L’École des cotes

Bologna v SK Brann

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-26 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bologna (Local)

Prévision 61.04%1.64cote équitable
EV -2.94%
Avantage -1.85%
Kelly -4.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.91%60.98%61.09%62.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.541.541.5968.03%64.99%64.94%62.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SK Brann (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.63%6.01cote équitable
EV +3.92%
Avantage +0.627%
Kelly +0.747%
Croissance +0.029%

avec la cote maximale 6.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.90%16.66%16.63%18.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.675.606.2520.00%17.63%17.86%16.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.33%4.48cote équitable
EV +2.26%
Avantage +0.494%
Kelly +0.632%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 4.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.12%22.36%22.29%23.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.214.204.5825.00%23.76%23.81%21.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.03%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.58%EV +3.92%E +0.627%K +0.747%G +0.029%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.39%EV -2.87%E -0.660%K -0.858%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-26 19:35
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 62.03%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.58%EV +3.92%E +0.627%K +0.747%G +0.029%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.39%EV -2.87%E -0.660%K -0.858%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-26 19:35
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.03%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.58%EV +3.92%E +0.627%K +0.747%G +0.029%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.39%EV -2.87%E -0.660%K -0.858%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-26 19:35
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.02%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.48%EV +3.92%E +0.627%K +0.747%G +0.029%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.50%EV -3.99%E -0.928%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-26 19:35
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.93%EV -9.65%E -6.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.90%EV +3.92%E +0.627%K +0.747%G +0.029%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.22%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 16:10
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -3.55%E -2.25%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.06%EV -0.236%E -0.039%K -0.047%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV -6.22%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 19:49
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -3.55%E -2.25%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.06%EV -0.236%E -0.039%K -0.047%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV -6.22%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 19:49
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -6.60%E -4.31%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -0.236%E -0.039%K -0.047%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -6.22%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -6.60%E -4.31%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -0.236%E -0.039%K -0.047%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -6.22%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 19:35
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -6.60%E -4.31%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -0.236%E -0.039%K -0.047%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -6.22%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 19:35
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -6.60%E -4.31%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -0.236%E -0.039%K -0.047%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -6.22%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 19:35
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -6.60%E -4.31%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -0.236%E -0.039%K -0.047%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -6.22%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 19:35
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.60%E -4.31%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.236%E -0.039%K -0.047%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -8.45%E -2.06%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 19:55
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.07%EV -7.82%E -5.18%K -15.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -0.236%E -0.039%K -0.047%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -6.22%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 19:35
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 62.07%EV -7.82%E -5.18%K -15.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -0.236%E -0.039%K -0.047%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -6.22%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 19:35
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.07%EV -7.82%E -5.18%K -15.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -0.236%E -0.039%K -0.047%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -6.22%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 19:35
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.63%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.16%EV -1.07%E -0.179%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.21%EV -3.32%E -0.767%K -0.997%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-26 19:55
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.90%EV -7.82%E -5.18%K -15.34%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.84%EV -1.90%E -0.322%K -0.388%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.22%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 19:40
Coolbet1.59I 62.89%NM 61.08%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.60%EV -2.73%E -0.467%K -0.563%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -2.87%E -0.660%K -0.858%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-26 19:48
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.71%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.51%EV -3.06%E -0.525%K -0.634%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.78%EV -1.31%E -0.296%K -0.383%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 19:55
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.71%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.51%EV -3.06%E -0.525%K -0.634%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.78%EV -1.31%E -0.296%K -0.383%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 19:54
NetBet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.37%EV -10.26%E -6.98%K -21.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.81%EV -3.56%E -0.614%K -0.742%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -6.22%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 19:55
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.87%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -4.39%E -0.764%K -0.925%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -6.22%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 19:30
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 61.03%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -4.39%E -0.764%K -0.925%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -6.22%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 19:49
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -6.60%E -4.31%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -4.39%E -0.764%K -0.925%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -10.69%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-26 19:03
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.28%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 16.76%EV -4.56%E -0.794%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.96%EV -2.20%E -0.503%K -0.652%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 19:50
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.43%E -5.62%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.06%EV -5.22%E -0.917%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -10.69%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 19:55
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.61%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.27%EV -6.89%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 21.12%EV +2.26%E +0.494%K +0.632%G +0.014%3.4%2026-02-26 19:49
Codere (IT)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV -6.89%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -6.22%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 19:30
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.54%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.92%EV -6.89%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -1.76%E -0.399%K -0.517%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 19:30
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -6.89%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -5.11%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 19:54
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -6.89%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -5.11%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 19:53
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32%EV -8.55%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -3.32%E -0.767%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 19:40
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.59%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.55%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -3.99%E -0.928%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 19:30
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.59%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.55%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -3.99%E -0.928%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 19:30
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -6.60%E -4.31%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -8.55%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.22%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 19:50
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -7.21%E -4.74%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -8.55%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -5.11%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 17:30
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.55%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.69%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 19:15
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.04%EV -7.21%E -4.74%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -8.55%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -6.22%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-26 19:30
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.43%E -5.62%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -8.55%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -3.32%E -0.767%K -0.997%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 19:54
Parions Sport (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.06%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -8.55%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.69%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-26 19:35
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.43%E -5.62%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.55%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.22%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 19:40
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.43%E -5.62%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.55%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.69%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-26 19:55
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.85%EV -9.04%E -6.07%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -8.55%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -10.69%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-26 19:35
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 60.85%EV -9.04%E -6.07%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -8.55%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -10.69%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-26 19:35
Fliff1.49I 67.11%NM 61.26%EV -9.04%E -6.07%K -18.46%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.75%EV -9.38%E -1.72%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.99%EV -7.34%E -1.77%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-26 19:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -12.71%E -2.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -3.32%E -0.767%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 19:30
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -12.71%E -2.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -3.32%E -0.767%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.83%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -13.54%E -2.60%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -5.11%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 19:25
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.83%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -13.54%E -2.60%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -5.11%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 19:25
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -16.86%E -3.37%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.69%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-26 19:50
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.60%E -4.31%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.86%E -3.37%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.69%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-26 19:50
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.60%E -4.31%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.86%E -3.37%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.69%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-26 19:50
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.60%E -4.31%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.86%E -3.37%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.69%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-26 19:49
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.60%E -4.31%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.86%E -3.37%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.69%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-26 19:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.73%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.16%0.3%2026-02-26 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.28%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-02-26 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.28%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-02-26 19:50
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 62.28%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-02-26 19:55
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.81%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.34%1.7%2026-02-26 19:55