La escuela de los momios

Minnesota United FC v Portland Timbers

Inicio: 2026-04-19 00:40 UTC

Final: Minnesota United FC 2–0 Portland Timbers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Minnesota United FC (Local)

Predicción 53.45%1.87momio equitativo
EV -1.11%
Ventaja -0.601%
Kelly -1.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.01%53.47%53.53%55.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.741.751.8560.24%57.41%57.14%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Portland Timbers (Visitante)

Predicción 22.83%4.38momio equitativo
EV +0.453%
Ventaja +0.103%
Kelly +0.133%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.38%22.77%22.78%23.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.064.104.4026.67%24.65%24.39%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.72%4.22momio equitativo
EV -0.864%
Ventaja -0.207%
Kelly -0.272%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.12%23.76%23.70%24.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.903.904.1827.78%25.66%25.64%23.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.92%E -3.37%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV +0.453%E +0.103%K +0.133%G +0.001%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.12%EV -0.864%E -0.207%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 00:30
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.92%E -3.37%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV +0.453%E +0.103%K +0.133%G +0.001%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.12%EV -0.864%E -0.207%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 00:30
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 53.79%EV -4.85%E -2.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.27%EV -1.83%E -0.426%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 00:30
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -1.83%E -0.426%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -2.76%E -0.673%K -0.891%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 00:29
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -1.83%E -0.426%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -2.76%E -0.673%K -0.891%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 00:30
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -10.73%E -6.43%K -16.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -1.83%E -0.426%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 00:30
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 53.86%EV -4.32%E -2.41%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.63%EV -2.74%E -0.644%K -0.841%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.76%E -0.673%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-19 00:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.68%EV -4.32%E -2.41%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -4.11%E -0.979%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.44%EV -2.76%E -0.673%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 00:35
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.68%EV -4.32%E -2.41%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -4.11%E -0.979%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.44%EV -2.76%E -0.673%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 00:35
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.68%EV -4.32%E -2.41%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -4.11%E -0.979%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.44%EV -2.76%E -0.673%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 00:35
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.65%EV -5.39%E -3.04%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -4.11%E -0.979%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 00:29
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.11%E -0.979%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.88%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 00:29
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.11%E -0.979%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 00:30
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.11%E -0.979%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 00:29
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.11%E -0.979%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 00:30
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.11%E -0.979%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 00:30
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.11%E -0.979%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 00:30
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.11%E -0.979%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 00:29
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.11%E -0.979%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 00:30
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 53.91%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.11%E -0.979%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 00:29
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -4.11%E -0.979%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.88%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 00:29
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 54.47%EV -9.66%E -5.72%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -4.11%E -0.979%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 00:30
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 53.96%EV -5.92%E -3.37%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.88%EV -5.25%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -2.76%E -0.673%K -0.891%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 00:28
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 53.79%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.68%EV -5.25%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 00:35
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.25%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.18%EV -8.45%E -2.19%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 00:29
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -1.11%E -0.601%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.49%EV -5.71%E -1.38%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 24.07%EV -4.42%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-19 00:29
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 00:29
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 00:29
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 00:31
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 53.73%EV -8.60%E -5.03%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -8.69%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 00:29
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.87%EV -9.13%E -5.37%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -6.40%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -8.69%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 00:29
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 00:28
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -4.85%E -2.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 00:29
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 00:30
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 00:30
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -8.69%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 00:30
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.88%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 00:35
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -8.68%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 00:29
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.82%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 00:35
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.82%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 00:35
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 53.27%EV -8.60%E -5.03%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -9.82%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -8.69%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 00:35
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.85%EV -11.27%E -6.79%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -9.82%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -9.88%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 00:28
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 52.07%EV -5.92%E -3.37%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.96%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 00:29
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -10.96%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 00:29
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -10.96%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 00:31
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -10.96%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 00:29
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -10.96%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 00:29
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -8.06%E -4.69%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -10.96%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 00:35
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.39%EV -10.20%E -6.07%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -10.96%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -9.88%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 00:35
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.39%EV -10.20%E -6.07%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -10.96%E -2.81%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -9.88%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 00:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.25%E -3.49%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 00:30
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.25%E -3.49%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 00:30
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.25%E -3.49%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 00:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.25%E -3.49%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 00:29
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -9.13%E -5.37%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -13.25%E -3.49%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 00:30
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.27%EV -9.13%E -5.37%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -13.25%E -3.49%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.35%EV -13.43%E -3.68%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 00:33
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 52.77%EV -9.13%E -5.37%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -14.39%E -3.84%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -8.69%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 00:35
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.13%E -5.37%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -14.39%E -3.84%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.88%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 00:30
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.23%EV -10.20%E -6.07%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -14.39%E -3.84%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -14.62%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-19 00:31
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39%1.8%2026-04-19 00:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39%1.8%2026-04-19 00:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39%1.8%2026-04-19 00:35
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 53.69%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.70%2.9%2026-04-19 00:30
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 53.83%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%3.2%2026-04-19 00:35
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 53.79%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07%3.9%2026-04-19 00:35