Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Gazişehir Gaziantep v Çaykur Rizespor

Inicio: 2026-08-29 18:30 UTC

Final: Gazişehir Gaziantep 1–2 Çaykur Rizespor

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Gazişehir Gaziantep (Local)

Predicción 30.23%3.31momio equitativo
EV -0.234%
Ventaja -0.071%
Kelly -0.102%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.27%30.36%30.18%32.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.753.023.003.3036.36%33.17%33.33%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Çaykur Rizespor (Visitante)

Predicción 42.01%2.38momio equitativo
EV -2.54%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -1.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.70%41.96%42.07%42.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.222.232.3247.62%45.06%44.84%43.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 27.76%3.60momio equitativo
EV -1.46%
Ventaja -0.412%
Kelly -0.573%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.45%27.68%27.75%28.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.153.383.403.5531.75%29.59%29.46%28.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Gazişehir Gaziantep (Local): 30.23%; Çaykur Rizespor (Visitante): 42.01%; Empate: 27.76%. Para Gazişehir Gaziantep (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.31. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.30, con un valor esperado de -0.234%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%EV -0.234%E -0.071%K -0.102%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.91%EV -5.06%E -2.24%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.71%EV -2.85%E -0.814%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-29 18:26
Pinnacle🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29%EV -0.234%E -0.071%K -0.102%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.20%EV -3.80%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.51%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 18:26
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -1.75%E -0.537%K -0.776%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.66%EV -2.54%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.60%EV -6.18%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -1.75%E -0.537%K -0.776%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.66%EV -2.54%E -1.09%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.60%EV -6.18%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 18:05
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -3.26%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 18:26
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.26%E -1.02%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 18:15
Codere (IT)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.77%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.30%EV -6.32%E -2.83%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 18:15
BetUS🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.77%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 18:09
SportsBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.77%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -8.42%E -3.86%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 18:15
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -4.77%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -11.18%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 18:24
Marathon Bet🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -5.07%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.02%EV -6.74%E -3.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 18:20
NordicBet🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 29.56%EV -5.37%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.06%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.38%EV -9.51%E -2.92%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 18:25
Betsson🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 29.56%EV -5.37%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.06%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.38%EV -9.51%E -2.92%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 18:25
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -6.28%E -2.03%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -2.85%E -0.814%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:24
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.28%E -2.03%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.28%E -2.03%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 18:05
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.28%E -2.03%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 18:05
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.28%E -2.03%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 18:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.28%E -2.03%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.28%E -2.03%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 18:26
GTbets🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 30.84%EV -6.58%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.17%EV -5.06%E -2.24%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.00%EV -2.02%E -0.571%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 18:20
Neds🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.79%E -2.55%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 18:05
Betclic (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.75%EV -7.79%E -2.55%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.59%EV -10.52%E -4.94%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.66%EV -8.96%E -2.73%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 18:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 18:25
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 18:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 18:05
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -9.68%E -4.50%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 18:10
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.78%E -5.61%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.78%E -5.61%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 18:15
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.78%E -5.61%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.18%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 18:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.82%E -3.67%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -2.85%E -0.814%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 18:15
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -10.82%E -3.67%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 18:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -10.82%E -3.67%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.23%EV -11.78%E -5.61%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -11.18%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 18:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -10.82%E -3.67%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.81%EV -10.94%E -5.16%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -12.56%E -3.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -12.33%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -4.22%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -1.46%E -0.412%K -0.573%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 18:01
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -12.33%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -4.22%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -1.46%E -0.412%K -0.573%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 18:00
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -12.33%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -4.22%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -1.46%E -0.412%K -0.573%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 18:01
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -12.33%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -4.22%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -1.46%E -0.412%K -0.573%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -12.33%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -4.22%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -1.46%E -0.412%K -0.573%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -12.33%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -4.22%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -1.46%E -0.412%K -0.573%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 18:00
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -12.33%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -4.22%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -1.46%E -0.412%K -0.573%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 18:00
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.33%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.68%E -4.50%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 18:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -12.33%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -11.78%E -5.61%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-29 18:10
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.64%EV -12.93%E -4.49%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.38%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -1.46%E -0.412%K -0.573%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:20
TABtouch🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.64%EV -12.93%E -4.49%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.38%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -1.46%E -0.412%K -0.573%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:15
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -12.93%E -4.49%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -15.35%E -5.48%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -6.32%E -2.83%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 18:01
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -15.35%E -5.48%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -6.32%E -2.83%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -5.62%E -1.65%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 18:00
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.56%EV -16.86%E -6.13%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -7.01%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 18:01
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.25%EV -16.86%E -6.13%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.87%EV -8.84%E -4.07%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 18:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.25%EV -16.86%E -6.13%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.87%EV -8.84%E -4.07%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -8.40%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 18:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.95%3.57I 28.01%NM 28.03%-0.1%2026-08-29 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.91%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.99%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10%0.3%2026-08-29 18:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.91%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.99%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10%0.3%2026-08-29 18:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.91%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.99%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10%0.3%2026-08-29 18:25
Matchbook◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98%0.7%2026-08-29 18:25
Smarkets◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.53%2.3%2026-08-29 18:15