L’École des cotes

Nottingham Forest v FC Midtjylland

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-12 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Nottingham Forest (Local)

Prévision 62.06%1.61cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.830%
Kelly -2.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.87%61.96%62.13%63.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.461.521.521.5968.49%65.88%65.79%62.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Midtjylland (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.94%6.27cote équitable
EV +3.60%
Avantage +0.554%
Kelly +0.654%
Croissance +0.024%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.83%16.00%15.91%18.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.905.906.5020.00%16.94%16.95%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.00%4.55cote équitable
EV +1.20%
Avantage +0.260%
Kelly +0.332%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.52%22.05%21.96%24.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.904.284.304.6025.64%23.36%23.26%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 63.32%EV -5.04%E -3.30%K -9.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.91%EV +3.60%E +0.554%K +0.654%G +0.024%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.77%EV -2.10%E -0.473%K -0.610%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-12 19:55
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.21%EV -3.80%E -2.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.83%EV +3.60%E +0.554%K +0.654%G +0.024%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96%EV -7.60%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 19:55
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 62.21%EV -3.80%E -2.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.83%EV +3.60%E +0.554%K +0.654%G +0.024%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96%EV -7.60%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 19:55
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.18%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.20%EV +2.01%E +0.313%K +0.371%G +0.007%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%EV -1.00%E -0.223%K -0.287%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-12 19:50
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.18%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.20%EV +2.01%E +0.313%K +0.371%G +0.007%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%EV -1.00%E -0.223%K -0.287%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-12 19:50
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 63.18%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.20%EV +2.01%E +0.313%K +0.371%G +0.007%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%EV -1.00%E -0.223%K -0.287%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-12 19:50
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.95%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.51%EV -0.385%E -0.062%K -0.073%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV -1.00%E -0.223%K -0.287%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-12 19:50
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.66%EV -3.18%E -2.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.54%EV -1.34%E -0.217%K -0.258%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.80%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 19:45
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.78%EV -3.18%E -2.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.80%EV -2.78%E -0.455%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.41%EV -5.40%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 19:15
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.78%EV -3.18%E -2.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.80%EV -2.78%E -0.455%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.41%EV -5.40%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 19:15
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.71%EV -5.04%E -3.30%K -9.52%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.73%EV -2.78%E -0.455%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.56%EV -2.10%E -0.473%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 17:35
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.02%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.50%EV -2.78%E -0.455%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -3.20%E -0.728%K -0.942%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.02%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.50%EV -2.78%E -0.455%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -3.20%E -0.728%K -0.942%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 19:50
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 63.02%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.50%EV -2.78%E -0.455%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -3.20%E -0.728%K -0.942%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 19:50
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.02%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.50%EV -2.78%E -0.455%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -3.20%E -0.728%K -0.942%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 19:50
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.02%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.50%EV -2.78%E -0.455%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -3.20%E -0.728%K -0.942%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 19:50
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.71%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -2.78%E -0.455%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%EV -5.40%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 19:35
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 63.02%EV -7.53%E -5.05%K -15.36%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV -2.78%E -0.455%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -4.30%E -0.989%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 19:50
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 63.02%EV -7.53%E -5.05%K -15.36%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.39%EV -2.78%E -0.455%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -4.30%E -0.989%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 19:50
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.30%EV -3.18%E -2.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.94%EV -4.37%E -0.728%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -7.60%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 19:45
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.04%E -3.30%K -9.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -4.37%E -0.728%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -7.60%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 19:50
Suprabets1.54I 64.94%NM 61.26%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -4.37%E -0.728%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -9.80%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 19:44
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -5.04%E -3.30%K -9.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -4.37%E -0.728%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -9.80%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 19:35
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 61.74%EV -5.66%E -3.73%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -4.37%E -0.728%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.61%EV -8.70%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 19:53
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.39%EV -3.80%E -2.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -4.37%E -0.728%K -0.874%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -14.20%E -3.64%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 19:55
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.57%EV -5.66%E -3.73%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -4.37%E -0.728%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -9.80%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 19:20
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -4.37%E -0.728%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.60%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 05:13
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -4.37%E -0.728%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.60%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 15:55
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 61.68%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.97%EV -5.17%E -0.868%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -6.50%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 19:50
ReBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -3.80%E -2.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.27%EV -5.96%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.81%EV -3.20%E -0.728%K -0.942%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 19:05
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.38%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -5.96%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -5.40%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 19:35
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.69%EV -8.15%E -5.50%K -16.97%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -5.96%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -5.40%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-12 19:35
Codere (IT)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.90%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.44%EV -7.56%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -3.20%E -0.728%K -0.942%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 18:45
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -7.56%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -12.00%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-12 18:40
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.97%EV -5.04%E -3.30%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -8.35%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -3.20%E -0.728%K -0.942%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:50
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.97%EV -5.04%E -3.30%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -8.35%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -3.20%E -0.728%K -0.942%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.04%E -3.30%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -8.35%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -4.74%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 19:50
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.66%EV -5.04%E -3.30%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -8.35%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -5.40%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 19:19
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.97%EV -6.29%E -4.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -8.35%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -5.40%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 19:35
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -8.35%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -4.74%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 19:55
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -5.66%E -3.73%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -8.35%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.80%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 19:55
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -5.66%E -3.73%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -8.35%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -12.00%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 19:15
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.35%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.00%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-12 18:40
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.35%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.00%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-12 18:40
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.35%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.00%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-12 18:40
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 62.44%EV -9.39%E -6.43%K -20.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -8.35%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.60%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-12 19:50
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 62.44%EV -9.39%E -6.43%K -20.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -8.35%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.60%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-12 19:50
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.92%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.56%EV -9.15%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.52%EV +1.20%E +0.260%K +0.332%G +0.004%5.9%2026-03-12 17:01
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -9.15%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -7.60%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 19:50
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.92%EV -1.32%E -0.830%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 17.27%EV -10.59%E -1.89%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.82%EV -2.32%E -0.524%K -0.676%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-12 19:55
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -5.66%E -3.73%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -10.75%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -6.50%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 19:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -5.66%E -3.73%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -10.75%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -6.50%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 19:50
Fliff1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.15%E -5.50%K -16.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.35%EV -10.75%E -1.92%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -7.60%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 19:55
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -12.34%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -1.00%E -0.223%K -0.287%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 18:50
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -12.34%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -4.74%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-12 19:35
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.13%EV -7.53%E -5.05%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -12.34%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -3.20%E -0.728%K -0.942%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 17:01
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.34%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.60%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-12 19:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.66%EV -6.91%E -4.60%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.79%EV -17.12%E -3.29%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -1.00%E -0.223%K -0.287%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-12 19:35
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -5.04%E -3.30%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -20.31%E -4.06%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.60%E -1.81%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 19:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 63.18%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.12%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.70%0.2%2026-03-12 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.88%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%0.7%2026-03-12 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.88%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%0.7%2026-03-12 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.88%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%0.7%2026-03-12 19:50
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.88%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%0.7%2026-03-12 19:55
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.18%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.50%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.32%3.1%2026-03-12 19:15