La escuela de los momios

Eyüpspor v Trabzonspor

Inicio: 2026-03-18 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Eyüpspor (Local)

Predicción 17.67%5.66momio equitativo
EV +6.00%
Ventaja +1.000%
Kelly +1.20%
Crecimiento +0.072%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.13%17.68%17.89%19.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.705.175.096.0021.28%19.34%19.65%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Trabzonspor (Visitante)

Predicción 59.70%1.67momio equitativo
EV -1.49%
Ventaja -0.902%
Kelly -2.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.85%59.72%59.48%61.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.561.561.6571.43%64.26%64.31%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.63%4.42momio equitativo
EV -0.431%
Ventaja -0.098%
Kelly -0.127%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.73%22.60%22.63%24.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.064.104.4028.57%24.62%24.39%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13%EV +6.00%E +1.000%K +1.20%G +0.072%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -4.47%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.38%EV -6.31%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-18 16:55
Pinnacle5.75I 17.39%NM 16.76%EV +1.58%E +0.275%K +0.333%G +0.005%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -5.67%E -3.59%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.25%EV -2.01%E -0.465%K -0.605%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-18 16:50
BetOnline.ag5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +1.58%E +0.275%K +0.333%G +0.005%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.431%E -0.098%K -0.127%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-18 16:55
LowVig.ag5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +1.58%E +0.275%K +0.333%G +0.005%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.431%E -0.098%K -0.127%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-18 16:55
Coolbet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV +1.58%E +0.275%K +0.333%G +0.005%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.72%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-18 16:30
FanDuel5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV -1.07%E -0.191%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.24%EV -8.06%E -5.23%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.48%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-18 16:50
GTbets5.55I 18.02%NM 17.50%EV -1.95%E -0.351%K -0.429%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.87%EV -1.49%E -0.902%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.63%EV -6.99%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-18 16:34
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 16:55
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -7.22%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 16:50
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -9.48%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-18 16:50
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -9.48%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-18 16:30
BetUS5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.65%E -5.66%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.48%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 16:19
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -8.65%E -5.66%K -16.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 16:55
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -8.65%E -5.66%K -16.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 16:55
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -2.83%E -0.515%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -8.65%E -5.66%K -16.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 16:55
Marathon Bet5.35I 18.69%NM 17.44%EV -5.48%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.81%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.22%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 16:19
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -2.01%E -0.465%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 16:35
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -2.01%E -0.465%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-18 16:34
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -5.67%E -3.59%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-18 16:55
Fanatics5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -5.07%E -3.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -7.22%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 12:49
Bovada5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.75%EV -8.06%E -5.23%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.72%EV -8.35%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-18 16:55
Bet Right5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -7.25%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.41%EV -8.06%E -5.23%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%EV -10.61%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-18 16:44
Codere (IT)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -8.13%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.52%EV -5.67%E -3.59%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 16:55
Neds5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -8.13%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.83%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -3.83%E -0.900%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -8.13%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.83%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -3.83%E -0.900%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 16:35
NordicBet5.09I 19.65%NM 18.27%EV -10.08%E -1.98%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.60%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 16:55
Betsson5.09I 19.65%NM 18.27%EV -10.08%E -1.98%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.60%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 16:55
ATG (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -7.22%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 14:29
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.65%E -5.66%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.48%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-18 16:50
Fliff5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.05%EV -8.65%E -5.66%K -16.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.87%EV -10.61%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-18 16:55
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.65%E -5.66%K -16.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-18 16:50
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.65%E -5.66%K -16.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -15.14%E -4.04%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-18 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.85%EV -10.44%E -6.96%K -20.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.79%EV -20.80%E -5.94%K -8.32%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-18 16:44
Parions Sport (FR)4.95I 20.20%NM 18.08%EV -12.55%E -2.54%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.27%EV -9.85%E -6.52%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.66%EV -10.61%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-18 16:55
Betclic (FR)4.95I 20.20%NM 18.06%EV -12.55%E -2.54%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.20%EV -9.85%E -6.52%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.74%EV -11.07%E -2.82%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-18 16:55
Unibet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -13.43%E -2.74%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -4.47%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.22%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 14:29
LeoVegas (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -13.43%E -2.74%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -4.47%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.22%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 14:30
Unibet (NL)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -13.43%E -2.74%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -4.47%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.22%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 14:30
Casumo4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -13.43%E -2.74%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -4.47%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.22%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 14:29
Grosvenor4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -13.43%E -2.74%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -4.47%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.22%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 14:30
Unibet (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -13.43%E -2.74%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -4.47%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.22%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 14:30
TABtouch4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -13.43%E -2.74%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -4.47%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.22%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 14:30
betPARX4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -13.43%E -2.74%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -4.47%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.22%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 14:30
BetRivers4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -13.43%E -2.74%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.71%EV -6.26%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.22%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 14:29
Winamax (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -15.20%E -3.17%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.26%EV -8.06%E -5.23%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-18 16:55
NetBet (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.21%EV -15.20%E -3.17%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 59.08%EV -11.64%E -7.86%K -24.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.71%EV -12.88%E -3.34%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-18 16:55
PMU (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 17.24%EV -15.20%E -3.17%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 59.11%EV -16.41%E -11.72%K -41.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.65%EV -20.80%E -5.94%K -8.32%G +0.000%20.8%2026-03-18 16:50
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -16.08%E -3.39%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-18 16:44
LiveScore Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -16.08%E -3.39%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.34%EV -8.06%E -5.23%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.75%EV -10.61%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-18 16:19
LeoVegas4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -16.08%E -3.39%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.34%EV -8.06%E -5.23%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.75%EV -10.61%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-18 16:19
Virgin Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -16.08%E -3.39%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.34%EV -8.06%E -5.23%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.75%EV -10.61%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-18 16:20
Winamax (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -16.97%E -3.61%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.71%EV -9.25%E -6.09%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -9.48%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-18 16:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.22%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68%0.2%2026-03-18 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-03-18 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-03-18 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-03-18 16:55
Smarkets6.00I 16.67%NM 16.40%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.73%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%1.7%2026-03-18 16:55
Kalshi5.88I 17.01%NM 16.66%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51%2.1%2026-03-18 16:55