Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Copenhagen v SC Braga

Início: 2026-10-15 19:00 UTC

Final: FC Copenhagen 3–0 SC Braga

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Copenhagen (Local)

Previsão 42.19%2.37odd justa
EV -1.70%
Vantagem -0.732%
Kelly -1.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.54%42.13%42.33%43.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.222.202.3347.62%45.02%45.45%42.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

SC Braga (Visitante)

Previsão 28.52%3.51odd justa
EV -0.176%
Vantagem -0.050%
Kelly -0.070%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.44%28.53%28.47%30.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.223.213.5033.33%31.09%31.10%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.29%3.41odd justa
EV -0.408%
Vantagem -0.120%
Kelly -0.170%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.97%29.34%29.19%30.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.953.193.203.4033.90%31.31%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: FC Copenhagen (Local): 42.19%; SC Braga (Visitante): 28.52%; Empate: 29.29%. Para SC Braga (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.51. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.50, com valor esperado de -0.176%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -1.70%E -0.732%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.85%EV -6.56%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -1.70%E -0.732%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.85%EV -6.56%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 18:10
Coolbet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.68%EV -2.13%E -0.917%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -0.176%E -0.050%K -0.070%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.70%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-15 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.54%EV -2.13%E -0.917%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.12%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.34%EV -0.408%E -0.120%K -0.170%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-15 18:40
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -2.97%E -1.29%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -11.58%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.408%E -0.120%K -0.170%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 18:04
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.59%EV -3.81%E -1.67%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.10%EV -10.16%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -1.87%E -0.559%K -0.797%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-15 18:40
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.34%EV -4.24%E -1.87%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.35%EV -3.31%E -0.977%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.30%EV -3.92%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-15 18:55
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -3.03%E -0.891%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-15 17:50
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -3.34%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-15 17:55
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-15 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-15 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-15 17:55
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 18:50
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -13.01%E -4.27%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -3.34%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 18:15
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-15 18:50
ReBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.92%EV -5.50%E -2.46%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.11%EV -2.46%E -0.719%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.96%EV -2.75%E -0.829%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-15 18:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -5.92%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-15 17:50
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -6.35%E -2.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -10.16%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-15 18:55
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.16%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.44%EV -1.32%E -0.381%K -0.535%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.40%EV -5.39%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-15 18:00
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-15 18:44
picklebet_au🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-15 18:00
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 18:35
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 18:44
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 18:44
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 18:00
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-15 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-15 18:35
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-15 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.88%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-15 18:30
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -10.16%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-15 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -14.44%E -4.81%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-15 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -14.44%E -4.81%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-15 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -14.44%E -4.81%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-15 18:40
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.58%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -12.12%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-15 18:45
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.44%E -4.81%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.12%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-15 18:49
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -8.03%E -3.68%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.73%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 18:53
NetBet (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -8.45%E -3.90%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -11.58%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-15 18:50
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -9.30%E -4.32%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-15 18:55
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.30%E -4.32%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.58%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-15 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.41%E -5.43%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.11%EV -7.88%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.65%EV -7.14%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-15 18:33
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.46%EV -11.41%E -5.43%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.02%EV -14.44%E -4.81%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -13.59%E -4.61%K -6.97%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-15 18:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.84%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%0.5%2026-10-15 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.84%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%0.5%2026-10-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.84%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%0.5%2026-10-15 18:55