La escuela de los momios

FC Cincinnati v Atlanta United FC

Inicio: 2026-02-21 21:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Cincinnati (Local)

Predicción 47.71%2.10momio equitativo
EV -3.63%
Ventaja -1.80%
Kelly -3.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.69%47.76%47.54%50.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.741.911.912.0257.47%52.30%52.36%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atlanta United FC (Visitante)

Predicción 26.21%3.82momio equitativo
EV +2.21%
Ventaja +0.567%
Kelly +0.762%
Crecimiento +0.017%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.94%26.19%26.35%28.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.593.603.9032.79%27.85%27.78%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.09%3.83momio equitativo
EV -1.40%
Ventaja -0.369%
Kelly -0.502%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.05%26.04%26.11%27.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.553.553.7832.26%28.19%28.17%26.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -11.74%E -6.35%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV +2.21%E +0.567%K +0.762%G +0.017%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -4.79%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 21:35
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -11.74%E -6.35%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV +2.21%E +0.567%K +0.762%G +0.017%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -4.79%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 21:35
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -11.74%E -6.35%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV +2.21%E +0.567%K +0.762%G +0.017%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -4.79%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 21:35
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -11.74%E -6.35%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV +2.21%E +0.567%K +0.762%G +0.017%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -4.79%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 21:35
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -11.74%E -6.35%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV +2.21%E +0.567%K +0.762%G +0.017%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -4.79%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 21:35
BetOnline.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 49.03%EV -6.02%E -3.06%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -0.410%E -0.108%K -0.146%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.55%EV -1.40%E -0.369%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-21 21:20
LowVig.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 49.03%EV -6.02%E -3.06%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -0.410%E -0.108%K -0.146%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.55%EV -1.40%E -0.369%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-21 21:20
BetAnything1.97I 50.76%NM 49.03%EV -6.02%E -3.06%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -0.410%E -0.108%K -0.146%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.55%EV -1.40%E -0.369%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-21 21:20
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -10.79%E -5.77%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -0.410%E -0.108%K -0.146%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -2.18%E -0.581%K -0.792%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 21:40
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -11.74%E -6.35%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -0.410%E -0.108%K -0.146%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 21:35
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -11.74%E -6.35%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -0.410%E -0.108%K -0.146%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 21:35
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.67%EV -11.27%E -6.06%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -0.410%E -0.108%K -0.146%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 21:35
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.67%EV -11.27%E -6.06%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -0.410%E -0.108%K -0.146%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 21:35
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -11.74%E -6.35%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -0.410%E -0.108%K -0.146%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 21:35
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -11.74%E -6.35%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -0.410%E -0.108%K -0.146%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 21:35
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -11.74%E -6.35%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -0.410%E -0.108%K -0.146%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 21:35
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -5.54%E -2.80%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.44%EV -0.934%E -0.247%K -0.336%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.99%EV -3.48%E -0.941%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 21:35
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -6.97%E -3.58%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -1.72%E -0.459%K -0.626%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 21:10
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -10.79%E -5.77%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -1.72%E -0.459%K -0.626%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.48%E -0.941%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 21:38
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -11.74%E -6.35%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -1.72%E -0.459%K -0.626%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 21:35
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 48.30%EV -4.11%E -2.04%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.96%EV -1.98%E -0.530%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.75%EV -1.66%E -0.439%K -0.598%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-21 21:30
GTbets1.98I 50.51%NM 48.13%EV -5.54%E -2.80%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.62%EV -2.51%E -0.674%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.25%EV -5.31%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 21:40
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.97%E -3.58%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.03%E -0.819%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 21:10
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -3.03%E -0.819%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 21:10
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 49.66%EV -13.65%E -7.54%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -3.03%E -0.819%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 21:35
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -4.34%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 20:59
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.59%E -2.29%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 18:05
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.97%E -3.58%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 21:00
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.48%E -0.941%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 21:10
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -7.93%E -4.11%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -5.57%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 21:29
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 47.69%EV -4.59%E -2.29%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -6.96%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -2.18%E -0.581%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 19:00
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -3.63%E -1.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -6.96%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 21:40
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -3.63%E -1.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -6.96%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 21:40
MyBookie.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.32%EV -5.06%E -2.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -6.96%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 21:00
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -10.79%E -5.77%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -6.96%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-21 21:35
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.59%E -2.29%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 21:35
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.59%E -2.29%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 21:40
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.97%E -3.58%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 17:15
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -4.59%E -2.29%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 21:40
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.97%E -3.58%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 21:10
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 20:55
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 20:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 20:55
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 20:55
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -3.63%E -1.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 21:05
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -4.59%E -2.29%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 21:40
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -6.50%E -3.31%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 18:00
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -10.79%E -5.77%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 21:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.98%EV -12.70%E -6.94%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -19.13%E -6.17%K -9.11%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-21 21:10
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.47%EV -8.40%E -4.38%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.51%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 20:55
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.51%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.51%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 20:55
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.88%E -4.65%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.51%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 20:55
PMU (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 48.08%EV -16.99%E -9.77%K -22.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.35%EV -13.51%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.56%EV -17.83%E -5.66%K -8.29%G +0.000%19.5%2026-02-21 21:10
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.41%EV -12.70%E -6.94%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.45%EV -14.04%E -4.28%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.13%EV -13.39%E -4.03%K -5.77%G +0.000%15.3%2026-02-21 21:35
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.36%EV -11.27%E -6.06%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.11%EV -14.82%E -4.56%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.53%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.5%2026-02-21 21:00
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 47.36%EV -13.17%E -7.24%K -16.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.52%EV -14.82%E -4.56%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -13.92%E -4.22%K -6.05%G +0.000%16.0%2026-02-21 21:19
Parions Sport (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 45.69%EV -10.79%E -5.77%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.02%EV -20.07%E -6.58%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.29%EV -15.22%E -4.68%K -6.76%G +0.000%17.0%2026-02-21 18:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.30%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-02-21 21:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.7%2026-02-21 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.7%2026-02-21 21:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.7%2026-02-21 21:10
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-02-21 21:40
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-02-21 21:40