Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Torku Konyaspor v Trabzonspor

Início: 2026-09-12 16:59 UTC

Final: Torku Konyaspor 1–0 Trabzonspor

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Torku Konyaspor (Local)

Previsão 25.96%3.85odd justa
EV +7.23%
Vantagem +1.75%
Kelly +2.31%
Crescimento +0.167%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.13

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.24%26.00%25.96%27.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.583.604.1330.77%27.92%27.78%24.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Trabzonspor (Visitante)

Previsão 48.18%2.08odd justa
EV -3.16%
Vantagem -1.57%
Kelly -3.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.87%48.25%48.09%50.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.821.911.912.0154.95%52.32%52.36%49.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.86%3.87odd justa
EV -0.446%
Vantagem -0.116%
Kelly -0.157%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.04%25.75%25.96%27.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.633.663.8530.77%27.52%27.36%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Torku Konyaspor (Local): 25.96%; Trabzonspor (Visitante): 48.18%; Empate: 25.86%. Para Torku Konyaspor (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.85. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.13, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.23%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯4.13I 24.21%NM 23.24%EV +7.23%E +1.75%K +2.31%G +0.167%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.25%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.51%EV -6.39%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 16:55
Pinnacle🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.08%EV -0.036%E -0.009%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.53%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.39%EV -5.36%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-12 16:46
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -1.33%E -0.351%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -8.46%E -4.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 16:35
GTbets🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.59%EV -2.63%E -0.702%K -0.957%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.47%EV -4.61%E -2.33%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.94%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 16:51
SportsBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.63%E -0.702%K -0.957%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 16:45
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.93%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.66I 27.32%NM 25.48%EV -4.97%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.32%EV -7.02%E -3.64%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.20%EV -7.95%E -2.23%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 16:44
Codere (IT)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -5.23%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.92%EV -5.09%E -2.58%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -5.23%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -9.43%E -5.01%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -1.74%E -0.458%K -0.621%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 16:05
TABtouch🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -5.23%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -9.43%E -5.01%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -1.74%E -0.458%K -0.621%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 16:05
BetUS🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -5.23%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-12 16:55
Bovada🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -5.23%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -7.50%E -3.91%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-12 16:40
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -6.53%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -0.446%E -0.116%K -0.157%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 16:54
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.53%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.03%E -0.809%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.53%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.53%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 16:52
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.53%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -6.54%E -3.37%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.53%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -1.74%E -0.458%K -0.621%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 15:11
DraftKings🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.53%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 16:41
Grosvenor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -6.53%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.61%EV -8.94%E -4.73%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -0.446%E -0.116%K -0.157%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -6.53%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.61%EV -8.94%E -4.73%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -0.446%E -0.116%K -0.157%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -6.53%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.61%EV -8.94%E -4.73%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -0.446%E -0.116%K -0.157%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 16:15
Casumo🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -6.53%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.61%EV -8.94%E -4.73%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -0.446%E -0.116%K -0.157%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -6.53%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.61%EV -8.94%E -4.73%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -0.446%E -0.116%K -0.157%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 16:15
betPARX🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -6.53%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.61%EV -8.94%E -4.73%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -0.446%E -0.116%K -0.157%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -6.53%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.61%EV -8.94%E -4.73%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -0.446%E -0.116%K -0.157%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.53%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.53%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 16:55
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.53%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.08%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.53%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.08%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.53%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.08%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 16:55
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -6.53%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -8.46%E -4.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -14.67%E -4.44%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -6.53%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -8.46%E -4.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -14.67%E -4.44%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -7.83%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.41%EV -3.16%E -1.57%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -7.83%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.41%EV -3.16%E -1.57%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 14:19
NordicBet🎯3.54I 28.25%NM 26.15%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.24%EV -5.57%E -2.84%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.61%EV -10.01%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 16:55
Betsson🎯3.54I 28.25%NM 26.15%EV -8.09%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.24%EV -5.57%E -2.84%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.61%EV -10.01%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -3.03%E -0.809%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -8.94%E -4.73%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-12 14:18
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -15.96%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 16:45
NetBet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.87%E -5.88%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.08%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-12 16:41
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.02%EV -12.32%E -6.77%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-12 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -10.42%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.25%EV -11.35%E -6.17%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -10.42%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.25%EV -11.35%E -6.17%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 16:15
PMU (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.19%EV -10.42%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.38%EV -11.84%E -6.47%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.19%EV -10.42%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.38%EV -11.84%E -6.47%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 16:15
BetRivers🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.42%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.22%EV -11.84%E -6.47%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-12 16:15
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -11.72%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -3.03%E -0.809%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-12 16:55
Bet Right🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -11.72%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -11.72%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.46%E -4.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -13.02%E -3.89%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -9.43%E -5.01%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 14:20
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -15.61%E -4.80%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -9.91%E -5.30%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -3.03%E -0.809%K -1.10%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 15:16
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.44%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-09-12 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.44%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-09-12 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.44%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-09-12 16:55
Matchbook◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.23%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52%0.6%2026-09-12 16:55
Kalshi◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-09-12 15:26
Smarkets◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-09-12 16:51