Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Eyüpspor v Gazişehir Gaziantep

Inicio: 2026-08-23 16:00 UTC

Final: Eyüpspor 0–1 Gazişehir Gaziantep

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Eyüpspor (Local)

Predicción 31.51%3.17momio equitativo
EV -1.37%
Ventaja -0.438%
Kelly -0.644%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.13%31.52%31.53%32.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.942.953.1336.36%33.99%33.90%31.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Gazişehir Gaziantep (Visitante)

Predicción 39.20%2.55momio equitativo
EV -3.18%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -2.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.70%39.25%39.11%41.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.352.352.4746.51%42.63%42.55%40.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 29.29%3.41momio equitativo
EV +0.467%
Ventaja +0.136%
Kelly +0.192%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.38%29.22%29.36%30.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.163.123.4333.33%31.65%32.05%29.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Eyüpspor (Local): 31.51%; Gazişehir Gaziantep (Visitante): 39.20%; Empate: 29.29%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.41. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.43, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.467%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 32.44%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.27%EV -3.18%E -1.29%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.28%EV +0.467%E +0.136%K +0.192%G +0.001%3.1%2026-08-23 15:50
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.69%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -0.412%E -0.121%K -0.172%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 15:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.83%EV -7.10%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -1.88%E -0.560%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 15:39
Pinnacle🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 31.35%EV -2.63%E -0.852%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.38%EV -3.57%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -3.05%E -0.921%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 15:45
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -7.10%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -3.34%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.34%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 15:15
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.34%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.34%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.62%E -2.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.88%E -3.35%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.34%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 15:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.62%E -2.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.88%E -3.35%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.34%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 15:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -11.77%E -4.20%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -11.80%E -5.25%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -3.34%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-23 15:39
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.62%E -2.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -6.71%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 15:45
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -11.77%E -4.20%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.71%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 15:35
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -10.19%E -3.58%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 15:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -13.35%E -4.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -11.80%E -5.25%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-23 15:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.23%EV -10.19%E -3.58%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.39%EV -15.72%E -7.31%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-23 15:39
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -3.96%E -1.62%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 15:39
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -3.89%E -1.28%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -3.89%E -1.28%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 15:35
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 15:39
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -7.88%E -3.35%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.73%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 15:45
NordicBet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 31.58%EV -7.67%E -2.62%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.04%EV -7.10%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -7.73%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 15:44
Betsson🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 31.58%EV -7.67%E -2.62%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.04%EV -7.10%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -7.73%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 15:45
Bovada🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 31.53%EV -7.67%E -2.62%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.14%EV -7.49%E -3.17%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -7.73%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 15:49
BetOnline.ag🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 30.43%EV -1.37%E -0.438%K -0.644%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.04%EV -4.36%E -1.79%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.53%EV -8.61%E -2.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 30.43%EV -1.37%E -0.438%K -0.644%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.04%EV -4.36%E -1.79%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.53%EV -8.61%E -2.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 15:10
BetUS🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 30.43%EV -1.37%E -0.438%K -0.644%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.04%EV -4.36%E -1.79%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.53%EV -8.61%E -2.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 15:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.16%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.98%EV -6.32%E -2.64%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -8.61%E -2.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 15:54
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -2.32%E -0.747%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.88%E -3.35%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 15:50
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 15:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.88%E -3.35%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 15:35
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.88%E -3.35%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 15:35
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.88%E -3.35%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 15:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.88%E -3.35%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 15:35
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.88%E -3.35%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 15:35
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.88%E -3.35%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 15:35
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.88%E -3.35%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 15:35
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.62%E -2.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 15:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.62%E -2.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 15:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.62%E -2.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 15:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.68%EV -9.56%E -3.33%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.70%EV -7.88%E -3.35%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.62%EV -10.08%E -3.28%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 15:37
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -8.62%E -2.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.05%EV -9.06%E -3.91%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.71%EV -10.66%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 15:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -8.62%E -2.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.05%EV -9.06%E -3.91%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.71%EV -10.66%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 15:35
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -9.25%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -10.66%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 15:34
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.25%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 15:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.25%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 15:50
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.25%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 15:44
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.25%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 15:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 31.58%EV -11.14%E -3.95%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 15:53
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -10.19%E -3.58%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.06%EV -10.63%E -4.66%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 15:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.25%EV -10.19%E -3.58%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.06%EV -10.63%E -4.66%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 15:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.24%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.36%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.40%0.0%2026-08-23 15:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.24%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.36%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.40%0.0%2026-08-23 15:54
Matchbook◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.14%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.55%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%0.3%2026-08-23 15:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.19%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%0.5%2026-08-23 15:54
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-08-23 15:54
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%1.0%2026-08-23 15:20