Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Eyüpspor v Çaykur Rizespor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-12 14:00 UTC

Score final : Eyüpspor 0–2 Çaykur Rizespor

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Eyüpspor (Local)

Prévision 23.93%4.18cote équitable
EV +5.29%
Avantage +1.20%
Kelly +1.56%
Croissance +0.082%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.27%23.88%23.93%25.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.813.804.4028.57%26.23%26.32%22.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Çaykur Rizespor (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.58%2.02cote équitable
EV -2.81%
Avantage -1.44%
Kelly -2.93%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.53%49.70%49.51%51.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.781.881.881.9656.18%53.13%53.19%51.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.49%3.78cote équitable
EV +0.649%
Avantage +0.171%
Kelly +0.232%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.07%26.43%26.56%27.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.473.453.8030.77%28.79%28.99%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Eyüpspor (Local) : 23.93% ; Çaykur Rizespor (Visiteur) : 49.58% ; Match nul : 26.49%. Pour Eyüpspor (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.18. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.40, soit une espérance positive de +5.29%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +5.29%E +1.20%K +1.56%G +0.082%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -10.75%E -5.97%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.30%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 17:10
1xBet🎯4.08I 24.51%NM 23.75%EV -2.37%E -0.581%K -0.769%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.47%EV -4.80%E -2.50%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.77%EV -0.410%E -0.109%K -0.149%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-08 19:45
Betsson🎯4.07I 24.57%NM 22.75%EV -2.61%E -0.641%K -0.850%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -7.28%E -3.89%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.73%EV -11.53%E -3.45%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-08 08:10
NordicBet🎯4.07I 24.57%NM 22.75%EV -2.61%E -0.641%K -0.850%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -7.28%E -3.89%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.73%EV -11.53%E -3.45%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-08 08:10
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -4.28%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.54%EV -4.30%E -2.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 15:50
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.28%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.30%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 00:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.97I 25.19%NM 23.99%EV -5.00%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.94%EV -7.28%E -3.89%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV +0.649%E +0.171%K +0.232%G +0.002%5.0%2026-09-08 04:20
BetOnline.ag🎯3.97I 25.19%NM 23.99%EV -5.00%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.94%EV -7.28%E -3.89%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV +0.649%E +0.171%K +0.232%G +0.002%5.0%2026-09-08 04:20
Pinnacle🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.48%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.51%EV -6.78%E -3.61%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.46%EV -1.21%E -0.323%K -0.441%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 21:05
Marathon Bet🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -6.20%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.43%EV -8.27%E -4.47%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -4.12%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 19:45
GTbets🎯3.91I 25.58%NM 23.96%EV -6.44%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.57%EV -6.29%E -3.33%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.47%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 01:50
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 00:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.30%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 12:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.30%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 14:06
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.30%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 00:30
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.79%E -3.05%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.30%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 00:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.79%E -3.05%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.30%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 00:29
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.79%E -3.05%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.30%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 00:29
Codere (IT)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -5.79%E -3.05%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 12:35
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -7.28%E -3.89%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -7.30%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-08 00:30
DraftKings🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -5.79%E -3.05%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.30%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 15:50
Bovada🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.12%EV -8.76%E -4.76%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-08 21:02
BetUS🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.12%EV -8.76%E -4.76%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-08 21:05
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.27%E -4.47%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-08 00:29
888sport🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.27%E -4.47%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-08 01:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.27%E -4.47%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-08 01:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.27%E -4.47%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-08 01:55
BoyleSports🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.07%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -10.75%E -5.97%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -7.30%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 20:35
Unibet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.81%E -1.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 12:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.81%E -1.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 12:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.81%E -1.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 12:40
Grosvenor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.81%E -1.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 12:40
Casumo🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.81%E -1.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 12:40
TABtouch🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.81%E -1.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 12:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.81%E -1.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 12:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.81%E -1.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 12:40
betPARX🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.81%E -1.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 12:40
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -8.27%E -4.47%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -4.65%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 09:05
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.26%E -5.06%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -7.30%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 15:51
Betclic (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.35%EV -10.25%E -5.66%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.83%EV -11.80%E -3.54%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 12:39
Bet Right🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -11.46%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.71%EV -6.78%E -3.61%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 15:50
NetBet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.00%EV -11.46%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.89%EV -11.74%E -6.60%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-09 12:40
Unibet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -11.46%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.21%EV -10.75%E -5.97%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-08 14:05
Winamax (DE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -12.66%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.08%EV -8.76%E -4.76%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.87%EV -6.29%E -3.33%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-08 12:40
PMU (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.87%EV -6.29%E -3.33%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-08 12:40
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -9.26%E -5.06%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-09 14:06
BetRivers🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -15.05%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.64%EV -6.78%E -3.61%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-08 12:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -16.25%E -4.64%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.53%EV -7.77%E -4.18%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -16.25%E -4.64%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.53%EV -7.77%E -4.18%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 12:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -16.25%E -4.64%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 48.63%EV -11.74%E -6.60%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.64%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-09 16:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%4.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%4.8%2026-09-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%4.8%2026-09-09 17:35
Smarkets◎4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%6.0%2026-09-09 17:21