L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Sabah FK v Barcelona

2026-11-25 17:45 UTC — UEFA Champions League

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sabah FK (Local)

Prévision 4.56%21.95cote équitable
EV +32.14%
Avantage +1.11%
Kelly +1.15%
Croissance +0.369%

avec la cote maximale 29.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
3.30%4.74%4.59%6.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
14.0021.1621.0029.007.14%4.73%4.76%3.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Barcelona (Visiteur)

Prévision 87.91%1.14cote équitable
EV -3.30%
Avantage -3.00%
Kelly -32.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
83.70%87.54%87.96%90.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.011.071.071.1099.01%93.36%93.46%90.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 7.53%13.28cote équitable
EV +12.95%
Avantage +0.864%
Kelly +0.925%
Croissance +0.120%

avec la cote maximale 15.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.37%7.72%7.45%10.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.5012.3512.5715.0011.76%8.10%7.96%6.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Sabah FK (Local) : 4.56% ; Barcelona (Visiteur) : 87.91% ; Match nul : 7.53%. Pour Sabah FK (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 21.95. 17 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 29.00, pour une espérance positive de +32.14%.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
NordicBet🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.30%EV +32.14%E +1.11%K +1.15%G +0.369%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.32%EV -6.81%E -6.43%K -113.54%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.38%EV +12.95%E +0.864%K +0.925%G +0.120%4.5%2026-11-05 12:55
1xBet🎯27.00I 3.70%NM 3.66%EV +23.03%E +0.853%K +0.886%G +0.204%1.10I 90.91%NM 89.76%EV -3.30%E -3.00%K -32.96%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.58%EV +12.95%E +0.864%K +0.925%G +0.120%1.3%2026-11-05 08:25
Betsson🎯27.00I 3.70%NM 3.54%EV +23.03%E +0.853%K +0.886%G +0.204%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.10%EV -6.81%E -6.43%K -113.54%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +12.95%E +0.864%K +0.925%G +0.120%4.7%2026-11-05 12:55
Unibet (SE)🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.77%EV +18.47%E +0.711%K +0.739%G +0.137%1.10I 90.91%NM 89.22%EV -3.30%E -3.00%K -32.96%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.01%EV +5.42%E +0.387%K +0.417%G +0.023%1.9%2026-11-05 08:10
Unibet (NL)🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.77%EV +18.47%E +0.711%K +0.739%G +0.137%1.10I 90.91%NM 89.22%EV -3.30%E -3.00%K -32.96%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.01%EV +5.42%E +0.387%K +0.417%G +0.023%1.9%2026-11-05 08:10
Svenska Spel🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.77%EV +18.47%E +0.711%K +0.739%G +0.137%1.10I 90.91%NM 89.22%EV -3.30%E -3.00%K -32.96%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.01%EV +5.42%E +0.387%K +0.417%G +0.023%1.9%2026-11-05 08:10
ATG (SE)🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.77%EV +18.47%E +0.711%K +0.739%G +0.137%1.10I 90.91%NM 89.22%EV -3.30%E -3.00%K -32.96%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.01%EV +5.42%E +0.387%K +0.417%G +0.023%1.9%2026-11-05 08:10
Coolbet🎯25.00I 4.00%NM 3.84%EV +13.92%E +0.557%K +0.580%G +0.081%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.79%EV -5.05%E -4.68%K -63.17%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.38%EV -2.11%E -0.162%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-05 12:38
Hard Rock Bet🎯23.50I 4.26%NM 4.07%EV +7.08%E +0.301%K +0.315%G +0.022%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.57%EV -5.05%E -4.68%K -63.17%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.36%EV -2.11%E -0.162%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-05 08:35
GTbets🎯23.40I 4.27%NM 4.08%EV +6.63%E +0.283%K +0.296%G +0.020%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.33%EV -5.05%E -4.68%K -63.17%G +0.000%12.57I 7.96%NM 7.59%EV -5.35%E -0.425%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-05 13:05
Marathon Bet🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 4.18%EV +4.80%E +0.209%K +0.218%G +0.010%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.27%EV -4.17%E -3.83%K -46.39%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.55%EV -3.99%E -0.313%K -0.340%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-05 08:24
Unibet🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 4.16%EV +4.80%E +0.209%K +0.218%G +0.010%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -5.05%E -4.68%K -63.17%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.35%EV -2.11%E -0.162%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-05 08:10
BetRivers🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 4.16%EV +4.80%E +0.209%K +0.218%G +0.010%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -5.05%E -4.68%K -63.17%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.35%EV -2.11%E -0.162%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-05 08:10
Bally Bet🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 4.16%EV +4.80%E +0.209%K +0.218%G +0.010%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -5.05%E -4.68%K -63.17%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.35%EV -2.11%E -0.162%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-05 08:10
betfred_uk🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV +4.80%E +0.209%K +0.218%G +0.010%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.95%EV -5.05%E -4.68%K -63.17%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV -9.64%E -0.803%K -0.876%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-05 08:30
BoyleSports🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV +4.80%E +0.209%K +0.218%G +0.010%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.95%EV -5.05%E -4.68%K -63.17%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV -9.64%E -0.803%K -0.876%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-05 11:54
