赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

France v Turkey

2026-11-15 19:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

胜负盘

16 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

France (主队)

预测 78.70%1.27公平赔率
EV -3.99%
优势 -3.27%
Kelly -18.12%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.22

博彩公司预测分布
75.05%79.01%78.26%81.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.131.181.171.2288.50%84.61%85.11%81.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

Turkey (客队)

预测 8.08%12.38公平赔率
EV +5.03%
优势 +0.387%
Kelly +0.419%
增长率 +0.021%

假设最高赔率为 13.00

博彩公司预测分布
7.13%8.04%8.46%10.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.0011.0411.0013.0012.50%9.06%9.09%7.69%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 13.22%7.56公平赔率
EV +12.39%
优势 +1.46%
Kelly +1.65%
增长率 +0.205%

假设最高赔率为 8.50

博彩公司预测分布
10.90%12.95%13.29%14.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.006.917.008.5016.67%14.47%14.29%11.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：France (主队)：78.70%；Turkey (客队)：8.08%；平局：13.22%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.56。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为8.50，由此产生+12.39%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (16 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Betway🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.98%EV -11.07%E -9.80%K -85.16%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +5.03%E +0.387%K +0.419%G +0.021%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV +12.39%E +1.46%K +1.65%G +0.205%8.0%2026-11-09 14:34
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.31%EV -4.77%E -3.95%K -22.74%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -11.13%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -4.14%E -0.571%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-09 14:34
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.68%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.46%EV +0.989%E +0.079%K +0.086%G +0.001%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -4.14%E -0.571%K -0.662%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-09 14:35
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -3.99%E -3.27%K -18.12%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -11.13%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-09 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -3.99%E -3.27%K -18.12%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -11.13%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-09 14:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -3.99%E -3.27%K -18.12%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -11.13%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-09 14:35
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -3.99%E -3.27%K -18.12%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -11.13%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-09 14:35
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -5.56%E -4.63%K -27.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -3.05%E -0.254%K -0.277%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-09 14:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.24%EV -6.35%E -5.33%K -33.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -11.13%E -1.01%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-09 14:35
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV +5.03%E +0.387%K +0.419%G +0.021%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-09 14:35
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -3.05%E -0.254%K -0.277%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -7.45%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-09 14:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.58%EV -7.14%E -6.05%K -39.64%G +0.000%10.70I 9.35%NM 8.56%EV -13.55%E -1.27%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.87%EV -12.73%E -1.93%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-09 14:40
ReBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -7.92%E -6.77%K -46.60%G +0.000%10.40I 9.62%NM 8.70%EV -15.98%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -14.06%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-09 14:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 76.98%EV -9.50%E -8.26%K -63.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.85%EV -19.21%E -1.92%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.16%EV -17.36%E -2.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-09 14:38
Winamax (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 76.23%EV -9.50%E -8.26%K -63.31%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.74%EV -27.29%E -3.03%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.03%EV -17.36%E -2.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-09 14:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 75.05%EV -10.28%E -9.02%K -73.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.69%EV -35.37%E -4.42%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -20.67%E -3.44%K -4.13%G +0.000%16.9%2026-11-09 14:35
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 54.34%2.72I 36.76%NM 22.58%2.66I 37.59%NM 23.08%62.9%2026-11-09 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 54.34%2.72I 36.76%NM 22.58%2.66I 37.59%NM 23.08%62.9%2026-11-09 21:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 55.01%2.72I 36.76%NM 22.25%2.66I 37.59%NM 22.75%65.3%2026-11-09 21:25