Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Romania v Sweden

2026-10-05 18:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Frente a frente

30 casas de apostas (8 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Romania (Local)

Previsão 25.43%3.93odd justa
EV -1.58%
Vantagem -0.409%
Kelly -0.551%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.04%25.73%25.43%28.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.633.653.8732.26%27.53%27.40%25.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sweden (Visitante)

Previsão 50.05%2.00odd justa
EV -3.90%
Vantagem -2.03%
Kelly -4.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.25%49.86%50.06%50.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.861.871.9255.56%53.69%53.48%52.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.52%4.08odd justa
EV -2.92%
Vantagem -0.737%
Kelly -0.986%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.18%24.41%24.52%25.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.793.803.9627.78%26.40%26.32%25.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Romania (Local): 25.43%; Sweden (Visitante): 50.05%; Empate: 24.52%. Para Romania (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.93. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.87, com valor esperado de -1.58%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (30 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯3.87I 25.84%NM 25.04%EV -1.58%E -0.409%K -0.551%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.48%EV -3.90%E -2.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.48%EV -2.92%E -0.737%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-02 07:42
Marathon Bet🎯3.82I 26.18%NM 25.09%EV -2.85%E -0.747%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.45%EV -4.90%E -2.58%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.45%EV -3.90%E -0.995%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-02 07:42
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -4.63%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -5.90%E -3.14%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.84%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-02 11:55
Neds🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -4.63%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -6.40%E -3.42%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.84%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-02 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -4.63%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -6.40%E -3.42%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.84%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-02 11:50
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.40%E -2.30%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -4.39%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-02 11:50
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -6.40%E -3.42%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -6.84%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-02 11:55
LeoVegas🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -7.40%E -4.00%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -6.84%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-02 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -7.40%E -4.00%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -6.84%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-02 11:50
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.89%EV -6.40%E -3.42%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.84%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-02 10:39
Casumo🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.89%EV -6.40%E -3.42%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.84%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-02 10:39
BetRivers🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.89%EV -6.40%E -3.42%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.84%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-02 10:39
LiveScore Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.89%EV -6.40%E -3.42%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.84%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-02 10:39
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.89%EV -6.40%E -3.42%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.84%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-02 10:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.89%EV -6.40%E -3.42%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.84%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-02 10:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.89%EV -6.40%E -3.42%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.84%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-02 10:40
TABtouch🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.89%EV -6.40%E -3.42%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.84%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-02 10:39
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.89%EV -6.40%E -3.42%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.84%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-02 10:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.89%EV -6.40%E -3.42%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.84%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-02 10:39
Bally Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.89%EV -6.40%E -3.42%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.84%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-02 10:40
MyBookie.ag🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.40%E -4.00%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -10.52%E -2.88%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-02 11:59
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.40%E -4.00%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.84%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-02 07:45
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.40%E -4.00%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -9.29%E -2.51%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-02 07:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.40%E -4.00%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -9.29%E -2.51%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-02 07:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.40%E -4.00%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -9.29%E -2.51%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-02 07:46
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.40%E -4.59%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.07%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-02 07:45
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.40%E -4.00%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -11.74%E -3.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-02 07:45
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -9.90%E -5.50%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.07%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-02 12:10
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.33%EV -19.89%E -6.32%K -9.25%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.50%EV -7.90%E -4.29%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.18%EV -5.61%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-02 11:55
Winamax (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -21.16%E -6.83%K -10.08%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.25%EV -8.90%E -4.89%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -8.07%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-02 11:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.73%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%169.5%2026-10-02 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.73%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%169.5%2026-10-02 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 32.93%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54%176.1%2026-10-02 11:00