Betr (AU)🎯22.00I 4.55%NM 4.27%EV +0.248%E +0.011%K +0.012%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.89%EV -5.93%E -5.54%K -84.76%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -9.64%E -0.803%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-05 08:30
Fanatics🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.53%EV -4.31%E -0.205%K -0.215%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.14%EV -5.05%E -4.68%K -63.17%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV -2.11%E -0.162%K -0.176%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-05 08:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.51%EV -4.31%E -0.205%K -0.215%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.61%EV -5.05%E -4.68%K -63.17%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV -9.64%E -0.803%K -0.876%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-05 08:10
Grosvenor🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.51%EV -4.31%E -0.205%K -0.215%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.61%EV -5.05%E -4.68%K -63.17%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV -9.64%E -0.803%K -0.876%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-05 08:10
betPARX🎯20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -8.87%E -0.443%K -0.467%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.93%E -5.54%K -84.76%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.80%EV -9.64%E -0.803%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-05 08:10
Pinnacle🎯19.07I 5.24%NM 4.96%EV -13.10%E -0.687%K -0.725%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.49%EV -5.93%E -5.54%K -84.76%G +0.000%14.46I 6.92%NM 6.55%EV +8.89%E +0.615%K +0.660%G +0.059%5.6%2026-11-05 13:05
LiveScore Bet🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -13.42%E -0.706%K -0.746%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.00%EV -5.93%E -5.54%K -84.76%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV -13.40%E -1.17%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-05 08:10
Virgin Bet🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -13.42%E -0.706%K -0.746%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.00%EV -5.93%E -5.54%K -84.76%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV -13.40%E -1.17%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-05 08:10
Unibet (UK)🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 4.86%EV -13.42%E -0.706%K -0.746%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.34%EV -5.93%E -5.54%K -84.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.80%EV -20.93%E -1.99%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-05 12:15
TABtouch🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 4.86%EV -13.42%E -0.706%K -0.746%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.11%EV -6.81%E -6.43%K -113.54%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.03%EV -13.40%E -1.17%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-05 08:10
NetBet (FR)🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 4.66%EV -13.42%E -0.706%K -0.746%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 87.64%EV -11.21%E -11.10%K -1120.78%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.70%EV -13.40%E -1.17%K -1.28%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-05 13:00
PMU (FR)🎯18.00I 5.56%NM 5.06%EV -17.98%E -0.999%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 86.67%EV -7.69%E -7.33%K -153.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -17.17%E -1.56%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-05 08:10
DraftKings🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -22.54%E -1.33%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.32%EV -5.93%E -5.54%K -84.76%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -2.11%E -0.162%K -0.176%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-05 11:05
ReBet🎯16.50I 6.06%NM 5.50%EV -24.81%E -1.50%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 85.60%EV -6.81%E -6.43%K -113.54%G +0.000%10.20I 9.80%NM 8.90%EV -23.19%E -2.27%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-05 12:15
Winamax (DE)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.72%EV -27.09%E -1.69%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.23%EV -7.69%E -7.33%K -153.83%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -2.11%E -0.162%K -0.176%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-05 12:15
LeoVegas🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.01%EV -31.65%E -2.11%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 84.99%EV -6.81%E -6.43%K -113.54%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.01%EV -24.70%E -2.47%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-05 09:20
Betclic (FR)🎯14.25I 7.02%NM 6.17%EV -35.07%E -2.46%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 83.77%EV -7.69%E -7.33%K -153.83%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.05%EV -34.11%E -3.90%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.7%2026-11-05 12:15
Winamax (FR)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.33%EV -36.21%E -2.59%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 85.23%EV -8.57%E -8.24%K -214.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.44%EV -20.93%E -1.99%K -2.20%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-05 12:15
Unibet (FR)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.16%EV -36.21%E -2.59%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 83.70%EV -9.45%E -9.17%K -314.98%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.14%EV -35.99%E -4.23%K -4.80%G +0.000%16.0%2026-11-05 12:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎12.50I 8.00%NM 6.86%1.04I 96.15%NM 82.43%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.72%16.7%2026-11-05 12:15