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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Union Saint-Gilloise v Real Sociedad

2026-10-15 16:45 UTC — UEFA Europa League

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Union Saint-Gilloise (主队)

预测 40.67%2.46公平赔率
EV -2.80%
优势 -1.17%
Kelly -2.01%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.39

博彩公司预测分布
40.03%40.66%40.64%42.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.262.302.3948.78%44.16%43.48%41.84%最小值均值中位数最大值

Real Sociedad (客队)

预测 32.58%3.07公平赔率
EV -2.60%
优势 -0.868%
Kelly -1.30%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.99

博彩公司预测分布
31.50%32.53%32.59%33.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.652.842.852.9937.74%35.23%35.09%33.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.75%3.74公平赔率
EV -3.69%
优势 -1.02%
Kelly -1.42%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
25.74%26.81%26.77%27.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.443.403.6030.30%29.11%29.41%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Union Saint-Gilloise (主队)：40.67%；Real Sociedad (客队)：32.58%；平局：26.75%。 对于“Real Sociedad (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.07。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为2.99，期望值为-2.60%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.54%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.40%EV -2.60%E -0.868%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.06%EV -4.22%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-22 14:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.54%EV -4.02%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.43%EV -3.90%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.03%EV -5.29%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-22 14:54
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.38%EV -4.02%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.31%EV -3.90%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.31%EV -6.63%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-22 12:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -3.69%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-22 14:54
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -6.18%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.69%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-22 14:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-22 14:59
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.72%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-22 14:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.72%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-22 14:44
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.72%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-22 14:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.72%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-22 14:44
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-22 14:53
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.46%E -2.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-22 14:53
Suprabets🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.58%EV -8.08%E -3.58%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.52%EV -8.13%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 26.90%EV -8.77%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-22 14:57
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -8.49%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -3.69%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 14:55
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -8.49%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -3.69%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 14:55
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.49%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -3.69%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-22 14:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.49%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-22 14:59
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -8.49%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.44%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.19%EV -10.65%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-22 14:59
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-22 14:55
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.56%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -10.38%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 14:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.92%EV -11.34%E -5.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.21%EV -9.76%E -3.52%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.87%EV -11.18%E -3.37%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-22 14:58
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.60%EV -12.56%E -5.84%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -13.67%E -5.16%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -11.72%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-22 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -16.62%E -8.11%K -15.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -11.72%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%15.4%2026-09-22 14:59
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 21.55%1.12I 89.29%NM 44.26%1.45I 68.97%NM 34.19%101.7%2026-09-22 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 21.55%1.12I 89.29%NM 44.26%1.45I 68.97%NM 34.19%101.7%2026-09-22 14:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.13%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.74%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.13%174.4%2026-09-22 14:54