Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Viking FK v Sabah FK

2026-11-04 20:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Viking FK (Local)

Predicción 59.95%1.67momio equitativo
EV -2.29%
Ventaja -1.40%
Kelly -3.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.44%60.07%60.07%62.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.531.531.6369.44%65.25%65.36%61.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sabah FK (Visitante)

Predicción 18.14%5.51momio equitativo
EV +5.22%
Ventaja +0.901%
Kelly +1.09%
Crecimiento +0.057%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.17%18.00%18.03%19.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.305.335.305.8023.26%18.75%18.87%17.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 21.91%4.56momio equitativo
EV -0.964%
Ventaja -0.213%
Kelly -0.274%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.91%21.93%21.90%23.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.904.294.334.5225.64%23.33%23.09%22.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Viking FK (Local): 59.95%; Sabah FK (Visitante): 18.14%; Empate: 21.91%. Para Sabah FK (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 5.51. 16 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 5.80, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +5.22%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -10.08%E -6.72%K -20.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV +5.22%E +0.901%K +1.09%G +0.057%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 21:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -10.08%E -6.72%K -20.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV +5.22%E +0.901%K +1.09%G +0.057%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -10.08%E -6.72%K -20.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV +5.22%E +0.901%K +1.09%G +0.057%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:00
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -10.08%E -6.72%K -20.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV +5.22%E +0.901%K +1.09%G +0.057%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -10.08%E -6.72%K -20.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV +5.22%E +0.901%K +1.09%G +0.057%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:00
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -10.08%E -6.72%K -20.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV +5.22%E +0.901%K +1.09%G +0.057%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:00
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -10.08%E -6.72%K -20.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV +5.22%E +0.901%K +1.09%G +0.057%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:00
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -10.08%E -6.72%K -20.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV +5.22%E +0.901%K +1.09%G +0.057%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -10.08%E -6.72%K -20.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV +5.22%E +0.901%K +1.09%G +0.057%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:00
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -10.08%E -6.72%K -20.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV +5.22%E +0.901%K +1.09%G +0.057%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:00
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -10.08%E -6.72%K -20.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV +5.22%E +0.901%K +1.09%G +0.057%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -10.08%E -6.72%K -20.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV +5.22%E +0.901%K +1.09%G +0.057%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -10.08%E -6.72%K -20.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV +5.22%E +0.901%K +1.09%G +0.057%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 22:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -10.08%E -6.72%K -20.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +4.32%E +0.751%K +0.909%G +0.039%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -1.40%E -0.312%K -0.401%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-21 22:50
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.83%EV -7.68%E -4.99%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.00%EV +1.60%E +0.285%K +0.347%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -1.40%E -0.312%K -0.401%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-21 21:55
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.02%EV -7.08%E -4.57%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.57I 17.95%NM 16.98%EV +1.05%E +0.189%K +0.230%G +0.002%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -5.78%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-21 22:30
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.19%EV -5.88%E -3.75%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.47%EV -0.218%E -0.040%K -0.048%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV -1.40%E -0.312%K -0.401%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-22 00:39
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68%EV -5.88%E -3.75%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32%EV -0.218%E -0.040%K -0.048%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-21 23:19
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -9.48%E -6.28%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -0.218%E -0.040%K -0.048%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-21 21:55
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -10.08%E -6.72%K -20.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -0.218%E -0.040%K -0.048%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-21 22:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.16%EV -13.08%E -9.02%K -29.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -0.218%E -0.040%K -0.048%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-21 22:00
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.33%EV -2.29%E -1.40%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.91%EV -0.399%E -0.073%K -0.089%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.76%EV -0.964%E -0.213%K -0.274%G +0.000%1.7%2026-10-21 22:55
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.13%EV -13.68%E -9.50%K -31.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.57%EV -2.03%E -0.376%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-21 22:00
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.99%EV -4.08%E -2.55%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.94%EV -2.94%E -0.549%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.07%EV -4.69%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-22 00:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.29%EV -4.68%E -2.95%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.92%EV -2.94%E -0.549%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.79%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-21 22:50
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.94%EV -5.28%E -3.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -4.75%E -0.905%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -5.78%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-22 00:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -5.88%E -3.75%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -4.75%E -0.905%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-21 23:10
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -5.88%E -3.75%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -4.75%E -0.905%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-21 23:10
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -5.88%E -3.75%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -4.75%E -0.905%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-21 23:10
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -5.88%E -3.75%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.75%E -0.905%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -5.78%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-21 23:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.70%EV -7.08%E -4.57%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -4.75%E -0.905%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-22 00:15
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -8.28%E -5.41%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -4.75%E -0.905%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-21 22:15
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -10.08%E -6.72%K -20.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -4.75%E -0.905%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-22 00:30
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.83%EV -5.88%E -3.75%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -5.66%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-21 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.83%EV -5.88%E -3.75%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -5.66%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-21 23:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -4.68%E -2.95%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -9.29%E -1.86%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-22 01:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.71%EV -7.08%E -4.57%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -9.29%E -1.86%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-21 23:10
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.88%E -3.75%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -9.29%E -1.86%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-21 22:30
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.88%E -3.75%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -9.29%E -1.86%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-21 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.88%E -3.75%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -9.29%E -1.86%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-21 22:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.88%E -3.75%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -9.29%E -1.86%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-21 22:34
picklebet_au🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.28%E -5.41%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -9.29%E -1.86%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-21 23:10
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.33%EV -8.28%E -5.41%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -11.10%E -2.27%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-21 23:10
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.44%EV -2.89%E -1.78%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.44%EV -11.65%E -2.39%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.12%EV -6.22%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-22 00:00
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.22%EV -7.08%E -4.57%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.93%EV -12.01%E -2.48%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-22 00:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.85%EV -7.68%E -4.99%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -12.92%E -2.69%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -3.59%E -0.817%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-21 23:09
LeoVegas🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -8.88%E -5.84%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -13.82%E -2.91%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-22 00:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.40%EV -11.28%E -7.62%K -23.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.51%EV -13.82%E -2.91%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.09%EV -12.80%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-21 23:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 59.11%EV -12.48%E -8.55%K -27.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.76%EV -16.55%E -3.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.13%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-21 23:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 58.51%EV -13.08%E -9.02%K -29.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.73%EV -21.99%E -5.11%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.76%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%17.9%2026-10-21 23:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 58.87%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.82%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%4.2%2026-10-22 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 32.93%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%171.1%2026-10-21 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 32.93%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%171.1%2026-10-21 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 32.93%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%171.1%2026-10-21 22:20