Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Çorum FK v Fenerbahce

2026-11-08 13:00 UTC — Turkey Super League

Resultado del partido

39 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Çorum FK (Local)

Predicción 22.89%4.37momio equitativo
EV +0.711%
Ventaja +0.162%
Kelly +0.209%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.27%22.90%22.88%24.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.604.104.104.4027.78%24.40%24.39%22.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Fenerbahce (Visitante)

Predicción 53.16%1.88momio equitativo
EV -3.78%
Ventaja -2.09%
Kelly -4.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.07%53.11%53.14%55.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.571.711.731.8163.69%58.37%57.80%55.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 23.95%4.17momio equitativo
EV -1.56%
Ventaja -0.379%
Kelly -0.501%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.03%23.99%23.98%25.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.833.804.1128.57%26.13%26.32%24.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Çorum FK (Local): 22.89%; Fenerbahce (Visitante): 53.16%; Empate: 23.95%. Para Çorum FK (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.37. 9 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.40, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.711%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +0.711%E +0.162%K +0.209%G +0.001%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -9.63%E -5.66%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -5.39%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 15:35
Unibet (NL)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +0.711%E +0.162%K +0.209%G +0.001%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -9.63%E -5.66%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -5.39%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 15:35
Casumo🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +0.711%E +0.162%K +0.209%G +0.001%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -9.63%E -5.66%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -5.39%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 15:35
Unibet (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +0.711%E +0.162%K +0.209%G +0.001%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -9.63%E -5.66%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -5.39%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 15:35
Grosvenor🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +0.711%E +0.162%K +0.209%G +0.001%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -9.63%E -5.66%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -5.39%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 15:35
TABtouch🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +0.711%E +0.162%K +0.209%G +0.001%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -9.63%E -5.66%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -5.39%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 15:35
Svenska Spel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +0.711%E +0.162%K +0.209%G +0.001%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -9.63%E -5.66%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -5.39%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +0.711%E +0.162%K +0.209%G +0.001%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -9.63%E -5.66%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -5.39%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 15:35
betPARX🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +0.711%E +0.162%K +0.209%G +0.001%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -9.63%E -5.66%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -5.39%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 15:35
LiveScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.30%EV -2.72%E -0.641%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.87%EV -12.29%E -7.45%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-01 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.30%EV -2.72%E -0.641%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.87%EV -12.29%E -7.45%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-01 15:36
Virgin Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.30%EV -2.72%E -0.641%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.87%EV -12.29%E -7.45%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-01 15:35
1xBet🎯4.22I 23.70%NM 22.94%EV -3.41%E -0.808%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.50%EV -3.78%E -2.09%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.56%EV -1.56%E -0.379%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-01 14:40
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -3.87%E -0.921%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -8.03%E -4.64%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.59%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 14:40
BetRivers🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -3.87%E -0.921%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -12.29%E -7.45%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -10.18%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-01 15:36
Pinnacle🎯4.19I 23.87%NM 22.72%EV -4.10%E -0.978%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.18%EV -4.85%E -2.71%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV -5.39%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 14:40
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -6.16%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.91%E -3.34%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -1.80%E -0.438%K -0.579%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 14:40
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -6.16%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.97%E -3.98%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -1.80%E -0.438%K -0.579%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-01 14:55
SportsBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.16%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -5.91%E -3.34%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -6.59%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 17:45
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.16%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -5.91%E -3.34%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -6.59%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 17:45
Betsson🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -6.16%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -5.38%E -3.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -11.38%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 14:35
PMU (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -6.16%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.56%EV -13.88%E -8.57%K -22.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.89%EV -11.38%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-01 15:35
NordicBet🎯4.07I 24.57%NM 22.73%EV -6.84%E -1.68%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -5.91%E -3.34%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -11.38%E -3.07%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-01 14:35
Marathon Bet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 22.96%EV -7.30%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.44%EV -7.50%E -4.31%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.60%EV -5.63%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 14:35
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.38%E -3.02%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 20:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.97%E -3.98%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.59%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-01 17:45
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.03%E -4.64%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.18%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-01 20:11
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -6.97%E -3.98%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -13.77%E -3.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-01 14:35
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -6.97%E -3.98%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -13.77%E -3.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-01 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.44%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -6.97%E -3.98%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -13.77%E -3.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-01 14:35
Betclic (FR)🎯3.93I 25.45%NM 22.36%EV -10.05%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 53.57%EV -12.82%E -7.82%K -20.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.07%EV -12.57%E -3.45%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.8%2026-11-01 14:38
Bet Right🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.73%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -6.97%E -3.98%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 20:11
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.02%E -3.43%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.97%E -3.98%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 14:35
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -13.02%E -3.43%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.18%EV -8.03%E -4.64%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -10.18%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-01 17:45
Winamax (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -13.02%E -3.43%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 53.51%EV -12.82%E -7.82%K -20.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -10.18%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-01 14:40
Unibet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 22.27%EV -13.02%E -3.43%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 53.90%EV -16.54%E -10.54%K -29.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.84%EV -14.97%E -4.22%K -5.87%G +0.000%18.2%2026-11-01 14:40
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -14.17%E -3.78%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.03%E -4.64%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -10.18%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-01 14:55
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -17.60%E -4.89%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.07%EV -9.63%E -5.66%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.81%EV -16.17%E -4.62%K -6.47%G +0.000%15.2%2026-11-01 18:10
Winamax (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 23.45%EV -17.60%E -4.89%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 52.77%EV -14.95%E -9.34%K -24.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.78%EV -14.97%E -4.22%K -5.87%G +0.000%18.4%2026-11-01 14:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (1)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets◎3.75I 26.67%NM 22.87%1.63I 61.35%NM 52.62%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%16.6%2026-11-01 14:40