La escuela de los momios

Viktoria Plzeň v Panathinaikos FC

Inicio: 2026-02-26 17:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Viktoria Plzeň (Local)

Predicción 44.63%2.24momio equitativo
EV -1.82%
Ventaja -0.825%
Kelly -1.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.22%44.65%44.52%45.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.59%47.62%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Panathinaikos FC (Visitante)

Predicción 26.29%3.80momio equitativo
EV +1.22%
Ventaja +0.316%
Kelly +0.427%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.00%26.27%26.41%27.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.613.603.8530.30%27.67%27.78%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.08%3.44momio equitativo
EV -1.13%
Ventaja -0.331%
Kelly -0.469%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.26%29.08%29.07%29.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.233.253.4032.79%30.98%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.83%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00%EV +1.22%E +0.316%K +0.427%G +0.005%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.17%EV -4.03%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 17:10
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.83%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00%EV +1.22%E +0.316%K +0.427%G +0.005%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.17%EV -4.03%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 17:10
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.98%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.57%EV -0.098%E -0.026%K -0.035%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.44%EV -4.03%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-26 17:25
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.98%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.57%EV -0.098%E -0.026%K -0.035%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.44%EV -4.03%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-26 17:25
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.98%EV -3.60%E -1.67%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.57%EV -0.098%E -0.026%K -0.035%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.44%EV -4.03%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-26 17:25
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 45.10%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.52%EV -0.098%E -0.026%K -0.035%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -4.03%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-26 17:25
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -2.73%E -0.737%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -4.03%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 17:15
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -2.73%E -0.737%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 17:10
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -2.73%E -0.737%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 17:10
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -2.73%E -0.737%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -2.73%E -0.737%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 17:25
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -2.73%E -0.737%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 17:25
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -2.73%E -0.737%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 17:25
Bally Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -2.73%E -0.737%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 17:25
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -8.51%E -4.15%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -2.73%E -0.737%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.03%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:10
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -8.51%E -4.15%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -2.73%E -0.737%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.03%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:10
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -7.17%E -3.45%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -2.73%E -0.737%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 17:25
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -7.17%E -3.45%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -2.73%E -0.737%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 17:25
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -7.17%E -3.45%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -2.73%E -0.737%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 17:25
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -8.51%E -4.15%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.73%E -0.737%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 17:10
1xBet2.20I 45.45%NM 44.04%EV -1.82%E -0.825%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.33%EV -3.25%E -0.884%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.63%EV -4.91%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-26 17:35
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 44.25%EV -2.26%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%EV -4.04%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.19%EV -3.45%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-26 17:35
Codere (IT)2.13I 46.95%NM 44.66%EV -4.94%E -2.32%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -4.04%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 17:15
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.33%EV -7.17%E -3.45%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -4.04%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.84%EV -4.91%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 17:25
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.85%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.79%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.36%EV -1.13%E -0.331%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 17:20
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 44.85%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.79%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.36%EV -1.13%E -0.331%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 17:20
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.47%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -4.03%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 17:20
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.47%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -4.03%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 17:20
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.51%E -4.15%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.03%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 17:10
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 17:30
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 17:30
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.51%E -4.15%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.51%E -4.15%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.51%E -4.15%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 17:10
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 17:24
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.51%E -4.15%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-26 17:10
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 44.14%EV -2.26%E -1.03%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.92%EV -5.62%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -2.87%E -0.859%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-26 17:35
Suprabets2.14I 46.73%NM 44.34%EV -4.49%E -2.10%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -6.67%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.93%EV -4.61%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 17:37
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.08%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -6.67%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.26%EV -2.58%E -0.770%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 17:10
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -8.51%E -4.15%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -6.67%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-26 17:20
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -8.51%E -4.15%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.67%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 17:23
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 45.49%EV -10.74%E -5.37%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -6.67%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-26 17:35
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.03%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 17:20
BetUS2.13I 46.95%NM 44.17%EV -4.94%E -2.32%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 17:35
Bovada2.13I 46.95%NM 44.17%EV -4.94%E -2.32%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 17:38
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 17:23
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 17:20
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 17:20
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 17:20
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 17:20
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 17:20
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-26 17:20
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.51%E -4.15%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -11.30%E -3.71%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-26 17:25
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -9.85%E -4.88%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -7.99%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-26 17:25
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -8.51%E -4.15%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -9.30%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 17:15
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.61%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 17:30
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -13.24%E -4.01%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-26 17:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 45.00%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.62%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.38%0.1%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.37%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.27%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.36%0.2%2026-02-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-02-26 17:40
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%0.9%2026-02-26 17:40
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.88%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-02-26 17:40