Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Dallas v St. Louis City SC

Inicio: 2026-04-12 00:42 UTC

Final: FC Dallas 1–1 St. Louis City SC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Dallas (Local)

Predicción 45.69%2.19momio equitativo
EV -0.847%
Ventaja -0.390%
Kelly -0.724%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.23%45.74%45.62%47.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.892.012.002.1752.91%49.64%50.00%46.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St. Louis City SC (Visitante)

Predicción 29.10%3.44momio equitativo
EV +1.84%
Ventaja +0.526%
Kelly +0.736%
Crecimiento +0.014%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.06%28.98%29.14%30.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.243.253.5034.48%30.88%30.77%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 25.21%3.97momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.365%
Kelly -0.491%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.37%25.28%25.25%26.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.453.693.703.9128.99%27.08%27.03%25.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: FC Dallas (Local): 45.69%; St. Louis City SC (Visitante): 29.10%; Empate: 25.21%. Para St. Louis City SC (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.44. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.84%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -8.61%E -4.31%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV +1.84%E +0.526%K +0.736%G +0.014%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.54%EV -7.70%E -3.81%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.84%EV +0.385%E +0.112%K +0.157%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.62%EV -1.68%E -0.431%K -0.579%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 00:39
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.54%EV -7.70%E -3.81%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.84%EV +0.385%E +0.112%K +0.157%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.62%EV -1.68%E -0.431%K -0.579%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 00:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.54%EV -7.70%E -3.81%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.84%EV +0.385%E +0.112%K +0.157%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.62%EV -1.68%E -0.431%K -0.579%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 00:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.54%EV -7.70%E -3.81%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.84%EV +0.385%E +0.112%K +0.157%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.62%EV -1.68%E -0.431%K -0.579%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 00:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.70%EV -5.42%E -2.62%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.19%EV -0.197%E -0.057%K -0.081%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11%EV -2.94%E -0.764%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 00:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.70%EV -5.42%E -2.62%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.19%EV -0.197%E -0.057%K -0.081%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11%EV -2.94%E -0.764%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 00:40
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.07%EV -7.24%E -3.57%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -1.07%E -0.315%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.82%EV -2.94%E -0.764%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 00:29
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.67%EV -9.99%E -5.07%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -1.07%E -0.315%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -4.20%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 00:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.67%EV -9.99%E -5.07%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -1.07%E -0.315%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -4.20%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 00:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.67%EV -9.99%E -5.07%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -1.07%E -0.315%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -4.20%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 00:40
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.67%EV -9.99%E -5.07%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -1.07%E -0.315%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -4.20%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 00:40
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.67%EV -9.99%E -5.07%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -1.07%E -0.315%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -4.20%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 00:40
Bally Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.67%EV -9.99%E -5.07%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -1.07%E -0.315%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -4.20%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 00:39
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.61%E -4.31%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -1.07%E -0.315%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 00:40
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.61%E -4.31%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -1.07%E -0.315%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 00:39
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.60%EV -10.44%E -5.33%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -2.52%E -0.754%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.20%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 00:40
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.68%EV -4.05%E -1.93%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.07%EV -3.98%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -4.20%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 00:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.98%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -4.20%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 00:29
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -4.05%E -1.93%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -3.98%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 00:37
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -10.90%E -5.59%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -3.98%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 00:30
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -11.81%E -6.12%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -3.98%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 00:40
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.61%E -4.31%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -3.98%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 00:40
GTbets🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.71%EV -4.96%E -2.38%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -4.85%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.22%EV -4.96%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 00:29
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.36%EV -4.96%E -2.38%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.94%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.71%EV -7.48%E -2.04%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 00:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.93%EV -7.24%E -3.57%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.60%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -7.73%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 00:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -8.61%E -4.31%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -4.20%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 00:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -12.73%E -6.66%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 00:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.63%EV -13.64%E -7.22%K -15.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -7.98%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 00:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.63%EV -13.64%E -7.22%K -15.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -7.98%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 00:40
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -4.05%E -1.93%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -4.20%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 00:40
BetUS🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -5.42%E -2.62%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 00:32
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 00:38
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.46%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 00:29
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 00:38
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 00:40
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.43%EV -9.53%E -4.81%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -6.89%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 00:29
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.74%EV -0.847%E -0.390%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.43%EV -7.18%E -2.25%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.83%EV -1.43%E -0.365%K -0.491%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 00:29
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -4.96%E -2.38%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -8.34%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 00:34
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -4.96%E -2.38%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -8.34%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 00:35
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.44%EV -10.90%E -5.59%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -8.34%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -7.98%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 00:39
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -4.05%E -1.93%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 00:36
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.63%EV -4.96%E -2.38%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -7.98%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 00:30
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 00:29
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 00:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 00:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 00:29
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.61%E -4.31%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 00:29
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.61%E -4.31%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 00:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.61%E -4.31%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 00:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.61%E -4.31%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -11.76%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 00:36
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.98%EV -11.36%E -5.85%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -11.25%E -3.69%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-12 00:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.61%E -4.31%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.71%E -4.24%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 00:40
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.90%E -5.59%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.71%E -4.24%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -9.24%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 00:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.59%EV -11.81%E -6.12%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.63%EV -13.58%E -4.57%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -10.50%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-12 00:36
MyBookie.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -8.61%E -4.31%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -14.16%E -4.80%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -6.72%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-12 00:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.56%EV -10.44%E -5.33%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.12%EV -15.62%E -5.39%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.32%EV -13.03%E -3.78%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-12 00:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-04-12 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-04-12 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.23%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85%1.8%2026-04-12 00:40
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%3.0%2026-04-12 00:40
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.65%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81%3.3%2026-04-12 00:40