La escuela de los momios

Columbus Crew SC v Orlando City SC

Inicio: 2026-04-12 23:10 UTC

Final: Columbus Crew SC 1–1 Orlando City SC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Columbus Crew SC (Local)

Predicción 66.89%1.49momio equitativo
EV -3.68%
Ventaja -2.55%
Kelly -8.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.67%66.76%67.11%68.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.401.401.4475.76%71.60%71.43%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Orlando City SC (Visitante)

Predicción 14.95%6.69momio equitativo
EV +4.67%
Ventaja +0.667%
Kelly +0.779%
Crecimiento +0.036%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.37%15.00%14.81%16.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.306.226.337.0018.87%16.06%15.81%14.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 18.15%5.51momio equitativo
EV -0.150%
Ventaja -0.027%
Kelly -0.033%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.35%18.23%18.08%20.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.205.035.005.5023.81%19.88%20.00%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.03%E -6.64%K -25.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +4.67%E +0.667%K +0.779%G +0.036%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -4.69%E -0.893%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 23:00
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 67.22%EV -3.68%E -2.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV +0.934%E +0.138%K +0.162%G +0.002%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.44%EV -4.69%E -0.893%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 67.22%EV -3.68%E -2.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV +0.934%E +0.138%K +0.162%G +0.002%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.44%EV -4.69%E -0.893%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 23:00
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 67.22%EV -3.68%E -2.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV +0.934%E +0.138%K +0.162%G +0.002%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.44%EV -4.69%E -0.893%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 23:00
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 67.22%EV -3.68%E -2.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV +0.934%E +0.138%K +0.162%G +0.002%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.44%EV -4.69%E -0.893%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 23:00
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 67.22%EV -3.68%E -2.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV +0.934%E +0.138%K +0.162%G +0.002%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.44%EV -4.69%E -0.893%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 23:00
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.84%EV -6.35%E -4.54%K -15.88%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.07%EV +0.934%E +0.138%K +0.162%G +0.002%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -4.69%E -0.893%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 22:59
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 67.36%EV -3.68%E -2.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.48%EV +0.186%E +0.028%K +0.033%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 18.16%EV -3.05%E -0.572%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-12 22:59
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 67.23%EV -4.34%E -3.04%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.70%EV -2.21%E -0.337%K -0.398%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 18.07%EV -3.42%E -0.642%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 22:59
BetOnline.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 67.13%EV -3.68%E -2.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.87%EV -2.80%E -0.431%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 18.00%EV -2.51%E -0.467%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 23:00
LowVig.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 67.13%EV -3.68%E -2.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.87%EV -2.80%E -0.431%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 18.00%EV -2.51%E -0.467%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 23:00
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 66.81%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.80%E -0.431%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.60%EV -7.41%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 23:00
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -6.35%E -4.54%K -15.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -2.80%E -0.431%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -4.69%E -0.893%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 22:59
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -6.35%E -4.54%K -15.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -2.80%E -0.431%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -4.69%E -0.893%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 23:00
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 66.96%EV -5.68%E -4.03%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -2.80%E -0.431%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%EV -7.41%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 23:00
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.96%EV -5.68%E -4.03%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -2.80%E -0.431%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%EV -7.41%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 23:00
Caesars1.43I 69.93%NM 65.88%EV -4.34%E -3.04%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -2.80%E -0.431%K -0.510%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -12.86%E -2.68%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 22:57
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -7.69%E -5.57%K -20.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -2.80%E -0.431%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -4.69%E -0.893%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 22:59
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 68.06%EV -8.36%E -6.10%K -22.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -2.80%E -0.431%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.78%E -0.713%K -0.879%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 23:00
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.56%EV -7.69%E -5.57%K -20.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -2.80%E -0.431%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.10%EV -6.50%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 22:59
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.15%EV -9.70%E -7.18%K -27.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -2.80%E -0.431%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -5.60%E -1.08%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 23:00
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 67.10%EV -8.36%E -6.10%K -22.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -2.80%E -0.431%K -0.510%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -11.04%E -2.25%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 22:59
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -9.03%E -6.64%K -25.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -2.80%E -0.431%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.23%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 23:00
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -9.03%E -6.64%K -25.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -2.80%E -0.431%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.23%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 23:00
GTbets1.44I 69.44%NM 66.66%EV -3.68%E -2.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.88%EV -3.55%E -0.551%K -0.652%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.46%EV -5.60%E -1.08%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 22:59
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.97%EV -3.68%E -2.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.84%EV -4.30%E -0.672%K -0.796%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.19%EV -10.13%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 22:59
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.72%EV -6.35%E -4.54%K -15.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -4.30%E -0.672%K -0.796%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -9.23%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.72%EV -6.35%E -4.54%K -15.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -4.30%E -0.672%K -0.796%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -9.23%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.11%EV -9.03%E -6.64%K -25.07%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.26%EV -4.30%E -0.672%K -0.796%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -11.04%E -2.25%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 23:00
