La escuela de los momios

Houston Dynamo v Chicago Fire

Inicio: 2026-02-22 01:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Houston Dynamo (Local)

Predicción 41.06%2.44momio equitativo
EV -1.47%
Ventaja -0.611%
Kelly -1.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.67%40.94%41.00%42.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.292.302.4050.00%43.75%43.48%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chicago Fire (Visitante)

Predicción 32.47%3.08momio equitativo
EV -0.655%
Ventaja -0.214%
Kelly -0.318%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.63%32.59%32.38%34.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.822.813.0638.46%35.43%35.52%32.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.48%3.78momio equitativo
EV -2.03%
Ventaja -0.549%
Kelly -0.752%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.48%26.48%26.62%27.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.483.503.7032.26%28.73%28.57%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.47%E -0.611%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -6.50%E -2.26%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.67%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 00:45
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.47%E -0.611%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -6.50%E -2.26%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.67%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 00:45
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.47%E -0.611%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -6.50%E -2.26%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.67%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 00:45
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.47%E -0.611%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -6.50%E -2.26%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.67%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 00:45
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.68%EV -0.655%E -0.214%K -0.318%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.08%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 01:20
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.11%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.20%EV -2.60%E -0.868%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.69%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 00:10
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.11%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.20%EV -2.60%E -0.868%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.69%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 00:10
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -4.23%E -1.43%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-20 15:51
MyBookie.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.32%EV -8.12%E -2.87%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -6.00%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-20 11:34
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 00:45
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 00:45
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 00:45
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 00:45
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 00:45
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 00:45
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 05:35
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-20 11:30
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 00:45
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 00:45
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-20 15:51
GTbets2.34I 42.74%NM 40.75%EV -3.93%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.54%EV -4.88%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.71%EV -5.47%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 01:20
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.53%EV -4.75%E -2.05%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.01%EV -2.28%E -0.757%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.47%EV -3.62%E -0.994%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-22 01:20
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -2.60%E -0.868%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 01:20
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.85%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 01:20
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.65%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 00:45
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -11.30%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-20 15:50
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.62%E -3.82%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 01:00
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.62%E -3.82%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 01:05
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.62%E -3.82%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 01:00
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.10%E -3.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.62%E -3.82%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 01:05
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%EV -6.39%E -2.80%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.57%EV -5.20%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -2.03%E -0.549%K -0.752%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 01:05
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%EV -6.39%E -2.80%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.57%EV -5.20%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -2.03%E -0.549%K -0.752%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 01:05
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.76%EV -6.39%E -2.80%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -12.34%E -4.57%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 00:45
Bovada2.27I 44.05%NM 41.42%EV -6.80%E -3.00%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.09%EV -4.88%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -6.00%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 01:09
BetUS2.27I 44.05%NM 41.42%EV -6.80%E -3.00%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.09%EV -4.88%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -6.00%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 01:05
BetAnything2.27I 44.05%NM 41.42%EV -6.80%E -3.00%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.09%EV -4.88%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -6.00%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 01:05
Marathon Bet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.07%EV -6.80%E -3.00%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -5.85%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.79%EV -7.86%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 01:10
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.23%E -1.43%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 01:20
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -6.50%E -2.26%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 01:20
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -6.50%E -2.26%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 01:10
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.85%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 01:15
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.85%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 01:05
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.85%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 01:04
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 01:00
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -7.47%E -2.62%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 01:05
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -12.34%E -4.57%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -6.00%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 12:55
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -10.72%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 00:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -14.62%E -5.56%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-20 20:55
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -14.62%E -5.56%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-20 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -14.94%E -5.70%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-20 20:55
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -14.94%E -5.70%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-20 20:55
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.68%E -4.40%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -6.50%E -2.26%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 01:15
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -11.73%E -5.46%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -12.34%E -4.57%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 01:04
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -11.73%E -5.46%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -15.59%E -6.00%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -9.97%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%14.4%2026-02-21 12:54
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.39%EV -11.73%E -5.46%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.14%EV -14.94%E -5.70%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.47%EV -13.15%E -4.01%K -5.77%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-22 01:20
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 40.51%EV -12.55%E -5.89%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.94%EV -14.94%E -5.70%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.55%EV -13.95%E -4.29%K -6.20%G +0.000%15.9%2026-02-22 01:04
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -13.78%E -6.56%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.78%EV -15.59%E -6.00%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.63%EV -15.27%E -4.77%K -6.94%G +0.000%17.3%2026-02-20 11:30
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.42%EV -17.89%E -8.94%K -17.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.86%EV -15.59%E -6.00%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.72%EV -17.92%E -5.78%K -8.53%G +0.000%20.7%2026-02-22 01:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.84%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.61%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-02-22 01:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.84%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.61%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-02-22 01:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.84%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.61%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-02-22 01:25
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-02-22 01:25
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.10%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.51%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%2.4%2026-02-22 01:25
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 41.28%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%4.0%2026-02-22 01:15