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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Georgia v Northern Ireland

开赛时间： 2026-09-25 16:02 UTC

最终结果： Georgia 0–1 Northern Ireland

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

29 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Georgia (主队)

预测 52.03%1.92公平赔率
EV -2.71%
优势 -1.45%
Kelly -3.11%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.87

博彩公司预测分布
50.50%52.07%52.11%53.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.701.801.801.8758.82%55.51%55.56%53.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Northern Ireland (客队)

预测 20.07%4.98公平赔率
EV +0.351%
优势 +0.070%
Kelly +0.088%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.00

博彩公司预测分布
18.56%20.01%20.05%20.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.404.644.655.0022.73%21.54%21.51%20.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.90%3.58公平赔率
EV -0.665%
优势 -0.187%
Kelly -0.260%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.56

博彩公司预测分布
26.99%27.92%27.84%29.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.333.303.5632.26%30.01%30.30%28.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Georgia (主队)：52.03%；Northern Ireland (客队)：20.07%；平局：27.90%。 对于“Northern Ireland (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.98。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.00，对应+0.351%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.33%EV -9.47%E -5.44%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV +0.351%E +0.070%K +0.088%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-25 16:00
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.35%EV -2.71%E -1.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 20.14%EV -2.46%E -0.506%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.50%EV -0.665%E -0.187%K -0.260%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-25 15:35
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.86%EV -6.87%E -3.84%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -3.66%E -0.763%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-25 15:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.33%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.16%EV -4.67%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.52%EV -2.90%E -0.833%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-25 15:35
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.55%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -4.67%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 16:00
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -4.67%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-25 16:00
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -4.67%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-25 15:54
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -11.55%E -6.80%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -4.67%E -0.982%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-25 16:00
Suprabets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.06%EV -5.31%E -2.92%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV -5.67%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.78%EV -4.85%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-25 15:39
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.50%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -5.67%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.39%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.50%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -5.67%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.39%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.50%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -5.67%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.39%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 15:45
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.15%EV -5.83%E -3.22%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -5.67%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 16:01
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -5.67%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-25 16:00
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.31%EV -6.67%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 15:20
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.31%EV -6.67%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 15:20
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.55%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.29%EV -6.67%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 16:00
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.95%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -7.68%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-25 15:30
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -7.68%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -13.50%E -4.36%K -6.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-25 16:00
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.68%E -2.15%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-25 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.68%E -2.15%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-25 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.68%E -2.15%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-25 15:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -7.39%E -4.15%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -9.68%E -2.15%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-25 16:01
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -9.68%E -2.15%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-25 15:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -9.68%E -2.15%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-25 16:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.03%EV -9.47%E -5.44%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -9.68%E -2.15%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-25 15:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.03%EV -9.47%E -5.44%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -9.68%E -2.15%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-25 15:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.97%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.62%EV -10.69%E -2.40%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.41%EV -9.87%E -3.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-25 15:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.15%EV -8.43%E -4.79%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -11.69%E -2.66%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -5.13%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-25 16:01
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.52%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04%0.5%2026-09-25 16:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.52%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04%0.5%2026-09-25 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-09-25 16:01