La escuela de los momios

Minnesota United FC v San Diego FC

2026-08-02 00:30 UTC — MLS

Resultado del partido

36 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Minnesota United FC (Local)

Predicción 48.41%2.07momio equitativo
EV -4.14%
Ventaja -2.09%
Kelly -4.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.38%48.46%48.37%49.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.741.901.911.9857.47%52.57%52.36%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Diego FC (Visitante)

Predicción 27.59%3.62momio equitativo
EV -1.22%
Ventaja -0.340%
Kelly -0.472%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.11%27.61%27.64%28.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.323.303.5833.33%30.08%30.30%27.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.99%4.17momio equitativo
EV -2.11%
Ventaja -0.517%
Kelly -0.685%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.24%23.93%23.98%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.553.833.804.0828.17%26.12%26.32%24.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 49.06%EV -4.14%E -2.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.13%EV -1.22%E -0.340%K -0.472%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.81%EV -2.11%E -0.517%K -0.685%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-26 02:03
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.19%EV -4.14%E -2.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -4.81%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.23%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 08:15
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.19%EV -4.14%E -2.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -4.81%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.23%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 08:15
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.14%EV -4.14%E -2.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 02:04
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.26%EV -4.62%E -2.35%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.77%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 02:04
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.60%EV -5.11%E -2.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -3.43%E -0.979%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.18%EV -5.47%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 08:50
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.60%EV -5.11%E -2.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -3.43%E -0.979%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.18%EV -5.47%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 08:50
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 48.53%EV -5.11%E -2.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.33%EV -3.98%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.14%EV -5.47%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 02:50
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 02:04
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 01:59
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.43%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 02:04
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 47.71%EV -7.04%E -3.67%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.32%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.83%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 02:05
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.43%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 02:05
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.83%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 01:55
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.83%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 02:04
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -10.03%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 02:05
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -10.03%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 03:19
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -10.03%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 03:19
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -10.03%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 03:19
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -10.03%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 03:19
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -8.01%E -4.22%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.03%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 02:00
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -8.01%E -4.22%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -5.08%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.79%EV -5.95%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 01:54
MyBookie.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 48.73%EV -8.01%E -4.22%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -7.63%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 01:58
betano_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -8.01%E -4.22%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -10.03%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 02:04
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -8.01%E -4.22%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -10.03%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 02:05
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.59%EV -8.98%E -4.78%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -7.63%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 03:19
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -9.46%E -5.06%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.40%EV -8.39%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -8.83%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 02:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -10.43%E -5.64%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -10.32%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.23%E -3.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 01:59
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -10.43%E -5.64%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -10.32%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.23%E -3.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 01:59
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -10.43%E -5.64%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -10.32%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.23%E -3.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -10.43%E -5.64%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -10.32%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.23%E -3.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 01:59
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -10.43%E -5.64%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -14.46%E -4.67%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -13.63%E -3.79%K -5.24%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-26 02:04
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -11.40%E -6.23%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -14.46%E -4.67%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -8.83%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-26 06:34
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.38%EV -12.85%E -7.14%K -16.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.09%EV -14.46%E -4.67%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.53%EV -11.23%E -3.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-26 02:40
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.01%EV -13.34%E -7.45%K -16.88%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.16%EV -10.88%E -3.37%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.84%EV -11.71%E -3.18%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-26 01:54
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 48.31%EV -15.76%E -9.06%K -21.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -17.22%E -5.74%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.68%EV -14.83%E -4.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%19.0%2026-07-26 02:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 48.23%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.18%13.3%2026-07-26 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%14.3%2026-07-26 06:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%14.3%2026-07-26 06:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 28.47%1.04I 96.15%NM 53.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 18.41%81.0%2026-07-26 06:10