La escuela de los momios

Genclerbirligi SK v Kocaelispor

Inicio: 2026-04-26 11:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Genclerbirligi SK (Local)

Predicción 37.57%2.66momio equitativo
EV -1.95%
Ventaja -0.746%
Kelly -1.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.21%37.59%37.58%38.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.462.502.6144.44%40.59%40.00%38.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Kocaelispor (Visitante)

Predicción 32.91%3.04momio equitativo
EV -2.93%
Ventaja -0.993%
Kelly -1.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.69%32.90%32.86%33.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.802.802.9539.22%35.68%35.71%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.53%3.39momio equitativo
EV -2.56%
Ventaja -0.776%
Kelly -1.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.16%29.52%29.56%31.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.113.103.3036.36%32.12%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.61I 38.31%NM 37.15%EV -1.95%E -0.746%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.20%EV -3.92%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.65%EV -3.45%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-22 06:35
GTbets2.56I 39.06%NM 37.32%EV -3.83%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -3.92%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.95%EV -5.81%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 11:00
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.32%EV -4.20%E -1.65%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -4.04%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 02:04
Pinnacle2.53I 39.53%NM 37.65%EV -4.95%E -1.96%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%EV -4.57%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.49%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 14:15
Marathon Bet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.14%EV -5.70%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.17%EV -7.54%E -2.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.69%EV -7.29%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 06:30
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -2.56%E -0.776%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 10:39
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.87%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.99%EV -5.56%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -4.04%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 23:34
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -4.04%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 23:34
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -5.23%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -6.99%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 12:40
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -5.23%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -6.99%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 12:40
LowVig.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.92%EV -6.55%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.99%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:25
BetOnline.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.92%EV -6.55%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.99%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:30
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 02:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 21:40
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 21:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.51%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 21:39
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 12:40
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 12:40
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 12:40
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 12:40
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 12:40
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 12:40
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 12:40
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 02:05
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-24 02:04
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-24 02:05
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 12:45
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 12:45
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 12:45
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -6.83%E -2.75%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.65%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.83%EV -7.88%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-20 10:59
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -6.83%E -2.75%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.65%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.83%EV -7.88%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-20 11:00
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.45%EV -6.83%E -2.75%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 12:40
Bovada2.46I 40.65%NM 37.49%EV -7.58%E -3.08%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.94%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -7.88%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 14:22
BetUS2.46I 40.65%NM 37.49%EV -7.58%E -3.08%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.94%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -7.88%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 14:14
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -2.93%E -0.993%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 14:19
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 16:15
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 16:15
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:20
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -9.94%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 12:40
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 11:30
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 01:04
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-20 10:58
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.42%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 12:40
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.42%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 12:40
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.42%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.21%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.19%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.60%EV -18.80%E -6.84%K -10.74%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-23 11:34
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.42%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 11:34
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.98%EV -11.72%E -4.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -12.80%E -4.83%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -6.99%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 18:50
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 37.66%EV -12.84%E -5.54%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.72%EV -12.14%E -4.55%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -12.90%E -4.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-22 01:15
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.37%EV -13.59%E -5.91%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.69%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.94%EV -9.94%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-20 11:35
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -13.59%E -5.91%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.87%EV -12.14%E -4.55%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.97%EV -10.53%E -3.48%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-20 08:34
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.17%EV -15.47%E -6.88%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.68%EV -16.09%E -6.31%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.16%EV -9.94%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-23 18:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.06%3.0%2026-04-24 00:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 36.90%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.13%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%5.9%2026-04-23 22:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 36.90%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.13%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%5.9%2026-04-23 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 36.90%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.13%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%5.9%2026-04-23 22:35
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 37.00%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.19%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%6.4%2026-04-23 22:15