Bovada1.41I 70.92%NM 66.57%EV -5.68%E -4.03%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -6.54%E -1.05%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -7.41%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 22:48
BetAnything1.41I 70.92%NM 66.57%EV -5.68%E -4.03%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -6.54%E -1.05%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -7.41%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 22:59
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 66.85%EV -6.35%E -4.54%K -15.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -6.54%E -1.05%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.17%EV -6.50%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 22:59
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.49%EV -6.35%E -4.54%K -15.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -6.54%E -1.05%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -9.23%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 23:00
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.49%EV -6.35%E -4.54%K -15.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -6.54%E -1.05%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -9.23%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 22:59
LeoVegas1.34I 74.63%NM 66.95%EV -10.36%E -7.73%K -30.48%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.35%EV -6.54%E -1.05%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -12.86%E -2.68%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 23:00
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 66.95%EV -10.36%E -7.73%K -30.48%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.35%EV -6.54%E -1.05%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -12.86%E -2.68%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 22:59
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 66.95%EV -10.36%E -7.73%K -30.48%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.35%EV -6.54%E -1.05%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -12.86%E -2.68%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 22:59
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 66.92%EV -11.70%E -8.87%K -36.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.48%EV -8.79%E -1.44%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.60%EV -13.77%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-12 23:00
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV -4.34%E -3.04%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -10.28%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -0.150%E -0.027%K -0.033%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 23:00
MyBookie.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 66.08%EV -4.34%E -3.04%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -10.28%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -5.60%E -1.08%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 23:00
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.28%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -9.23%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 23:00
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.35%E -4.54%K -15.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.28%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -4.69%E -0.893%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 22:59
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 65.38%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -10.28%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.14%EV -11.95%E -2.46%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 23:00
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -5.01%E -3.53%K -11.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -10.28%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -13.77%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.01%EV -11.03%E -8.30%K -33.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.41%EV -10.28%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.59%EV -23.75%E -5.65%K -7.42%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-12 23:00
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.23%EV -6.35%E -4.54%K -15.88%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.75%EV -13.27%E -2.29%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.03%EV -12.86%E -2.68%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 23:00
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.14%EV -6.35%E -4.54%K -15.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -14.02%E -2.44%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -12.86%E -2.68%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 22:59
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.14%EV -6.35%E -4.54%K -15.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -14.02%E -2.44%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -12.86%E -2.68%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 22:59
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.14%EV -6.35%E -4.54%K -15.88%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -14.02%E -2.44%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -12.86%E -2.68%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 22:59
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.12%EV -9.70%E -7.18%K -27.70%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.66%EV -14.77%E -2.59%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.22%EV -11.04%E -2.25%K -2.83%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-12 22:59
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.15%EV -7.69%E -5.57%K -20.23%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -16.26%E -2.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -5.60%E -1.08%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 23:00
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 64.67%EV -6.35%E -4.54%K -15.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -17.76%E -3.23%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.86%EV -12.86%E -2.68%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 23:00
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 64.67%EV -6.35%E -4.54%K -15.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -17.76%E -3.23%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.86%EV -12.86%E -2.68%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.67%EV -6.35%E -4.54%K -15.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -17.76%E -3.23%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.86%EV -12.86%E -2.68%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.67%EV -6.35%E -4.54%K -15.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -17.76%E -3.23%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.86%EV -12.86%E -2.68%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 23:00
Betclic (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 65.17%EV -8.36%E -6.10%K -22.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -17.76%E -3.23%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.60%EV -12.86%E -2.68%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-12 22:59
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -9.03%E -6.64%K -25.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -17.76%E -3.23%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -13.77%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 23:00
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.52%EV -10.36%E -7.73%K -30.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.56%EV -20.75%E -3.91%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.92%EV -11.04%E -2.25%K -2.83%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 23:00
NordicBet⚠ inverosímil1.00I 100.00%NM 33.33%EV -33.11%E -33.11%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 33.33%EV -85.05%E -85.05%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 33.33%EV -81.85%E -81.85%K +0.000%G +0.000%200.0%2026-04-12 23:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.79%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.73%0.7%2026-04-12 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%1.0%2026-04-12 23:00
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.40%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.32%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29%1.5%2026-04-12 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.41%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.68%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.5%2026-04-12 23:00
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 67.65%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.64%1.9%2026-04-12 23:00
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.12%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.78%4.1%2026-04-12 23:00