默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Armenia v Latvia

开赛时间: 2026-09-25 16:01 UTC

最终结果: Armenia 2–0 Latvia

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

29 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Armenia (主队)

预测 53.39%1.87公平赔率
EV -2.30%
优势 -1.26%
Kelly -2.77%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.83

博彩公司预测分布
51.20%53.29%53.45%54.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.681.751.751.8359.52%57.03%57.14%54.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

Latvia (客队)

预测 19.25%5.20公平赔率
EV -3.77%
优势 -0.755%
Kelly -0.944%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.00

博彩公司预测分布
18.56%19.47%19.25%21.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.304.744.755.0023.26%21.09%21.05%20.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.37%3.65公平赔率
EV -1.76%
优势 -0.489%
Kelly -0.678%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.59

博彩公司预测分布
25.95%27.24%27.31%28.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.403.403.5930.77%29.42%29.41%27.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Armenia (主队):53.39%;Latvia (客队):19.25%;平局:27.37%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.65。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.59,期望值为-1.76%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -8.32%E -2.48%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-25 15:40
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.26%EV -2.83%E -1.56%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.74%EV -5.51%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.00%EV -1.76%E -0.489%K -0.678%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-25 15:38
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -2.83%E -1.56%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-25 15:45
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -3.90%E -2.17%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -3.77%E -0.755%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 16:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.84%EV -4.97%E -2.79%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.17%EV -3.77%E -0.755%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.00%EV -2.85%E -0.803%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 15:59
Suprabets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.65%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -3.77%E -0.755%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.36%EV -5.04%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 15:39
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.59%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 16:00
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.71%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -9.55%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-25 16:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.71%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -9.55%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-25 16:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.71%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -9.55%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-25 16:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.33%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -17.25%E -4.01%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -9.69%E -2.94%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-25 15:45
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -3.77%E -0.755%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -4.22%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-25 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.42%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -7.62%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -5.59%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-25 15:55
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.42%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -7.62%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -5.59%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-25 15:55
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.31%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.59%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-25 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -7.62%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-25 16:00
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.98%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.92%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.69%E -2.94%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-25 15:35
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.98%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.92%EV -5.70%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.69%E -2.94%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-25 15:35
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.06%E -3.40%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-25 15:35
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.33%EV -7.10%E -4.08%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -3.77%E -0.755%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -9.69%E -2.94%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-25 15:50
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.39%EV -7.64%E -4.41%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-25 16:00
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.83%EV -7.64%E -4.41%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -7.62%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -11.06%E -3.40%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-25 16:00
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -7.64%E -4.41%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-25 15:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.39%EV -7.64%E -4.41%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.69%E -2.94%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-25 16:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.81%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -11.47%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -2.85%E -0.803%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-25 15:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -13.40%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -2.85%E -0.803%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-25 15:40
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.16%EV -9.24%E -5.43%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -8.59%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.06%E -3.40%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-25 15:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.37%EV -9.24%E -5.43%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -15.32%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.06%E -3.40%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-25 16:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -10.31%E -6.13%K -15.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -7.62%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.22%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-25 15:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.66%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-09-25 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.60%0.6%2026-09-25 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.79%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88%1.0%2026-09-25 16:00