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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Torku Konyaspor v Besiktas JK

2026-11-22 13:00 UTC — Turkey Super League

Resultado del partido

11 corredores (6 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Torku Konyaspor (Local)

Predicción 18.08%5.53momio equitativo
EV -2.93%
Ventaja -0.546%
Kelly -0.671%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.78%19.04%18.08%24.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.854.754.855.3725.97%21.04%20.62%18.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Besiktas JK (Visitante)

Predicción 59.54%1.68momio equitativo
EV +7.17%
Ventaja +3.98%
Kelly +8.96%
Crecimiento +0.643%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.68%58.44%59.54%60.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.391.581.571.8071.94%63.47%63.69%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 22.38%4.47momio equitativo
EV -1.51%
Ventaja -0.343%
Kelly -0.444%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.42%22.52%22.38%24.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.704.054.104.4027.03%24.66%24.39%22.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Torku Konyaspor (Local): 18.08%; Besiktas JK (Visitante): 59.54%; Empate: 22.38%. Para Besiktas JK (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.68. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 1.80, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +7.17%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (11 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Betsson🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -30.41%E -7.90%K -10.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.68%EV +7.17%E +3.98%K +8.96%G +0.643%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -13.82%E -3.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-09 11:35
NordicBet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -30.41%E -7.90%K -10.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.68%EV +7.17%E +3.98%K +8.96%G +0.643%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -13.82%E -3.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-09 11:35
1xBet🎯5.37I 18.62%NM 18.09%EV -2.93%E -0.546%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.22%EV -2.35%E -1.44%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.69%EV -4.20%E -0.981%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-09 12:25
Pinnacle🎯5.27I 18.98%NM 18.01%EV -4.74%E -0.899%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.33%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.66%EV -6.21%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-09 12:20
Fanatics🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -5.10%E -0.971%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.79%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -3.75%E -0.872%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-09 14:54
Marathon Bet🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 18.06%EV -6.91%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.52%E -4.15%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -8.23%E -2.01%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-09 12:05
Tipico (DE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.78%EV -4.20%E -0.792%K -0.976%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.80%EV -7.71%E -4.98%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.42%EV -1.51%E -0.343%K -0.444%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-09 12:05
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -16.85%E -3.66%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 59.43%EV -11.88%E -8.03%K -24.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -8.23%E -2.01%K -2.65%G +0.000%13.7%2026-11-09 12:29
Betclic (FR)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 18.12%EV -12.33%E -2.54%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 59.79%EV -12.48%E -8.49%K -26.55%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.08%EV -10.91%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.8%2026-11-09 12:25
Winamax (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 19.60%EV -22.27%E -5.18%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 58.52%EV -14.26%E -9.90%K -32.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.89%EV -13.82%E -3.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%18.7%2026-11-09 12:25
Unibet (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 18.34%EV -18.66%E -4.15%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 59.36%EV -17.24%E -12.40%K -44.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.30%EV -17.18%E -4.64%K -6.36%G +0.000%21.2%2026-11-09 12:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Arbitraje (74 combinaciones) +3.19%1xBet 5.37 (19.2%) / Betsson 1.80 (57.3%) / Tipico (DE) 4.40 (23.5%)Ver las 74 combinaciones
