La escuela de los momios

FC Midtjylland v Nottingham Forest

Inicio: 2026-03-19 17:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Midtjylland (Local)

Predicción 33.22%3.01momio equitativo
EV -0.334%
Ventaja -0.111%
Kelly -0.167%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.37%33.26%33.23%34.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.842.853.0037.74%35.23%35.09%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Nottingham Forest (Visitante)

Predicción 38.38%2.61momio equitativo
EV -1.74%
Ventaja -0.680%
Kelly -1.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.34%38.38%38.44%39.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.452.452.5642.55%40.78%40.82%39.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.40%3.52momio equitativo
EV -0.616%
Ventaja -0.176%
Kelly -0.246%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.88%28.36%28.33%29.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.313.303.5031.75%30.18%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.69%EV -0.334%E -0.111%K -0.167%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.46%EV -2.12%E -0.833%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.85%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-19 17:39
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 32.69%EV -0.334%E -0.111%K -0.167%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.46%EV -2.12%E -0.833%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.85%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-19 17:40
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.69%EV -0.334%E -0.111%K -0.167%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.46%EV -2.12%E -0.833%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.85%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-19 17:39
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.92%EV -2.00%E -0.676%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.09%EV -2.12%E -0.833%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.99%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 17:39
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV -2.00%E -0.676%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.20%EV -5.96%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.25%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 32.55%EV -2.00%E -0.676%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.20%EV -5.96%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.25%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 17:39
1xBet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99%EV -2.33%E -0.792%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.89%EV -1.74%E -0.680%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%EV -5.44%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Marathon Bet2.92I 34.25%NM 33.20%EV -2.99%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.62%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -2.32%E -0.674%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 17:39
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.66%E -1.26%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -4.04%E -1.62%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -2.04%E -0.590%K -0.831%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-19 17:30
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.66%E -1.26%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -4.04%E -1.62%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -2.04%E -0.590%K -0.831%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-19 17:30
ReBet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.66%E -1.26%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.18%EV -3.28%E -1.30%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.64%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 17:30
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -3.66%E -1.26%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -4.04%E -1.62%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 17:29
Pinnacle2.88I 34.72%NM 33.76%EV -4.32%E -1.50%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.98%EV -1.74%E -0.680%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.26%EV -2.32%E -0.674%K -0.951%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 17:40
Coolbet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.31%EV -4.32%E -1.50%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.62%EV -2.12%E -0.833%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.07%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -4.32%E -1.50%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.96%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 17:39
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -4.32%E -1.50%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.96%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 17:39
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -4.32%E -1.50%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.96%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 17:39
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -4.32%E -1.50%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.96%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 17:39
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -4.32%E -1.50%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.96%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 17:39
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -4.32%E -1.50%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.96%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 17:40
Bally Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -4.32%E -1.50%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.96%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 17:39
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -5.32%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.04%E -1.62%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 17:29
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -5.32%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -4.04%E -1.62%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:19
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -5.32%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.96%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 17:30
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -5.32%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.96%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -4.88%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 17:40
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.32%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -5.96%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 17:39
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.32%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.53%EV -6.35%E -2.60%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 17:39
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -5.32%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -7.88%E -3.28%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 17:40
Betclic (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -5.32%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -7.88%E -3.28%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 17:38
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -5.32%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -7.88%E -3.28%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 17:30
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -5.32%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -7.88%E -3.28%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 17:29
Caesars2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -5.32%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -9.80%E -4.17%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 16:39
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -5.32%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -9.80%E -4.17%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 17:39
Suprabets2.84I 35.21%NM 33.40%EV -5.65%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.94%EV -4.04%E -1.62%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.66%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:18
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.96%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 17:29
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.96%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 17:30
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -8.65%E -3.63%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -0.616%E -0.176%K -0.246%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 17:39
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.88%E -3.28%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 17:19
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.96%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 17:39
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.96%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 17:40
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.88%E -3.28%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 17:39
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.88%E -3.28%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 17:40
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.88%E -3.28%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.30%E -1.91%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 17:39
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -5.96%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 17:39
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -5.96%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 17:39
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -5.96%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 17:39
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -5.96%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 17:40
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.88%E -3.28%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 17:30
NetBet (FR)2.77I 36.10%NM 33.22%EV -7.98%E -2.88%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.02%EV -7.11%E -2.94%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-19 17:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.64%E -3.14%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.96%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 17:30
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.64%E -3.14%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.96%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 17:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.64%E -3.14%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.96%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 17:29
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -8.64%E -3.14%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.04%E -1.62%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 17:29
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -8.64%E -3.14%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -8.65%E -3.63%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -10.55%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-19 17:39
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -8.64%E -3.14%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -8.65%E -3.63%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -10.55%E -3.35%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-19 17:40
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -10.30%E -3.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.96%E -2.43%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 17:30
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -10.30%E -3.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.88%E -3.28%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.72%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-19 17:29
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -10.30%E -3.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -7.88%E -3.28%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-19 17:29
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -11.96%E -4.51%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.39%EV -8.27%E -3.46%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 16:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01%0.6%2026-03-19 17:40
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-03-19 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.9%2026-03-19 17:40
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.71%1.1%2026-03-19 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-03-19 17:39
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.86%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-03-19 17:40