16%E -2.70%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 22.93%EV -12.68%E -3.32%K -4.50%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-08 01:19
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -4.93%E -2.99%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -14.11%E -3.21%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.85%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 01:25
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.72%EV -13.57%E -9.05%K -27.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.68%EV -14.11%E -3.21%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 22.61%EV -12.45%E -3.25%K -4.40%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-08 01:23
Parions Sport (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.37%EV -9.54%E -6.07%K -16.73%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -15.09%E -3.47%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-08 01:24
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.08%EV -3.77%E -2.26%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -15.48%E -3.57%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.99%E -0.950%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 01:24
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.81%E -4.88%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -15.48%E -3.57%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 01:24
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.12%EV -6.65%E -4.11%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -16.06%E -3.74%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 01:24
PMU (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 57.30%EV -15.87%E -10.87%K -34.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.46%EV -16.06%E -3.74%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.24%EV -17.71%E -4.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%19.5%2026-03-08 01:20
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -6.65%E -4.11%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -18.02%E -4.29%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 01:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -6.65%E -4.11%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -18.02%E -4.29%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 01:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -7.23%E -4.49%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -18.02%E -4.29%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 01:25
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.69%EV -8.96%E -5.67%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -19.97%E -4.87%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -11.99%E -3.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-08 01:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%0.7%2026-03-08 01:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.27%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-03-08 01:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.11%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52%1.2%2026-03-08 01:24
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.78%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.66%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56%1.9%2026-03-08 01:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.39%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.24%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.37%1.9%2026-03-08 01:25
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.46%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%3.0%2026-03-08 01:25