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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Kosovo v Israel

2026-11-14 14:00 UTC — UEFA Nations League

胜负盘

27 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Kosovo (主队)

预测 49.01%2.04公平赔率
EV -3.94%
优势 -2.01%
Kelly -4.11%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.96

博彩公司预测分布
47.87%48.98%48.99%49.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.911.911.9654.64%52.40%52.36%51.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

Israel (客队)

预测 24.34%4.11公平赔率
EV -3.63%
优势 -0.915%
Kelly -1.22%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.96

博彩公司预测分布
23.85%24.36%24.45%25.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.763.753.9628.57%26.61%26.67%25.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.65%3.75公平赔率
EV -1.11%
优势 -0.300%
Kelly -0.411%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.71

博彩公司预测分布
26.11%26.66%26.56%27.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.183.483.553.7131.45%28.71%28.17%26.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Kosovo (主队)：49.01%；Israel (客队)：24.34%；平局：26.65%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.75。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为3.71，期望值为-1.11%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.43%EV -3.94%E -2.01%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.46%EV -3.63%E -0.915%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.11%EV -1.11%E -0.300%K -0.411%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-03 11:05
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.20%EV -3.94%E -2.01%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.38%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-03 11:05
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.33%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -5.38%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-03 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.33%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -5.38%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-03 11:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.33%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -5.38%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-03 11:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.33%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -5.38%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-03 11:04
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.33%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -5.38%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-03 11:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.33%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -5.38%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-03 11:05
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.33%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -5.38%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-03 13:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.38%EV -4.92%E -2.54%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.44%EV -4.60%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.18%EV -2.45%E -0.668%K -0.919%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-03 11:05
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-03 11:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-03 11:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-03 11:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -11.17%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-03 11:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -11.17%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-03 11:05
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -11.17%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-03 11:05
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.95%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-03 11:05
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.78%EV -6.88%E -3.62%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.95%EV -3.87%E -0.979%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-03 11:05
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.78%EV -6.88%E -3.62%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.95%EV -3.87%E -0.979%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-03 11:05
Bovada🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.45%EV -6.88%E -3.62%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.09%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -5.38%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-03 11:03
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -7.86%E -4.18%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -6.30%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -5.38%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-03 11:05
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.35%E -4.47%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-03 11:05
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -9.33%E -5.05%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.95%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-03 11:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.33%E -5.05%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -14.82%E -4.23%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.04%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.9%2026-11-03 11:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.25%EV -9.82%E -5.34%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.95%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -8.04%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-03 11:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.31%E -5.64%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.27%EV -12.57%E -3.83%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-03 11:05
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.99%EV -10.31%E -5.64%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.62%EV -15.24%E -4.79%K -6.99%G +0.000%13.9%2026-11-03 11:05
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 50.10%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%11.5%2026-11-03 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 50.10%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%11.5%2026-11-03 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 50.10%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%11.5%2026-11-03 13:30