赔率学院

Atlético Madrid v Arsenal

开赛时间: 2026-04-28 18:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Atlético Madrid (主队)

预测 33.41%2.99公平赔率
EV -3.11%
优势 -1.07%
Kelly -1.64%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.90

博彩公司预测分布
31.96%33.41%33.32%34.53%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.602.802.802.9038.46%35.65%35.71%34.48%MIN均值中位数MAX

Arsenal (客队)

预测 38.14%2.62公平赔率
EV -2.74%
优势 -1.07%
Kelly -1.77%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.55

博彩公司预测分布
37.27%38.10%38.08%38.62%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.302.462.452.5543.48%40.69%40.82%39.22%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 28.45%3.52公平赔率
EV -0.428%
优势 -0.122%
Kelly -0.171%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
27.02%28.50%28.59%29.76%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.883.293.313.5034.72%30.42%30.17%28.57%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -3.11%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 04:40
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -3.11%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 04:39
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -3.11%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 04:39
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -3.11%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -8.96%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 04:40
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -3.11%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -10.39%E -3.30%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-15 21:48
Pinnacle2.89I 34.60%NM 32.96%EV -3.45%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.26%EV -5.03%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.78%EV -5.83%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 22:20
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 34.11%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.12%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV -0.428%E -0.122%K -0.171%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-15 21:30
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -4.78%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.54%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 22:19
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.00%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.33%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.67%EV -5.55%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 21:44
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.00%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.33%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.67%EV -5.55%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 21:45
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -6.45%E -2.30%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.46%E -3.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -10.39%E -3.30%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-15 21:48
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -8.12%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -0.428%E -0.122%K -0.171%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 21:30
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -8.12%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -4.65%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.27%E -0.963%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 21:28
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.12%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.27%E -0.963%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-15 21:30
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.12%E -2.95%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.27%E -0.963%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-15 21:30
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.79%E -3.63%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -3.27%E -0.963%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 21:30
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.79%E -3.63%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -3.27%E -0.963%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 21:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%EV -13.14%E -5.05%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -12.27%E -5.34%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.76%EV -18.07%E -6.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-15 21:35
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.29%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%0.8%2026-04-16 02:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.29%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%0.8%2026-04-16 02:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.29%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%0.8%2026-04-16 02:50