La escuela de los momios

D.C. United v FC Dallas

Inicio: 2026-04-04 23:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

D.C. United (Local)

Predicción 43.16%2.32momio equitativo
EV -1.59%
Ventaja -0.698%
Kelly -1.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.82%43.13%43.17%44.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.182.182.2850.00%45.95%45.87%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Dallas (Visitante)

Predicción 29.28%3.42momio equitativo
EV -0.149%
Ventaja -0.044%
Kelly -0.062%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.37%29.32%29.24%31.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.123.103.4135.71%32.05%32.26%29.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.56%3.63momio equitativo
EV -0.795%
Ventaja -0.221%
Kelly -0.306%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.46%27.55%27.58%28.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.383.403.6033.33%29.59%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 42.26%EV -1.59%E -0.698%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.59%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.14%EV -2.17%E -0.612%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.26%EV -1.59%E -0.698%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.59%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.14%EV -2.17%E -0.612%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 23:24
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.26%EV -1.59%E -0.698%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.59%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.14%EV -2.17%E -0.612%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 23:25
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.26%EV -1.59%E -0.698%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.59%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.14%EV -2.17%E -0.612%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 23:25
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 43.13%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.68%EV -4.25%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%EV -1.62%E -0.454%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 23:20
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.96%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.86%EV -1.91%E -0.569%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.18%EV -5.48%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 23:19
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.96%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.86%EV -1.91%E -0.569%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.18%EV -5.48%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 23:19
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 42.96%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.86%EV -1.91%E -0.569%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.18%EV -5.48%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 23:19
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.50%EV -4.65%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 00:04
MyBookie.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.20%EV -11.57%E -3.83%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 23:09
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 23:00
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.06%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -10.69%E -3.51%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -4.93%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 23:25
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.06%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -10.69%E -3.51%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -4.93%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 23:25
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.06%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -10.69%E -3.51%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -4.93%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 23:24
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.06%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -10.69%E -3.51%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -4.93%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 23:25
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.06%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -10.69%E -3.51%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -4.93%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 23:24
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.06%EV -3.75%E -1.68%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -10.69%E -3.51%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -4.93%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 23:25
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -0.795%E -0.221%K -0.306%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 23:09
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 23:24
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 23:04
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.83%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 23:24
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 23:19
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 23:24
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 23:25
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -10.69%E -3.51%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.93%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 23:24
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 23:25
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.38%EV -5.91%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.37%EV -0.149%E -0.044%K -0.062%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -2.17%E -0.612%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 23:15
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.43%EV -5.91%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -4.83%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -4.93%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 23:19
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.43%EV -5.91%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -4.83%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -4.93%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 23:20
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -5.91%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 23:25
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.96%EV -6.34%E -2.92%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -7.96%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 23:19
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 23:08
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 23:14
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 23:15
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 23:05
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 23:20
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 23:09
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 23:25
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 23:01
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 23:20
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -4.93%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 23:10
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 23:20
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 23:19
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 23:19
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 23:20
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -13.62%E -4.62%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 23:24
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.35%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -13.62%E -4.62%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 23:24
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.35%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -13.62%E -4.62%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 23:25
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 23:05
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 23:20
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-04 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-04 23:10
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-04 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-04 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -18.01%E -6.43%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -17.33%E -5.78%K -8.66%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-04 23:25
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.13%EV -10.66%E -5.15%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.56%EV -11.57%E -3.83%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.30%EV -9.89%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 23:08
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -15.08%E -5.20%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 23:04
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.42%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.44%EV -13.62%E -4.62%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-04 23:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.51%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74%1.0%2026-04-04 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-04-04 23:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-04-04 23:20
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-04-04 23:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.47%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.56%1.5%2026-04-04 23:25
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.52%3.1%2026-04-04 23:20