Torku Konyaspor (Local)Besiktas JK (Visitante)EmpateMargen
1xBet🎯 5.37 (19.2%)Betsson🎯 1.80 (57.3%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.40 (23.5%)+3.19%
1xBet🎯 5.37 (19.2%)NordicBet🎯 1.80 (57.3%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.40 (23.5%)+3.19%
Tipico (DE)🎯 5.30 (19.4%)Betsson🎯 1.80 (57.2%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.40 (23.4%)+2.93%
Tipico (DE)🎯 5.30 (19.4%)NordicBet🎯 1.80 (57.2%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.40 (23.4%)+2.93%
Pinnacle🎯 5.27 (19.5%)Betsson🎯 1.80 (57.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.40 (23.4%)+2.82%
Pinnacle🎯 5.27 (19.5%)NordicBet🎯 1.80 (57.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.40 (23.4%)+2.82%
Fanatics🎯 5.25 (19.6%)Betsson🎯 1.80 (57.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.40 (23.4%)+2.74%
Fanatics🎯 5.25 (19.6%)NordicBet🎯 1.80 (57.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.40 (23.4%)+2.74%
1xBet🎯 5.37 (19.1%)Betsson🎯 1.80 (57.0%)Fanatics🎯 4.30 (23.9%)+2.63%
1xBet🎯 5.37 (19.1%)NordicBet🎯 1.80 (57.0%)Fanatics🎯 4.30 (23.9%)+2.63%
1xBet🎯 5.37 (19.1%)Betsson🎯 1.80 (57.0%)1xBet🎯 4.28 (24.0%)+2.52%
1xBet🎯 5.37 (19.1%)NordicBet🎯 1.80 (57.0%)1xBet🎯 4.28 (24.0%)+2.52%
Tipico (DE)🎯 5.30 (19.3%)Betsson🎯 1.80 (56.9%)Fanatics🎯 4.30 (23.8%)+2.38%
Tipico (DE)🎯 5.30 (19.3%)NordicBet🎯 1.80 (56.9%)Fanatics🎯 4.30 (23.8%)+2.38%
Marathon Bet🎯 5.15 (19.9%)Betsson🎯 1.80 (56.9%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.40 (23.3%)+2.35%
Marathon Bet🎯 5.15 (19.9%)NordicBet🎯 1.80 (56.9%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.40 (23.3%)+2.35%
Pinnacle🎯 5.27 (19.4%)Betsson🎯 1.80 (56.8%)Fanatics🎯 4.30 (23.8%)+2.26%
Pinnacle🎯 5.27 (19.4%)NordicBet🎯 1.80 (56.8%)Fanatics🎯 4.30 (23.8%)+2.26%
Tipico (DE)🎯 5.30 (19.3%)Betsson🎯 1.80 (56.8%)1xBet🎯 4.28 (23.9%)+2.26%
Tipico (DE)🎯 5.30 (19.3%)NordicBet🎯 1.80 (56.8%)1xBet🎯 4.28 (23.9%)+2.26%
Fanatics🎯 5.25 (19.5%)Betsson🎯 1.80 (56.8%)Fanatics🎯 4.30 (23.8%)+2.19%
Fanatics🎯 5.25 (19.5%)NordicBet🎯 1.80 (56.8%)Fanatics🎯 4.30 (23.8%)+2.19%
Pinnacle🎯 5.27 (19.4%)Betsson🎯 1.80 (56.7%)1xBet🎯 4.28 (23.9%)+2.15%
Pinnacle🎯 5.27 (19.4%)NordicBet🎯 1.80 (56.7%)1xBet🎯 4.28 (23.9%)+2.15%
Fanatics🎯 5.25 (19.4%)Betsson🎯 1.80 (56.7%)1xBet🎯 4.28 (23.8%)+2.07%
Fanatics🎯 5.25 (19.4%)NordicBet🎯 1.80 (56.7%)1xBet🎯 4.28 (23.8%)+2.07%
1xBet🎯 5.37 (19.0%)Betsson🎯 1.80 (56.7%)Pinnacle🎯 4.19 (24.3%)+2.00%
1xBet🎯 5.37 (19.0%)NordicBet🎯 1.80 (56.7%)Pinnacle🎯 4.19 (24.3%)+2.00%
Marathon Bet🎯 5.15 (19.8%)Betsson🎯 1.80 (56.6%)Fanatics🎯 4.30 (23.7%)+1.80%
Marathon Bet🎯 5.15 (19.8%)NordicBet🎯 1.80 (56.6%)Fanatics🎯 4.30 (23.7%)+1.80%
Tipico (DE)🎯 5.30 (19.2%)Betsson🎯 1.80 (56.5%)Pinnacle🎯 4.19 (24.3%)+1.74%
Tipico (DE)🎯 5.30 (19.2%)NordicBet🎯 1.80 (56.5%)Pinnacle🎯 4.19 (24.3%)+1.74%
Marathon Bet🎯 5.15 (19.7%)Betsson🎯 1.80 (56.5%)1xBet🎯 4.28 (23.8%)+1.69%
Marathon Bet🎯 5.15 (19.7%)NordicBet🎯 1.80 (56.5%)1xBet🎯 4.28 (23.8%)+1.69%
Pinnacle🎯 5.27 (19.3%)Betsson🎯 1.80 (56.5%)Pinnacle🎯 4.19 (24.3%)+1.63%
Pinnacle🎯 5.27 (19.3%)NordicBet🎯 1.80 (56.5%)Pinnacle🎯 4.19 (24.3%)+1.63%
Fanatics🎯 5.25 (19.3%)Betsson🎯 1.80 (56.4%)Pinnacle🎯 4.19 (24.2%)+1.55%
Fanatics🎯 5.25 (19.3%)NordicBet🎯 1.80 (56.4%)Pinnacle🎯 4.19 (24.2%)+1.55%
1xBet🎯 5.37 (18.9%)Betsson🎯 1.80 (56.4%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.10 (24.7%)+1.45%
1xBet🎯 5.37 (18.9%)Betsson🎯 1.80 (56.4%)Winamax (DE)🎯 4.10 (24.7%)+1.45%
1xBet🎯 5.37 (18.9%)NordicBet🎯 1.80 (56.4%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.10 (24.7%)+1.45%
1xBet🎯 5.37 (18.9%)NordicBet🎯 1.80 (56.4%)Winamax (DE)🎯 4.10 (24.7%)+1.45%
Tipico (DE)🎯 5.30 (19.1%)Betsson🎯 1.80 (56.2%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.10 (24.7%)+1.20%
Tipico (DE)🎯 5.30 (19.1%)Betsson🎯 1.80 (56.2%)Winamax (DE)🎯 4.10 (24.7%)+1.20%
Tipico (DE)🎯 5.30 (19.1%)NordicBet🎯 1.80 (56.2%)Marathon Bet🎯 4.10 (24.7%)+1.20%
Tipico (DE)🎯 5.30 (19.1%)NordicBet🎯 1.80 (56.2%)Winamax (DE)🎯 4.10 (24.7%)+1.20%
Marathon Bet🎯 5.15 (19.6%)Betsson🎯 1.80 (56.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.19 (24.1%)+1.17%
Marathon Bet🎯 5.15 (19.6%)NordicBet🎯 1.80 (56.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.19 (24.1%)+1.17%
Betclic (FR)🎯 4.85 (20.8%)Betsson🎯 1.80 (56.2%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.40 (23.0%)+1.11%
Betclic (FR)🎯 4.85 (20.8%)NordicBet🎯 1.80 (56.2%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.40 (23.0%)+1.11%

Mostrando 50 de 74 combinaciones

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