La escuela de los momios

Torku Konyaspor v Kasimpasa SK

Inicio: 2026-03-08 13:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Torku Konyaspor (Local)

Predicción 49.79%2.01momio equitativo
EV -4.41%
Ventaja -2.30%
Kelly -4.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.51%49.74%49.64%50.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.861.881.9259.52%53.69%53.19%52.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Kasimpasa SK (Visitante)

Predicción 21.45%4.66momio equitativo
EV +5.72%
Ventaja +1.16%
Kelly +1.46%
Crecimiento +0.083%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.51%21.40%21.71%23.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.274.224.9326.67%23.43%23.70%20.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.77%3.48momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -0.645%
Kelly -0.913%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.79%28.86%28.66%30.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.203.203.4035.09%31.22%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 50.27%EV -4.41%E -2.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.58%EV +5.72%E +1.16%K +1.46%G +0.083%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.16%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-08 12:59
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.80%EV -4.91%E -2.57%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +5.08%E +1.04%K +1.30%G +0.066%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 12:59
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.03%EV -4.91%E -2.57%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.12%EV +1.86%E +0.392%K +0.497%G +0.009%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 12:59
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.10%EV -7.89%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV +1.86%E +0.392%K +0.497%G +0.009%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -12.26%E -4.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 12:59
GTbets1.88I 53.19%NM 50.06%EV -6.40%E -3.40%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.15%EV +0.148%E +0.032%K +0.040%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.78%EV -9.10%E -2.88%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 12:59
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -7.89%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.85%EV -0.281%E -0.060%K -0.077%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -12.26%E -4.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 12:58
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.89%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -1.35%E -0.294%K -0.376%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 13:00
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -6.90%E -3.69%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -1.35%E -0.294%K -0.376%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -10.25%E -3.28%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 12:59
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -8.89%E -4.86%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -1.35%E -0.294%K -0.376%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 13:00
BetUS1.90I 52.63%NM 50.25%EV -5.40%E -2.84%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.99%EV -2.43%E -0.533%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -4.49%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 12:59
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 50.25%EV -5.40%E -2.84%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.99%EV -2.43%E -0.533%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -4.49%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 13:00
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 50.25%EV -5.40%E -2.84%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.99%EV -2.43%E -0.533%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -4.49%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 13:00
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.14%EV -7.39%E -3.98%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -3.50%E -0.777%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 13:00
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.46%EV -4.91%E -2.57%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.64%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.46%EV -4.91%E -2.57%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.64%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 13:00
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -5.40%E -2.84%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -5.64%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 12:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -5.40%E -2.84%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -5.64%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 12:59
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -10.38%E -5.77%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -5.64%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 13:00
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -10.38%E -5.77%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -7.14%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 12:59
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.72%EV -4.41%E -2.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -7.79%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -2.19%E -0.645%K -0.913%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 12:59
Codere (IT)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.22%EV -4.91%E -2.57%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -7.79%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 13:00
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -6.40%E -3.40%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -8.86%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -3.63%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 13:00
PointsBet (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.70%EV -6.40%E -3.40%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -8.86%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 12:59
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -10.38%E -5.77%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -8.86%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-08 12:59
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.44%EV -4.41%E -2.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 21.94%EV -9.07%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.62%EV -9.67%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 13:00
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.44%EV -4.41%E -2.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 21.94%EV -9.07%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.62%EV -9.67%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 13:00
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.89%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -9.93%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 13:00
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -10.38%E -5.77%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -9.93%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -13.70%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-08 13:00
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -12.87%E -7.36%K -17.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -9.93%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -13.70%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-08 13:00
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -4.41%E -2.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -12.08%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -3.63%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 13:00
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -6.40%E -3.40%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -12.08%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -6.40%E -3.40%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -12.08%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 13:00
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -6.40%E -3.40%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -12.08%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 13:00
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -6.40%E -3.40%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -12.08%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 13:00
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -6.40%E -3.40%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -12.08%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 13:00
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -6.40%E -3.40%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -12.08%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 13:00
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -6.40%E -3.40%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -12.08%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 13:00
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -6.40%E -3.40%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -12.08%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 12:49
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -6.40%E -3.40%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -12.08%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 13:00
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.18%EV -10.38%E -5.77%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.08%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-08 13:00
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 49.37%EV -9.88%E -5.46%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -12.08%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 12:58
Parions Sport (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.51%EV -10.38%E -5.77%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -12.08%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -10.82%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 13:00
Bet Right1.87I 53.48%NM 48.95%EV -6.90%E -3.69%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -14.22%E -3.55%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 12:59
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 49.76%EV -16.36%E -9.74%K -24.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.90%EV -14.22%E -3.55%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.33%EV -18.01%E -6.32%K -9.74%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-08 13:00
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -8.89%E -4.86%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -15.29%E -3.87%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-08 13:00
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -8.89%E -4.86%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -15.29%E -3.87%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-08 13:00
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -8.89%E -4.86%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -15.29%E -3.87%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-08 13:00
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.89%EV -12.37%E -7.03%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.23%EV -15.29%E -3.87%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -9.38%E -2.98%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-08 13:00
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -4.91%E -2.57%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -16.36%E -4.20%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 12:59
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -4.91%E -2.57%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -16.36%E -4.20%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 12:59
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -4.91%E -2.57%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -16.36%E -4.20%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.51%EV -10.38%E -5.77%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -19.58%E -5.22%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.69%EV -17.15%E -5.96%K -9.12%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-08 13:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.10%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-03-08 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.10%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-03-08 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.23%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-03-08 13:00
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.19%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%1.1%2026-03-08 13:00
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 50.02%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.11%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86%1.5%2026-03-08 13:00
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.40%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.43%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.17%2.9%2026-03-08 13:00