L’École des cotes

Genclerbirligi SK v Kasimpasa SK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 17:00 UTC

Score final : Genclerbirligi SK 3–2 Kasimpasa SK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Genclerbirligi SK (Local)

Prévision 41.24%2.43cote équitable
EV -1.86%
Avantage -0.780%
Kelly -1.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.30%41.20%41.27%42.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.272.252.3847.62%44.07%44.44%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kasimpasa SK (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.57%3.50cote équitable
EV +0.266%
Avantage +0.076%
Kelly +0.106%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.58%28.56%28.65%31.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.853.173.203.5135.09%31.51%31.25%28.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.20%3.31cote équitable
EV -1.86%
Avantage -0.572%
Kelly -0.826%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.68%30.23%30.09%32.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.093.103.2536.36%32.39%32.26%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -5.57%E -2.43%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.42%EV +0.266%E +0.076%K +0.106%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.55%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 16:50
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.94%EV -4.74%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%EV -0.020%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.37%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-09 16:50
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -0.020%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.92%E -3.70%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 16:54
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -0.020%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -12.43%E -4.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:54
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.95%EV -7.63%E -3.41%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -1.45%E -0.420%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 16:45
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.95%EV -7.63%E -3.41%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -1.45%E -0.420%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 16:45
BetUS2.24I 44.64%NM 41.95%EV -7.63%E -3.41%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -1.45%E -0.420%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 16:44
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -2.88%E -0.846%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 16:55
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.88%E -0.846%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 16:50
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.27%EV -6.80%E -3.01%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.30%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -8.80%E -2.92%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 16:55
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -4.30%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 16:45
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -5.16%E -2.24%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 16:50
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -5.16%E -2.24%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 16:50
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -5.73%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -15.45%E -5.52%K -8.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 16:55
GTbets2.28I 43.86%NM 41.22%EV -5.98%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.65%EV -6.30%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.12%EV -5.78%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 16:49
Betsson2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -8.04%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.34%EV -6.30%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 16:45
NordicBet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -8.04%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.34%EV -6.30%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 16:44
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -3.09%E -1.32%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.88%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 16:49
Codere (IT)2.31I 43.29%NM 40.72%EV -4.74%E -2.05%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.16%E -2.24%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.16%E -2.24%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:49
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.16%E -2.24%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:49
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -12.43%E -4.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 16:45
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -12.43%E -4.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 16:44
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -12.43%E -4.29%K -6.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 16:45
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -15.45%E -5.52%K -8.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-09 16:55
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.59%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 16:50
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.59%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 16:49
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.59%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 16:34
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.65%EV -9.45%E -2.98%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.07%EV -8.80%E -2.92%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 16:42
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -10.02%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 16:49
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.68%EV -11.34%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -10.02%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.87%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-09 16:44
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.12%EV -10.52%E -4.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.33%EV -10.02%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.56%EV -11.82%E -4.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 16:49
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 16:49
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.39%E -2.06%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 16:45
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.41%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 16:35
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.50%EV -11.34%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -12.87%E -4.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -7.90%E -2.59%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -13.40%E -6.38%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -14.30%E -4.77%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -16.96%E -6.17%K -9.69%G +0.000%17.3%2026-05-09 16:55
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -1.86%E -0.780%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -15.73%E -5.33%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -1.86%E -0.572%K -0.826%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 16:29
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -1.86%E -0.780%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -15.73%E -5.33%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -1.86%E -0.572%K -0.826%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 16:30
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -3.09%E -1.32%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -15.73%E -5.33%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -1.86%E -0.572%K -0.826%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 16:29
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -3.09%E -1.32%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -15.73%E -5.33%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -1.86%E -0.572%K -0.826%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 16:30
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -3.09%E -1.32%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -15.73%E -5.33%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -1.86%E -0.572%K -0.826%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 16:30
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -3.09%E -1.32%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -15.73%E -5.33%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -1.86%E -0.572%K -0.826%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 16:30
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -3.09%E -1.32%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -15.73%E -5.33%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -1.86%E -0.572%K -0.826%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -3.09%E -1.32%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -15.73%E -5.33%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -1.86%E -0.572%K -0.826%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 16:29
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -3.09%E -1.32%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -15.73%E -5.33%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -1.86%E -0.572%K -0.826%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 16:30
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -3.09%E -1.32%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -15.73%E -5.33%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -1.86%E -0.572%K -0.826%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 16:29
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -3.09%E -1.32%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -17.16%E -5.92%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -3.37%E -1.05%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 16:30
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -5.16%E -2.24%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -18.59%E -6.52%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 16:30
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 39.62%EV -5.98%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -18.59%E -6.52%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 16:30
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.62%EV -5.98%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -18.59%E -6.52%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 16:29
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.62%EV -5.98%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -18.59%E -6.52%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 16:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-05-09 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%1.0%2026-05-09 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-05-09 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-05-09 16:55
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 41.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-05-09 16:55
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 39.76%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10%3.1%2026-05-09 16:34