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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Hajduk Split v Sint Truiden

2026-11-26 20:00 UTC — UEFA Europa Conference League

胜负盘

24 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hajduk Split (主队)

预测 40.17%2.49公平赔率
EV -3.58%
优势 -1.49%
Kelly -2.56%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.40

博彩公司预测分布
39.14%40.16%40.31%42.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.282.302.4050.00%43.82%43.48%41.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

Sint Truiden (客队)

预测 32.09%3.12公平赔率
EV -0.522%
优势 -0.168%
Kelly -0.249%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.10

博彩公司预测分布
30.02%32.12%32.13%32.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.902.903.1037.04%34.47%34.48%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.74%3.61公平赔率
EV -5.14%
优势 -1.50%
Kelly -2.12%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.42

博彩公司预测分布
26.42%27.73%27.56%29.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.263.303.4233.33%30.66%30.30%29.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Hajduk Split (主队)：40.17%；Sint Truiden (客队)：32.09%；平局：27.74%。 对于“Sint Truiden (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.12。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为3.10，期望值为-0.522%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.14%EV -3.58%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -2.45%E -0.805%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.17%EV -5.14%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-13 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -3.58%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.94%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.47%E -2.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-13 20:05
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -3.58%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.94%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.47%E -2.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-13 20:05
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -4.79%E -2.02%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -3.73%E -1.24%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -8.47%E -2.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-13 20:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -4.79%E -2.02%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -6.94%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -8.47%E -2.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-13 20:04
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.73%E -1.24%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-13 22:29
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -5.34%E -1.81%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -7.08%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-13 20:00
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -5.34%E -1.81%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -8.47%E -2.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-13 20:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.13%EV -6.80%E -2.93%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.66%EV -5.66%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.47%E -2.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 19:59
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.58%E -2.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-13 20:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.15%E -3.62%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-13 19:59
picklebet_au🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.15%E -3.62%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.47%E -2.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-13 20:00
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -8.54%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.24%E -3.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-13 20:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -8.41%E -3.69%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -0.522%E -0.168%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -9.85%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-13 23:45
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -8.41%E -3.69%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -0.522%E -0.168%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -9.85%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-13 23:55
ReBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.04%EV -8.81%E -3.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 32.58%EV -10.47%E -3.75%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.38%EV -7.91%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-13 20:00
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.15%E -3.62%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.47%E -2.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-13 20:00
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -10.15%E -3.62%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.24%E -3.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-13 22:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -11.62%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -3.73%E -1.24%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -14.01%E -4.52%K -6.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-13 23:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -11.62%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -3.73%E -1.24%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -14.01%E -4.52%K -6.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-13 23:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -11.62%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -3.73%E -1.24%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -14.01%E -4.52%K -6.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-13 23:54
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -11.62%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -13.36%E -4.95%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -16.79%E -5.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%15.8%2026-11-13 20:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 40.84%EV -14.43%E -6.78%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.98%EV -12.72%E -4.68%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.18%EV -11.24%E -3.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%15.0%2026-11-13 19:58
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.27%EV -19.65%E -9.83%K -19.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.31%EV -13.36%E -4.95%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.42%EV -11.24%E -3.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%18.3%2026-11-13 20:00
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-11-13 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-11-13 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-11-13 22:50

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