默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Andorra v Malta

开赛时间: 2026-09-24 16:01 UTC

最终结果: Andorra 1–2 Malta

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

29 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Andorra (主队)

预测 23.39%4.28公平赔率
EV +0.566%
优势 +0.132%
Kelly +0.172%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 4.30

博彩公司预测分布
22.06%23.64%23.49%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.893.954.3029.41%25.72%25.32%23.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

Malta (客队)

预测 41.31%2.42公平赔率
EV +1.22%
优势 +0.498%
Kelly +0.841%
增长率 +0.010%

假设最高赔率为 2.45

博彩公司预测分布
38.10%41.12%41.31%42.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.272.252.4547.62%43.99%44.44%40.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 35.30%2.83公平赔率
EV -3.99%
优势 -1.47%
Kelly -2.32%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.72

博彩公司预测分布
34.36%35.24%35.20%35.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.642.652.7240.00%37.85%37.74%36.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Andorra (主队):23.39%;Malta (客队):41.31%;平局:35.30%。 对于“Malta (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.42。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.45,对应+1.22%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
BetRivers🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -18.14%E -5.18%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV +1.22%E +0.498%K +0.841%G +0.010%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -6.46%E -2.44%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-24 15:50
1xBet🎯4.09I 24.45%NM 23.72%EV -4.34%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.60%EV -1.26%E -0.527%K -0.906%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.67%EV -3.99%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-24 15:45
Unibet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -15.80%E -4.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -1.67%E -0.703%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.46%E -2.44%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-24 15:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -15.80%E -4.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -1.67%E -0.703%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.46%E -2.44%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-24 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -15.80%E -4.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -1.67%E -0.703%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.46%E -2.44%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-24 15:55
Casumo🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -15.80%E -4.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -1.67%E -0.703%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.46%E -2.44%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-24 15:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -15.80%E -4.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -1.67%E -0.703%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.46%E -2.44%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-24 15:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -15.80%E -4.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -1.67%E -0.703%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.46%E -2.44%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-24 15:55
Marathon Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.57%EV -0.603%E -0.142%K -0.186%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -4.56%E -1.98%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.92%EV -5.75%E -2.15%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 15:59
DraftKings🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV +0.566%E +0.132%K +0.172%G +0.001%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.15%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.79%EV -6.46%E -2.44%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 16:00
Suprabets🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -1.77%E -0.422%K -0.554%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.10%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.35%EV -5.40%E -2.01%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-24 15:58
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.69%E -1.74%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-24 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.69%E -1.74%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-24 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.69%E -1.74%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-24 16:00
LeoVegas🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.10%EV -5.28%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.59%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.31%EV -6.46%E -2.44%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-24 16:00
BoyleSports🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -11.13%E -2.93%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.23%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -4.69%E -1.74%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-24 16:01
Winamax (DE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -9.96%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.09%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -6.46%E -2.44%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-24 15:59
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -7.62%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.95%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.72%EV -8.93%E -3.46%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-24 15:50
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -7.62%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.95%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.72%EV -8.93%E -3.46%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-24 15:50
TAB🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -8.79%E -2.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.43%EV -8.22%E -3.16%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-24 15:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.13%E -2.93%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.22%E -3.16%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-24 15:59
PMU (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -20.48%E -6.02%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.68%EV -9.99%E -3.92%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-24 15:55
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -1.77%E -0.422%K -0.554%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.76%EV -9.11%E -4.14%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%EV -4.69%E -1.74%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-24 16:00
FanDuel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -1.77%E -0.422%K -0.554%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -9.11%E -4.14%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27%EV -6.46%E -2.44%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-24 15:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 23.71%EV -9.26%E -2.39%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.82%EV -9.11%E -4.14%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.46%EV -5.75%E -2.15%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-24 15:57
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.30%E -3.28%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -9.11%E -4.14%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -8.22%E -3.16%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-24 15:59
Bovada🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -4.11%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.14%EV -9.52%E -4.35%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.36%EV -7.87%E -3.02%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-24 15:59
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.71%EV -11.18%E -5.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.75%E -4.70%K -7.84%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-24 16:00
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -13.24%E -6.31%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.62%EV -8.22%E -3.16%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-24 15:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.18%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.66%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.15%0.2%2026-09-24 16:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.10%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.87%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.02%0.5%2026-09-24 16:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.30%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.76%1.3%2026-09-24 16:00