La escuela de los momios

CF Montreal v New York Red Bulls

Inicio: 2026-04-18 18:30 UTC

Final: CF Montreal 4–1 New York Red Bulls

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

CF Montreal (Local)

Predicción 34.15%2.93momio equitativo
EV -0.269%
Ventaja -0.092%
Kelly -0.140%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.25%34.27%34.10%36.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.482.682.652.9240.32%37.25%37.74%34.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New York Red Bulls (Visitante)

Predicción 39.73%2.52momio equitativo
EV -0.687%
Ventaja -0.275%
Kelly -0.458%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.94%39.63%39.81%41.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.372.382.5047.62%42.16%42.02%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.12%3.83momio equitativo
EV +0.563%
Ventaja +0.146%
Kelly +0.197%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.76%26.10%26.09%27.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.583.603.8532.26%27.93%27.78%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.67%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.57%EV -6.65%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV +0.563%E +0.146%K +0.197%G +0.001%4.9%2026-04-18 18:05
1xBet2.92I 34.25%NM 33.20%EV -0.269%E -0.092%K -0.140%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.43%EV -7.04%E -3.01%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.38%EV -0.221%E -0.058%K -0.078%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-18 18:25
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -9.49%E -3.58%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.31%EV -0.687%E -0.275%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.54%EV -2.05%E -0.546%K -0.745%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -9.49%E -3.58%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.31%EV -0.687%E -0.275%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.54%EV -2.05%E -0.546%K -0.745%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 18:15
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -9.49%E -3.58%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.31%EV -0.687%E -0.275%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.54%EV -2.05%E -0.546%K -0.745%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 18:15
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -9.49%E -3.58%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.31%EV -0.687%E -0.275%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.54%EV -2.05%E -0.546%K -0.745%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 18:15
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -7.78%E -2.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -2.05%E -0.546%K -0.745%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 18:25
BetOnline.ag2.87I 34.84%NM 33.65%EV -1.98%E -0.689%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.24%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -3.36%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 18:25
LowVig.ag2.87I 34.84%NM 33.65%EV -1.98%E -0.689%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.24%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -3.36%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 18:25
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.21%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.91%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -3.36%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 18:05
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -7.78%E -2.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.65%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -3.36%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 18:05
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.36%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 18:01
Pinnacle2.86I 34.97%NM 33.83%EV -2.32%E -0.811%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.81%EV -3.47%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.36%EV -4.14%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 18:20
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.22%EV -11.20%E -4.31%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.98%EV -1.48%E -0.597%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.66%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 18:15
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.22%EV -11.20%E -4.31%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.98%EV -1.48%E -0.597%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.66%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 18:15
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.22%EV -11.20%E -4.31%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.98%EV -1.48%E -0.597%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.66%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 18:15
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.22%EV -11.20%E -4.31%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.98%EV -1.48%E -0.597%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.66%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 18:15
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.22%EV -11.20%E -4.31%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.98%EV -1.48%E -0.597%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.66%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 18:15
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.22%EV -11.20%E -4.31%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.98%EV -1.48%E -0.597%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.66%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 18:15
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 36.05%EV -11.20%E -4.31%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -2.67%E -1.09%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -4.66%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 18:01
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.05%EV -11.20%E -4.31%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -2.67%E -1.09%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -4.66%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 18:01
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.62%EV -12.91%E -5.06%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -4.66%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 18:05
GTbets2.88I 34.72%NM 33.54%EV -1.64%E -0.568%K -0.870%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.92%EV -3.86%E -1.60%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.54%EV -4.92%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 17:40
MyBookie.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 18:14
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.65%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 18:01
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -9.49%E -3.58%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -2.67%E -1.09%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 18:25
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -9.49%E -3.58%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -2.67%E -1.09%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 18:25
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -7.78%E -2.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 17:55
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 18:01
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.26%EV -12.91%E -5.06%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -3.47%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 18:15
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.49%E -3.58%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 18:05
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.52%E -4.01%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 18:05
BetUS2.81I 35.59%NM 33.80%EV -4.03%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.74%EV -5.06%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.46%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 18:01
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 33.79%EV -3.68%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.37%EV -3.86%E -1.60%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 17:55
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.79%EV -3.68%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.37%EV -3.86%E -1.60%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 17:55
Bovada2.76I 36.23%NM 34.05%EV -5.73%E -2.08%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.48%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 18:23
BetAnything2.76I 36.23%NM 34.05%EV -5.73%E -2.08%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.48%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 18:25
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -14.61%E -5.85%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.94%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 18:15
Caesars2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 17:59
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.78%E -2.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 18:10
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.63%E -3.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 18:01
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.78%E -2.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -6.65%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 18:01
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.78%E -2.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -6.65%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 18:10
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -10.62%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:00
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.18%EV -15.30%E -6.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.18%EV -6.65%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 18:15
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.18%EV -15.30%E -6.17%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.18%EV -6.65%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 18:15
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -11.20%E -4.31%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -10.62%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -11.20%E -4.31%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -10.62%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 17:35
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -11.20%E -4.31%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -10.62%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -11.20%E -4.31%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -10.62%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 17:35
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -10.52%E -4.01%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -12.60%E -5.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 17:54
Marathon Bet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.05%EV -3.68%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.01%EV -7.44%E -3.19%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.94%EV -9.62%E -2.78%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 17:54
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -4.66%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 18:05
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -11.20%E -4.31%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -10.62%E -4.72%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 18:04
Betclic (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.08%EV -10.52%E -4.01%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.04%EV -11.41%E -5.12%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 18:04
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -10.52%E -4.01%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 18:25
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -10.52%E -4.01%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 18:25
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -10.52%E -4.01%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 18:25
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -10.52%E -4.01%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.45%E -2.29%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -10.17%E -3.87%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -16.58%E -7.89%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -19.03%E -6.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-18 18:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.79%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.06%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.7%2026-04-18 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08%0.9%2026-04-18 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08%0.9%2026-04-18 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08%0.9%2026-04-18 18:25
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 33.99%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.4%2026-04-18 18:25