La escuela de los momios

Columbus Crew SC v LA Galaxy

Inicio: 2026-04-23 01:45 UTC

Final: Columbus Crew SC 2–1 LA Galaxy

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

35 corredores (8 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Columbus Crew SC (Local)

Predicción 56.84%1.76momio equitativo
EV -3.95%
Ventaja -2.33%
Kelly -5.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.21%56.84%56.74%59.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.601.611.6966.67%62.47%62.11%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

LA Galaxy (Visitante)

Predicción 20.02%5.00momio equitativo
EV +5.08%
Ventaja +0.969%
Kelly +1.20%
Crecimiento +0.061%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.00%20.12%19.98%21.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.824.805.2524.39%20.75%20.83%19.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.15%4.32momio equitativo
EV -0.469%
Ventaja -0.109%
Kelly -0.142%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.92%23.05%23.27%24.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.084.104.3026.32%24.51%24.39%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (35 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.25%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.31%EV +5.08%E +0.969%K +1.20%G +0.061%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.44%EV -5.10%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 01:18
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 59.49%EV -8.49%E -5.27%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.24%EV +5.08%E +0.969%K +1.20%G +0.061%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.27%EV -0.469%E -0.109%K -0.142%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.49%EV -8.49%E -5.27%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.24%EV +5.08%E +0.969%K +1.20%G +0.061%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.27%EV -0.469%E -0.109%K -0.142%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 01:00
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.49%EV -8.49%E -5.27%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.24%EV +5.08%E +0.969%K +1.20%G +0.061%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.27%EV -0.469%E -0.109%K -0.142%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 01:00
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.49%EV -8.49%E -5.27%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.24%EV +5.08%E +0.969%K +1.20%G +0.061%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.27%EV -0.469%E -0.109%K -0.142%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 01:00
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -10.77%E -6.86%K -18.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV +4.08%E +0.785%K +0.972%G +0.040%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -2.78%E -0.663%K -0.870%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 01:00
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -10.77%E -6.86%K -18.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV +4.08%E +0.785%K +0.972%G +0.040%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -2.78%E -0.663%K -0.870%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 01:00
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -10.77%E -6.86%K -18.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV +4.08%E +0.785%K +0.972%G +0.040%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -2.78%E -0.663%K -0.870%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 01:00
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -10.77%E -6.86%K -18.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV +4.08%E +0.785%K +0.972%G +0.040%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -2.78%E -0.663%K -0.870%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 01:00
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -10.77%E -6.86%K -18.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV +4.08%E +0.785%K +0.972%G +0.040%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -2.78%E -0.663%K -0.870%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 01:00
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -10.77%E -6.86%K -18.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV +4.08%E +0.785%K +0.972%G +0.040%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -2.78%E -0.663%K -0.870%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 01:00
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -11.33%E -7.27%K -20.24%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV +2.08%E +0.408%K +0.508%G +0.011%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -2.78%E -0.663%K -0.870%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 01:00
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -12.47%E -8.10%K -23.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV +2.08%E +0.408%K +0.508%G +0.011%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -5.10%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 01:00
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV +0.081%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 01:03
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -13.04%E -8.52%K -24.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV +0.081%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -5.10%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 01:00
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.48%EV -14.74%E -9.83%K -29.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -1.92%E -0.392%K -0.493%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 01:00
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.48%EV -14.74%E -9.83%K -29.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -1.92%E -0.392%K -0.493%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 01:00
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -3.92%E -0.817%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.78%E -0.663%K -0.870%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 00:59
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -8.49%E -5.27%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -3.92%E -0.817%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.73%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 01:04
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.95%E -2.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.12%EV -4.92%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%EV -5.10%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 01:25
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.67%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -4.92%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 01:05
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -7.93%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -2.78%E -0.663%K -0.870%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 01:24
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -7.93%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -2.78%E -0.663%K -0.870%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 01:30
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -7.93%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.73%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 01:00
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.49%E -5.27%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -7.93%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.73%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 01:25
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.49%E -5.27%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -7.93%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.73%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 01:25
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.49%E -5.27%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -7.93%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.73%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 01:25
Sky Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -9.93%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 01:05
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -9.93%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -12.04%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 01:04
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -9.93%E -2.21%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 01:25
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -11.93%E -2.71%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -5.10%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 01:25
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -13.93%E -3.24%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.95%EV -8.57%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 01:25
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.47%EV -11.33%E -7.27%K -20.24%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.23%EV -16.93%E -4.08%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.30%EV -8.57%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-23 01:22
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -17.93%E -4.37%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -5.10%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 01:30
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.21%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.55%EV -17.93%E -4.37%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.25%EV -12.04%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 01:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.46%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-04-23 01:30
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 57.60%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.45%1.5%2026-04-23 01:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.25%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%1.6%2026-04-23 01:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.25%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%1.6%2026-04-23 01:25
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.17%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.55%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.28%2.3%2026-04-23 01:30