La escuela de los momios

Torku Konyaspor v Galatasaray

Inicio: 2026-02-21 17:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Torku Konyaspor (Local)

Predicción 18.98%5.27momio equitativo
EV +9.50%
Ventaja +1.65%
Kelly +1.99%
Crecimiento +0.189%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.78%18.96%19.08%20.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.304.754.755.7723.26%21.04%21.05%17.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Galatasaray (Visitante)

Predicción 57.38%1.74momio equitativo
EV -2.45%
Ventaja -1.44%
Kelly -3.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.81%57.46%57.28%60.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.611.611.7067.57%62.10%62.11%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.64%4.23momio equitativo
EV +2.59%
Ventaja +0.596%
Kelly +0.775%
Crecimiento +0.020%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.31%23.57%23.64%26.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.893.904.3430.30%25.69%25.64%23.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet5.77I 17.33%NM 16.78%EV +9.50%E +1.65%K +1.99%G +0.189%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.90%EV -8.76%E -5.51%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.31%EV +2.59%E +0.596%K +0.775%G +0.020%3.3%2026-02-21 16:59
Coolbet5.25I 19.05%NM 18.21%EV -0.369%E -0.070%K -0.087%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.02%EV -7.04%E -4.34%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -0.722%E -0.172%K -0.225%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 16:59
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -0.369%E -0.070%K -0.087%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -8.18%E -5.12%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 16:59
PointsBet (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -0.369%E -0.070%K -0.087%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -8.18%E -5.12%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 16:59
Tipico (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -1.32%E -0.253%K -0.314%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -11.05%E -7.13%K -20.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 17:00
Pinnacle5.09I 19.65%NM 18.96%EV -3.41%E -0.669%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.10%EV -3.02%E -1.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.94%EV -4.74%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-21 16:59
NordicBet5.07I 19.72%NM 18.37%EV -3.78%E -0.747%K -0.930%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.58%EV -8.76%E -5.51%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.05%EV -4.50%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 17:00
LowVig.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 19.26%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.66%EV -2.45%E -1.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.08%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 16:59
BetOnline.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 19.26%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.66%EV -2.45%E -1.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.08%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 17:00
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.43%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -3.09%E -0.753%K -0.995%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 17:00
Winamax (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -12.77%E -8.40%K -24.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-21 17:00
Bet Right5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -12.20%E -7.97%K -23.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -8.99%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 16:59
FanDuel4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -7.01%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -7.61%E -4.73%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 16:59
Betclic (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.00%EV -7.01%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -13.92%E -9.28%K -27.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.21%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-21 17:00
GTbets4.86I 20.58%NM 19.41%EV -7.77%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.83%EV -4.74%E -2.86%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.76%EV -6.16%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 16:59
BetUS4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -7.96%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.99%EV -7.04%E -4.34%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -8.99%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 16:59
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -8.91%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.64%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 17:00
Codere (IT)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -8.91%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.79%EV -4.74%E -2.86%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -8.91%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 17:00
Bovada4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.91%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.39%EV -5.89%E -3.59%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 16:55
Mr Green (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -8.91%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -8.18%E -5.12%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 16:59
888sport (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -8.91%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -8.18%E -5.12%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 16:59
Neds4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -9.86%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -5.89%E -3.59%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -9.86%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -5.89%E -3.59%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 16:59
Marathon Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -9.86%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.55%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -7.34%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 16:59
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -9.86%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 16:59
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -9.86%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -7.61%E -4.73%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 17:00
betPARX4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -10.81%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -3.09%E -0.753%K -0.995%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 17:00
Svenska Spel4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -10.81%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.39%EV -4.74%E -2.86%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV -6.63%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 17:00
Winamax (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 18.49%EV -10.81%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 58.33%EV -14.50%E -9.73%K -29.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-21 17:00
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 16:59
Casumo4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 17:00
Unibet (NL)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 17:00
Unibet (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 17:00
Grosvenor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 16:59
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -6.46%E -3.96%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 17:00
Fliff4.55I 21.98%NM 19.77%EV -13.65%E -3.00%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 56.57%EV -8.76%E -5.51%K -14.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 16:59
Parions Sport (FR)4.55I 21.98%NM 19.63%EV -13.65%E -3.00%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.88%EV -9.91%E -6.31%K -17.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-21 16:59
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -14.60%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -7.61%E -4.73%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 17:00
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -14.60%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -7.04%E -4.34%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 17:00
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -14.60%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.96%EV -7.61%E -4.73%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-21 17:00
Virgin Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -14.60%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -8.18%E -5.12%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-21 17:00
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -14.60%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -8.18%E -5.12%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-21 17:00
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -14.60%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -9.91%E -6.31%K -17.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-21 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -14.60%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -9.91%E -6.31%K -17.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.07%EV -22.00%E -6.67%K -9.56%G +0.000%16.2%2026-02-21 17:00
ATG (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -16.50%E -3.75%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.07%EV -7.04%E -4.34%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 17:00
NetBet (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 19.74%EV -16.50%E -3.75%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.78%EV -12.20%E -7.97%K -23.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.48%EV -12.54%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-21 16:58
LiveScore Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 20.42%EV -17.45%E -4.01%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.21%EV -9.33%E -5.91%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-21 17:00
LeoVegas4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -17.45%E -4.01%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.37%EV -9.91%E -6.31%K -17.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-21 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -18.40%E -4.28%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.22%EV -10.48%E -6.72%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.39%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-21 17:00
PMU (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 19.48%EV -18.40%E -4.28%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 56.59%EV -15.07%E -10.18%K -31.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.93%EV -17.27%E -4.93%K -6.91%G +0.000%19.4%2026-02-21 17:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-02-21 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-02-21 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-02-21 17:00
Matchbook5.60I 17.86%NM 17.61%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-02-21 17:00
Smarkets5.20I 19.23%NM 18.41%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.93%4.5%2026-02-21 17:00