La escuela de los momios

Atlanta United FC v D.C. United

Inicio: 2026-03-21 23:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlanta United FC (Local)

Predicción 44.55%2.24momio equitativo
EV -2.89%
Ventaja -1.33%
Kelly -2.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.23%44.58%44.54%46.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.072.072.1852.63%48.34%48.31%45.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

D.C. United (Visitante)

Predicción 27.61%3.62momio equitativo
EV +2.17%
Ventaja +0.586%
Kelly +0.803%
Crecimiento +0.017%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.77%27.60%27.62%28.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.413.403.7032.79%29.29%29.41%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.84%3.59momio equitativo
EV -2.56%
Ventaja -0.730%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.83%27.82%27.84%28.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.333.353.5034.48%30.01%29.85%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 46.31%EV -7.79%E -3.76%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.91%EV +2.17%E +0.586%K +0.803%G +0.017%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78%EV -3.95%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 23:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.31%EV -7.79%E -3.76%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.91%EV +2.17%E +0.586%K +0.803%G +0.017%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78%EV -3.95%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 23:05
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 46.31%EV -7.79%E -3.76%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.91%EV +2.17%E +0.586%K +0.803%G +0.017%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78%EV -3.95%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 23:10
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.31%EV -7.79%E -3.76%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.91%EV +2.17%E +0.586%K +0.803%G +0.017%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78%EV -3.95%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 23:09
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -10.02%E -4.96%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV +0.788%E +0.216%K +0.297%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -5.34%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 23:05
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -10.02%E -4.96%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV +0.788%E +0.216%K +0.297%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -5.34%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 23:05
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -10.02%E -4.96%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV +0.788%E +0.216%K +0.297%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -5.34%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 23:04
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -10.02%E -4.96%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV +0.788%E +0.216%K +0.297%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -5.34%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 23:04
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -10.02%E -4.96%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV +0.788%E +0.216%K +0.297%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -5.34%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 23:09
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -10.02%E -4.96%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV +0.788%E +0.216%K +0.297%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -5.34%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 23:09
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.34%EV -5.12%E -2.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.68%EV -0.040%E -0.011%K -0.015%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.99%EV -3.95%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 23:09
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.34%EV -5.12%E -2.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.68%EV -0.040%E -0.011%K -0.015%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.99%EV -3.95%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 23:09
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -10.02%E -4.96%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -0.592%E -0.165%K -0.228%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.34%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 23:05
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -10.02%E -4.96%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -0.592%E -0.165%K -0.228%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.34%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 23:04
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.08%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.07%EV -1.14%E -0.320%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.85%EV -3.11%E -0.895%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 23:25
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -12.24%E -6.22%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -1.97%E -0.556%K -0.774%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 23:05
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.35%EV -2.89%E -1.33%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.39%EV -2.53%E -0.715%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.27%EV -4.78%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 23:20
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.35%E -0.958%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 23:17
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.35%E -0.958%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.34%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 23:05
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.35%E -0.958%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.34%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 23:14
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -3.35%E -0.958%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.73%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 23:24
GTbets2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -7.34%E -3.53%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.15%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.30%EV -3.39%E -0.977%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 19:49
Bovada2.11I 47.39%NM 44.42%EV -6.01%E -2.85%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.73%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 23:23
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.31%EV -13.58%E -7.00%K -14.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -4.73%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 23:04
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.31%EV -13.58%E -7.00%K -14.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -4.73%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 23:05
MyBookie.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 44.31%EV -5.12%E -2.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.60%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.09%EV -6.45%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 23:19
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -2.56%E -0.730%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 23:20
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 23:24
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 23:24
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.34%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 23:04
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.34%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 23:25
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.83%EV -7.34%E -3.53%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -6.45%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 23:19
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 23:14
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 23:19
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 23:24
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 23:14
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.45%EV -2.89%E -1.33%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.73%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 23:19
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.45%EV -2.89%E -1.33%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.50%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.73%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 23:20
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -2.56%E -0.730%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 23:19
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.34%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 23:19
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.34%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 23:24
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 23:15
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 23:00
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 23:20
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 23:00
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 23:09
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.88%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 23:09
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -10.26%E -3.16%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -6.73%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 23:14
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.73%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 23:20
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 06:49
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 06:49
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 06:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 06:50
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.56%EV -10.91%E -5.45%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.64%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.59%EV -10.07%E -3.12%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 23:18
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.44%EV -12.69%E -6.47%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 27.91%EV -13.85%E -4.44%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.65%EV -12.30%E -3.91%K -5.72%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-21 23:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.36%EV -12.69%E -6.47%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -14.40%E -4.64%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.60%EV -12.30%E -3.91%K -5.72%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-21 23:18
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.03%EV -10.91%E -5.45%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -15.78%E -5.17%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-21 23:19
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 43.90%EV -15.36%E -8.09%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.34%EV -15.78%E -5.17%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.76%EV -19.26%E -6.64%K -10.14%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-21 23:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.37%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-03-21 23:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.37%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-03-21 23:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.37%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-03-21 23:25
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.37%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-03-21 23:24
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.25%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.07%1.8%2026-03-21 23:25
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.14%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.0%2026-03-21 23:24