L’École des cotes

Gazişehir Gaziantep v Basaksehir

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 17:00 UTC

Score final : Gazişehir Gaziantep 1–2 Basaksehir

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Gazişehir Gaziantep (Local)

Prévision 25.99%3.85cote équitable
EV +5.76%
Avantage +1.42%
Kelly +1.88%
Croissance +0.108%

avec la cote maximale 4.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.79%25.95%26.01%27.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.583.604.0731.25%27.90%27.78%24.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Basaksehir (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.70%1.93cote équitable
EV -3.32%
Avantage -1.77%
Kelly -3.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.20%51.74%51.74%54.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.791.801.8759.88%55.78%55.56%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.31%4.48cote équitable
EV -0.930%
Avantage -0.209%
Kelly -0.270%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.94%22.32%22.24%24.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.404.084.104.4429.41%24.52%24.39%22.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet4.07I 24.57%NM 23.79%EV +5.76%E +1.42%K +1.88%G +0.108%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.40%EV -7.97%E -4.48%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.81%EV -0.930%E -0.209%K -0.270%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-16 16:55
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV +1.34%E +0.345%K +0.464%G +0.006%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -9.52%E -5.44%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -8.52%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 16:55
BetOnline.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -1.25%E -0.330%K -0.448%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.42%EV -7.46%E -4.16%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -8.52%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 16:55
LowVig.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -1.25%E -0.330%K -0.448%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.42%EV -7.46%E -4.16%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -8.52%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 16:55
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -1.25%E -0.330%K -0.448%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -8.49%E -4.80%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -8.52%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Pinnacle3.79I 26.39%NM 25.35%EV -1.51%E -0.399%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.94%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.71%EV -5.62%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 16:40
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -2.55%E -0.681%K -0.928%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -6.94%E -3.85%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -8.52%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 16:55
SportsBet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -2.55%E -0.681%K -0.928%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -9.52%E -5.44%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -10.75%E -2.69%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 16:55
Betsson3.74I 26.74%NM 24.83%EV -2.81%E -0.752%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.18%EV -7.97%E -4.48%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 22.99%EV -9.85%E -2.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:55
NordicBet3.74I 26.74%NM 24.83%EV -2.81%E -0.752%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.18%EV -7.97%E -4.48%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 22.99%EV -9.85%E -2.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:55
Bovada3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -3.85%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.49%EV -9.01%E -5.12%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -8.52%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 16:55
BetUS3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -3.85%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.49%EV -9.01%E -5.12%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -8.52%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Marathon Bet3.68I 27.17%NM 25.36%EV -4.37%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -7.46%E -4.16%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -7.40%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 16:55
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -5.39%E -2.94%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -8.52%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 16:25
Svenska Spel3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -5.39%E -2.94%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -8.52%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 16:25
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -6.28%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 16:20
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -5.90%E -3.24%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -5.17%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 16:35
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.94%E -3.85%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.28%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 16:30
Unibet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -5.90%E -3.24%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.75%E -2.69%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:25
Unibet (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -5.90%E -3.24%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.75%E -2.69%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:25
Grosvenor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -5.90%E -3.24%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.75%E -2.69%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:25
Unibet (NL)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -5.90%E -3.24%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.75%E -2.69%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -5.90%E -3.24%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.75%E -2.69%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:25
TABtouch3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -5.90%E -3.24%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.75%E -2.69%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:25
Casumo3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -5.90%E -3.24%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.75%E -2.69%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:25
betPARX3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -5.90%E -3.24%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.75%E -2.69%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:25
BetRivers3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -6.42%E -3.55%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -10.75%E -2.69%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 16:25
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.56%E -6.10%K -14.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -15.21%E -4.00%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 16:55
Codere (IT)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -5.39%E -2.94%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.05%E -0.943%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 16:35
PMU (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -7.97%E -4.48%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.09%EV -11.86%E -3.00%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 16:25
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.78%EV -3.32%E -1.77%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -4.05%E -0.943%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 13:10
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.32%EV -5.39%E -2.94%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -4.05%E -0.943%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -5.39%E -2.94%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.28%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:20
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -5.39%E -2.94%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.28%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -5.39%E -2.94%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.28%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 16:19
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -5.39%E -2.94%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -12.98%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 16:40
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -5.39%E -2.94%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -12.98%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 16:40
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -5.39%E -2.94%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -12.98%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 16:40
LeoVegas3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.17%EV -9.01%E -5.12%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -12.98%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 16:25
Virgin Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.17%EV -9.01%E -5.12%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -12.98%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 16:25
LiveScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.17%EV -9.01%E -5.12%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -12.98%E -3.33%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 16:25
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -10.56%E -6.10%K -14.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -15.21%E -4.00%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-16 16:55
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -10.35%E -3.00%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -9.01%E -5.12%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -1.82%E -0.414%K -0.536%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 16:35
Betclic (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.35%E -3.00%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.70%EV -9.01%E -5.12%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.93%EV -7.40%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 16:37
Unibet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -10.35%E -3.00%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.13%EV -10.56%E -6.10%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.73%EV -7.40%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 16:35
NetBet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -10.35%E -3.00%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.85%EV -11.07%E -6.44%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -10.75%E -2.69%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 16:45
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -11.65%E -3.43%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.79%EV -5.39%E -2.94%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -5.17%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 13:10
betfred_uk3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.65%E -3.43%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.94%E -3.85%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.28%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 13:10
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -11.65%E -3.43%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -11.07%E -6.44%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -4.05%E -0.943%K -1.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 24.78%EV -11.65%E -3.43%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 50.45%EV -13.66%E -8.18%K -20.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.78%EV -24.14%E -7.10%K -10.06%G +0.000%18.7%2026-05-16 16:40
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -12.95%E -3.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.32%EV -5.90%E -3.24%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -8.52%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 13:10
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -16.85%E -5.26%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.22%EV -10.56%E -6.10%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.10%EV -6.28%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-16 16:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.7%2026-05-16 16:55
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.50%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.79%1.0%2026-05-16 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.43%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-05-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.3%2026-05-16 16:55
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-05-16 16:55
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.22%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53%3.2%2026-05-16 16:55