La escuela de los momios

Houston Dynamo v Seattle Sounders FC

Inicio: 2026-04-05 00:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Houston Dynamo (Local)

Predicción 38.12%2.62momio equitativo
EV -0.901%
Ventaja -0.346%
Kelly -0.563%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.71%38.14%38.14%39.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.462.452.6043.48%40.67%40.82%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Seattle Sounders FC (Visitante)

Predicción 34.08%2.93momio equitativo
EV +0.865%
Ventaja +0.292%
Kelly +0.442%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.96

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.77%34.14%34.08%35.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.692.702.9641.67%37.11%37.04%33.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.81%3.60momio equitativo
EV +0.112%
Ventaja +0.031%
Kelly +0.043%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.35%27.72%27.79%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.373.403.6033.33%29.67%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -7.00%E -2.87%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.77%EV +0.865%E +0.292%K +0.442%G +0.004%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.48%EV -1.83%E -0.520%K -0.725%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 00:25
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 38.72%EV -4.71%E -1.88%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.38%EV -1.18%E -0.407%K -0.621%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.90%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 00:15
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.34%EV -7.76%E -3.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%EV -1.86%E -0.646%K -0.990%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 00:20
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 39.34%EV -7.76%E -3.21%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%EV -1.86%E -0.646%K -0.990%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 00:19
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 38.28%EV -4.71%E -1.88%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.58%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.15%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 00:25
BetAnything2.41I 41.49%NM 38.99%EV -8.14%E -3.38%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.97%EV -2.88%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.84%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 00:24
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.74%EV -2.43%E -0.947%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.02%EV -3.22%E -1.14%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.25%EV -4.89%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 00:04
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.74%EV -2.43%E -0.947%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.02%EV -3.22%E -1.14%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.25%EV -4.89%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 00:04
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 00:24
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 00:24
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 00:19
Marathon Bet2.44I 40.98%NM 38.24%EV -7.00%E -2.87%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -8.79%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 00:24
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 00:15
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -9.29%E -3.90%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 00:25
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -9.29%E -3.90%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 00:24
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -9.29%E -3.90%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 00:25
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -10.43%E -4.44%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -4.59%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 00:14
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -4.71%E -1.88%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 00:21
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.71%E -1.88%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 00:05
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.29%E -3.90%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -2.67%E -0.763%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 00:23
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -6.84%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 00:15
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 00:24
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 00:19
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 00:24
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 36.96%EV -0.901%E -0.346%K -0.563%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -2.67%E -0.763%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.96%EV -0.901%E -0.346%K -0.563%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -2.67%E -0.763%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 21:44
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.96%EV -0.901%E -0.346%K -0.563%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -2.67%E -0.763%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 21:44
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.96%EV -0.901%E -0.346%K -0.563%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -2.67%E -0.763%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 21:45
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -4.71%E -1.88%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV +0.112%E +0.031%K +0.043%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 00:04
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.71%E -1.88%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -2.67%E -0.763%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 00:09
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -2.67%E -0.763%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 00:24
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.71%E -1.88%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 23:43
MyBookie.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.40%EV -3.95%E -1.57%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.04%EV -8.34%E -3.10%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.56%EV -4.89%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 00:13
GTbets2.54I 39.37%NM 36.89%EV -3.19%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.22%EV -9.36%E -3.52%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.89%EV -6.56%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 00:15
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -2.81%E -1.10%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -9.70%E -3.66%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 00:15
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -2.81%E -1.10%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -9.70%E -3.66%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 00:15
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -2.81%E -1.10%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -9.70%E -3.66%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 00:15
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -2.81%E -1.10%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -9.70%E -3.66%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 00:14
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -2.81%E -1.10%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -9.70%E -3.66%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 00:15
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -2.81%E -1.10%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -9.70%E -3.66%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 00:14
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -9.70%E -3.66%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.67%E -0.763%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 00:04
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -2.81%E -1.10%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -10.38%E -3.95%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 00:14
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -2.81%E -1.10%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -10.38%E -3.95%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 00:14
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -10.72%E -4.09%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.39%EV -7.67%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 00:09
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -9.29%E -3.90%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.40%EV -10.72%E -4.09%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 00:04
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -4.71%E -1.88%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -11.40%E -4.39%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.84%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 00:15
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -11.40%E -4.39%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 00:04
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -13.11%E -5.14%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 00:09
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -6.62%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -13.11%E -5.14%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 23:40
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.03%EV -7.38%E -3.04%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -13.11%E -5.14%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 00:14
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.03%EV -7.38%E -3.04%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -13.11%E -5.14%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 00:14
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -12.34%E -5.36%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -13.11%E -5.14%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-05 00:10
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -9.29%E -3.90%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -14.81%E -5.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-05 00:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -9.29%E -3.90%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -14.81%E -5.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-05 00:05
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -9.67%E -4.08%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -14.81%E -5.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-05 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -9.67%E -4.08%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -14.81%E -5.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-05 00:04
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -12.34%E -5.36%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -14.81%E -5.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-05 00:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -8.52%E -3.55%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -18.22%E -7.59%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -16.57%E -5.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-04 23:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.03%0.5%2026-04-05 00:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.03%0.5%2026-04-05 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.9%2026-04-05 00:25
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.9%2026-04-05 00:25
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.18%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-04-05 00:25
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-04-05 00:25