默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Omonoia FC v Celta Vigo

2026-09-16 16:45 UTC — UEFA Europa League

胜负盘

16 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Omonoia FC (主队)

预测 27.87%3.59公平赔率
EV -3.85%
优势 -1.12%
Kelly -1.57%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.45

博彩公司预测分布
26.67%27.97%27.87%28.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.273.263.4532.26%30.63%30.63%28.99%最小值均值中位数最大值

Celta Vigo (客队)

预测 44.69%2.24公平赔率
EV -4.81%
优势 -2.26%
Kelly -4.25%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.13

博彩公司预测分布
44.29%44.76%44.69%45.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.922.042.052.1352.08%48.97%48.78%46.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.44%3.64公平赔率
EV -1.22%
优势 -0.339%
Kelly -0.470%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
25.88%27.27%27.44%28.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.403.403.6031.25%29.42%29.41%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Omonoia FC (主队):27.87%;Celta Vigo (客队):44.69%;平局:27.44%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.64。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为3.60,期望值为-1.22%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (16 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Codere (IT)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -3.85%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.57%EV -4.81%E -2.26%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 21:09
Suprabets🎯3.41I 29.33%NM 26.85%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.32%EV -9.72%E -4.81%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 27.83%EV -9.73%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 21:11
SportsBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -1.22%E -0.339%K -0.470%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 21:10
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -1.22%E -0.339%K -0.470%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 21:10
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -1.22%E -0.339%K -0.470%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 21:09
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.15%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -1.22%E -0.339%K -0.470%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 21:10
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -8.03%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.83%EV -14.19%E -7.39%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.50%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-30 21:09
ReBet🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 27.68%EV -8.59%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.02%EV -11.10%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 21:09
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -1.22%E -0.339%K -0.470%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 21:10
Bet Victor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 21:07
betano_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 21:08
LeoVegas🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -9.72%E -4.81%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -10.82%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-30 21:09
Betclic (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.62%E -5.31%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 21:10
TAB🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -12.21%E -3.88%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -10.62%E -5.31%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 23:40
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -13.60%E -4.39%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.62%E -5.31%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 21:09
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -13.60%E -4.39%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.30%EV -11.51%E -5.81%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-30 21:09
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 27.09%1.10I 90.91%NM 45.81%1.86I 53.76%NM 27.09%98.4%2026-08-30 21:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 27.09%1.10I 90.91%NM 45.81%1.86I 53.76%NM 27.09%98.4%2026-08-30 21:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 26.75%1.07I 93.46%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 26.75%101.0%2026-08-30 21:10
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 26.70%1.06I 94.34%NM 46.60%1.85I 54.05%NM 26.70%102.4%2026-08-30 21:10