La escuela de los momios

FC Cincinnati v CF Montreal

Inicio: 2026-03-22 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Cincinnati (Local)

Predicción 55.17%1.81momio equitativo
EV -2.91%
Ventaja -1.65%
Kelly -3.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.25%55.13%55.16%57.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.541.681.691.7664.94%59.54%59.17%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

CF Montreal (Visitante)

Predicción 21.50%4.65momio equitativo
EV +5.33%
Ventaja +1.09%
Kelly +1.37%
Crecimiento +0.073%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.52%21.54%21.48%23.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.404.354.9026.67%22.73%22.99%20.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.34%4.29momio equitativo
EV -0.817%
Ventaja -0.192%
Kelly -0.251%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.63%23.34%23.35%25.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.954.004.2530.30%25.31%25.00%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 57.06%EV -7.32%E -4.36%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.56%EV +5.33%E +1.09%K +1.37%G +0.073%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38%EV -4.32%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 16:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.06%EV -7.32%E -4.36%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.56%EV +5.33%E +1.09%K +1.37%G +0.073%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38%EV -4.32%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 16:20
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.06%EV -7.32%E -4.36%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.56%EV +5.33%E +1.09%K +1.37%G +0.073%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38%EV -4.32%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 16:20
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.06%EV -7.32%E -4.36%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.56%EV +5.33%E +1.09%K +1.37%G +0.073%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38%EV -4.32%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 16:20
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV +3.18%E +0.663%K +0.838%G +0.027%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 16:19
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV +3.18%E +0.663%K +0.838%G +0.027%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 16:19
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV +3.18%E +0.663%K +0.838%G +0.027%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 16:20
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV +3.18%E +0.663%K +0.838%G +0.027%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 16:19
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV +3.18%E +0.663%K +0.838%G +0.027%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 16:20
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV +3.18%E +0.663%K +0.838%G +0.027%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 16:20
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.65%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV +2.11%E +0.444%K +0.562%G +0.012%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.67%EV -7.82%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 16:19
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.65%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV +2.11%E +0.444%K +0.562%G +0.012%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.67%EV -7.82%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 16:20
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.76%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.53%EV +1.03%E +0.220%K +0.279%G +0.003%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.71%EV -0.817%E -0.192%K -0.251%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 16:40
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.76%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.53%EV +1.03%E +0.220%K +0.279%G +0.003%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.71%EV -0.817%E -0.192%K -0.251%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 16:40
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -10.63%E -6.56%K -17.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV +1.03%E +0.220%K +0.279%G +0.003%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -8.98%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 16:19
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.84%EV -12.84%E -8.12%K -22.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -1.12%E -0.243%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.63%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-22 16:19
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.84%EV -12.84%E -8.12%K -22.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -1.12%E -0.243%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.63%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-22 16:20
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 55.64%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.87%EV -1.98%E -0.433%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.49%EV -5.48%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:54
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.57%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.35%EV -2.62%E -0.579%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.08%EV -2.22%E -0.529%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 16:55
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.65%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -3.27%E -0.726%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -4.32%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 16:54
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.65%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -3.27%E -0.726%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -4.32%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 16:54
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.24%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12%EV -3.27%E -0.726%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%EV -1.98%E -0.472%K -0.620%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 16:39
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -3.27%E -0.726%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 16:49
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -3.27%E -0.726%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 23:35
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.06%EV -2.91%E -1.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.58%EV -3.48%E -0.775%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.35%EV -3.15%E -0.759%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 16:50
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.52%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -5.42%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -4.32%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 16:40
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.06%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -5.42%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 16:30
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.42%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.98%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 16:19
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.42%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -8.98%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 16:55
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 55.23%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -6.49%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -5.48%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 16:53
BetAnything1.70I 58.82%NM 55.23%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -6.49%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.18%EV -5.48%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 16:55
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -6.92%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 16:43
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -7.32%E -4.36%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -6.92%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.01%EV -5.48%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 16:24
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -6.92%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 16:54
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -7.57%E -1.76%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 16:55
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.67%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -7.57%E -1.76%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 16:40
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.54%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%EV -8.64%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.00%EV -3.15%E -0.759%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 16:55
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.54%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%EV -8.64%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.00%EV -3.15%E -0.759%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 16:55
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 54.47%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -8.64%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -8.98%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 16:19
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -8.64%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -10.15%E -2.64%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 16:55
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -8.64%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75%EV -10.15%E -2.64%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 16:50
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -9.72%E -2.31%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 16:55
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -9.72%E -2.31%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 16:54
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 54.80%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -9.72%E -2.31%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 16:30
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.72%E -2.31%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 16:24
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.72%E -2.31%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 16:24
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.15%EV -10.63%E -6.56%K -17.15%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.53%EV -10.79%E -2.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.33%EV -10.62%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 16:44
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.83%EV -11.73%E -7.33%K -19.56%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.14%EV -10.79%E -2.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -14.82%E -4.06%K -5.59%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 16:54
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 53.73%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -11.86%E -2.89%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.15%E -2.64%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 16:55
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -8.42%E -5.07%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -11.86%E -2.89%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 16:40
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -14.01%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 16:55
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -14.01%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 16:19
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.01%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -12.49%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.01%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -12.49%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 16:25
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.01%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -12.49%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.01%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -12.49%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 16:24
Parions Sport (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 54.73%EV -12.29%E -7.73%K -20.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.75%EV -14.01%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.52%EV -13.65%E -3.69%K -5.06%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-22 16:45
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 54.50%EV -15.04%E -9.77%K -27.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.52%EV -16.16%E -4.14%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.98%EV -18.32%E -5.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%19.1%2026-03-22 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.25%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -19.39%E -5.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -22.99%E -6.97%K -9.99%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-22 16:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.06%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73%0.3%2026-03-22 16:55
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 55.06%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73%0.3%2026-03-22 16:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-03-22 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-03-22 16:55
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.86%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.58%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.55%1.8%2026-03-22 16:45
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 54.91%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.84%2.3%2026-03-22 16:50