L’École des cotes

Trabzonspor v Galatasaray

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Trabzonspor (Local)

Prévision 28.97%3.45cote équitable
EV +4.29%
Avantage +1.19%
Kelly +1.65%
Croissance +0.071%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.05%28.87%28.99%30.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.283.253.6034.48%30.49%30.77%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Galatasaray (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.41%2.25cote équitable
EV -3.64%
Avantage -1.68%
Kelly -3.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.21%44.60%44.44%48.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.852.042.052.1754.05%49.10%48.78%46.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.62%3.76cote équitable
EV -0.159%
Avantage -0.042%
Kelly -0.058%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.16%26.53%26.57%27.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.513.553.7532.26%28.48%28.17%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV +4.29%E +1.19%K +1.65%G +0.071%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -14.30%E -7.41%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -1.49%E -0.403%K -0.552%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 16:30
ATG (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV +4.29%E +1.19%K +1.65%G +0.071%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -14.30%E -7.41%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -1.49%E -0.403%K -0.552%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 16:30
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV +2.84%E +0.801%K +1.12%G +0.032%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -14.74%E -7.68%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:50
Grosvenor3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV +2.84%E +0.801%K +1.12%G +0.032%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -14.74%E -7.68%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:30
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV +2.84%E +0.801%K +1.12%G +0.032%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -14.74%E -7.68%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:30
TABtouch3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV +2.84%E +0.801%K +1.12%G +0.032%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -14.74%E -7.68%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV +2.84%E +0.801%K +1.12%G +0.032%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -14.74%E -7.68%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:30
Unibet (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV +2.84%E +0.801%K +1.12%G +0.032%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -14.74%E -7.68%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:30
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV +2.84%E +0.801%K +1.12%G +0.032%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -14.74%E -7.68%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:30
betPARX3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV +2.84%E +0.801%K +1.12%G +0.032%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -14.74%E -7.68%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:30
BetRivers3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV +2.84%E +0.801%K +1.12%G +0.032%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.51%EV -15.19%E -7.95%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -2.82%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 16:30
PMU (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV +1.40%E +0.399%K +0.559%G +0.008%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -16.52%E -8.79%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 16:30
LowVig.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78%EV -0.052%E -0.015%K -0.021%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.21%EV -5.86%E -2.76%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.00%EV -5.48%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 16:44
BetOnline.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78%EV -0.052%E -0.015%K -0.021%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.21%EV -5.86%E -2.76%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.00%EV -5.48%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 16:45
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -0.052%E -0.015%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.47%EV -17.41%E -9.36%K -20.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.40%EV -5.48%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-04 16:30
LiveScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -0.052%E -0.015%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.47%EV -17.41%E -9.36%K -20.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.40%EV -5.48%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-04 16:30
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -0.052%E -0.015%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -17.85%E -9.65%K -21.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -5.48%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 16:30
Pinnacle3.42I 29.24%NM 28.26%EV -0.921%E -0.269%K -0.381%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.74%EV -4.08%E -1.89%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.00%EV -4.69%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 16:45
1xBet3.41I 29.33%NM 28.44%EV -1.21%E -0.355%K -0.502%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.69%EV -3.64%E -1.68%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.87%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 16:50
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.50%E -0.441%K -0.625%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -5.86%E -2.76%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 07:25
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -1.50%E -0.441%K -0.625%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 16:45
Marathon Bet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -3.82%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.63%EV -7.19%E -3.44%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -8.95%E -2.62%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 16:45
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.75%E -3.21%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 16:45
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.75%E -3.21%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 16:50
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -8.52%E -4.14%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.81%E -3.23%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 13:01
GTbets3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.81%EV -4.97%E -2.32%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 07:24
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.36%EV -7.64%E -3.67%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -0.159%E -0.042%K -0.058%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 16:45
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 15:24
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.44%EV -4.97%E -2.32%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.51%EV -10.01%E -2.96%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:45
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.44%EV -4.97%E -2.32%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.51%EV -10.01%E -2.96%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:45
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 16:45
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.29%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.75%E -3.21%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 15:24
Codere (IT)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -8.74%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.48%EV -3.64%E -1.68%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.58%EV -5.48%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 15:20
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 15:19
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 15:19
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 15:24
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 15:19
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 16:45
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.75%E -3.21%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 16:44
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.75%E -3.21%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 16:35
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.75%E -3.21%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 16:35
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.75%E -3.21%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 16:35
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 15:25
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -5.48%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 15:20
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.48%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 15:20
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.67%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.49%EV -10.01%E -2.96%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-04 16:34
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.19%E -5.59%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -6.82%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 16:44
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.47%E -4.15%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 15:24
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.25%EV -12.08%E -6.10%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -12.14%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-04 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -15.19%E -7.95%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -17.47%E -5.63%K -8.32%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-04 08:24
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -15.99%E -5.51%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -8.97%E -4.38%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -8.15%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 15:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-04-04 16:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-04-04 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-04-04 16:45
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-04-04 16:45
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.63%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.8%2026-04-04 16:50
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-04-04 16:00